PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)

[TT-SEA]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Potentially historic cold extends into Saturday.

Back to the low offshore scenario which has been so common and means King County northward is the warmest and driest area again.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Back to the low offshore scenario which has been so common and means King County northward is the warmest and driest area again.

Yes, you will be blessed by the S/N gradient.

[Cold Snap]

Already up to 60 for the day.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a low of 38 so the beat rolls on for sub-40 lows. Sunny and up to 55 now, beautiful day. Looks like some high clouds could move in again later this afternoon.

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yes, you will be blessed by the S/N gradient.

Its a different world up here with the low offshore.   This is Saturday - Tuesday precip... almost nothing up here and highs mostly in the low 50s and partly sunny.  

 

[BLI snowman]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Potentially historic cold extends into Saturday.

My birthday. Gotta go back to 1972 to find any snow in these parts that day.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

My birthday. Gotta go back to 1972 to find any snow in these parts that day.

Tornado about a week and a half later!

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Already up to 60 for the day.

64 in North Bend now.   Feels very warm because there is almost no wind.  No I have to stop just wasting the day sitting on the deck in the sun and get to work.

[Doinko]

13 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Ended up with a low of 38 so the beat rolls on for sub-40 lows. Sunny and up to 55 now, beautiful day. Looks like some high clouds could move in again later this afternoon.

First above normal day at PDX yesterday since 2/20, that's pretty amazing. Only by 1.5 degrees too

[Gradient Keeper]

12z Euro. We might be into Spring, but this pattern screams Winter. Jeez

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

12z Euro. We might be into Spring, but this pattern screams Winter. Jeez

Wow, I was expecting a much warmer run reading some of the comments earlier.

[Phil]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

After next weekend the GFS is a clear outlier. 

GFS spring cutoff bias is starting. I bet we’ll see a lot of this going forward.

[Cascadia_Wx]

8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

12z Euro. We might be into Spring, but this pattern screams Winter. Jeez

Always great to have you back posting btw!

[Meatyorologist]

9 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

12z Euro. We might be into Spring, but this pattern screams Winter. Jeez

Spring 2022 redux

[Meatyorologist]

[Mr Marine Layer]

35 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

64 in North Bend now.   Feels very warm because there is almost no wind.  No I have to stop just wasting the day sitting on the deck in the sun and get to work.

Good weather for downvotes from a familiar nemesis. 

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Wow, I was expecting a much warmer run reading some of the comments earlier.

Yeah... never said that.   Today and tomorrow are nice.   Tuesday and Wednesday are nice.   And then if the ECMWF is accurate it will be pretty decent up here and northward while that ULL spins offshore.   Lots to like about that run from Seattle northward even though it's a cold pattern overall.   Finding nuggets of spring.   That is all.  

[TT-SEA]

Precip anomaly map from the ECMWF illustrates the south-north gradient very well.   Different world farther north.

[Mr Marine Layer]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Precip anomaly map from the ECMWF illustrates the south-north gradient very well.   Different world farther north.

Smoke will have to come from BC this summer, at least early.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Smoke will have to come from BC this summer, at least early.

You might be right.

[Meatyorologist]

4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Smoke will have to come from BC this summer, at least early.

At least that stuff usually stays aloft.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

At least that stuff usually stays aloft.

I could be wrong but I don’t think BC has been especially dry this winter. 

[TT-SEA]

EPSL and foothills are awash in 60s.   

[Mr Marine Layer]

Above average down here for the first time since February 20, but it won't last long.

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS shows the south-north gradient over the next 15 days as well.    

[SouthHillFrosty]

Currently have the flu and my allergies are going crazy. I feel like Purdue rn

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I could be wrong but I don’t think BC has been especially dry this winter. 

No, especially back in Dec/Jan. Was pretty wet. And this is coming off an absolute soaker of a 2021-22 season.

[Meatyorologist]

He's back!

[Gradient Keeper]

56 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Always great to have you back posting btw!

Just when I thought model riding season was over. I guess not. Gracias!

55 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Spring 2022 redux

Snow again in April? I am done with Cold and Snow! honestly which may sound hard to believe. It's Spring time and time for Spring temperatures!

54 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Good weather for downvotes from a familiar nemesis. 

I'm not sure if I've ever downvoted anyone. Maybe? Is there a way we can check on that?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

60.8˚F.

[Meatyorologist]

This morning is the first 40F low of March at KSEA. Right on the dot, too. Nice stretch of cold overnight weather.

[Omegaraptor]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Spring 2022 redux

The big difference between this pattern and April/May 2022 is that the coldest/wettest anomalies are actually going to CA. April/May 2022 was actually warmer and drier than average for much of California. The cold/wet anomalies basically stopped at Mt Shasta.

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said:

The big difference between this pattern and April/May 2022 is that the coldest/wettest anomalies are actually going to CA. April/May 2022 was actually warmer and drier than average for much of California. The cold/wet anomalies basically stopped at Mt Shasta.

It's going to a good place at least, where they really need a blockbuster season and then some.

[Cascadia_Wx]

19 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It's going to a good place at least, where they really need a blockbuster season and then some.

Hopefully it could mean a different outcome for mid to late summer as well.

[Doinko]

46 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

No, especially back in Dec/Jan. Was pretty wet. And this is coming off an absolute soaker of a 2021-22 season.

Seems like OR has kind of been in between south of Portland, with this year being really wet for CA and last year being wet for WA. Previous years haven't been too great for Oregon too. 2018/19 was pretty good though.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

Seems like OR has kind of been in between south of Portland, with this year being really wet for CA and last year being wet for WA. Previous years haven't been too great for Oregon too. 2018/19 was pretty good though.

2016/2017 was wet for almost the entire west coast though

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hopefully it could mean a different outcome for mid to late summer as well.

I have a feeling we'll get a nice midsummer troughy period. From around my birthday on 7/21, up to early-mid August. I don't know why, it just seems out of left field and like the exact kind of random twist you'd expect out of a year like this. 2015 managed something similar, in that hell of a warm season.

It'll last 2-3 weeks and average around 2-4F below normal on the whole. Some rain too.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

16 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I have a feeling we'll get a nice midsummer troughy period. From around my birthday on 7/21, up to early-mid August. I don't know why, it just seems out of left field and like the exact kind of random twist you'd expect out of a year like this. 2015 managed something similar, in that hell of a warm season.

It'll last 2-3 weeks and average around 2-4F below normal on the whole. Some rain too.

That will be nice for y'all up north!

[TT-SEA]

First lawn mowing... which is really just getting all the branches and leaves off the grass.    Really strange as the leaves fell in early December on top of snow cover so more to clean up this spring since I did not do any clean up last fall.   But the grass has that mowed look now... then will put a little fertilizer down tomorrow and it will be green and growing by next weekend.   Skipped the fertilizer last spring and the lawn was horrible all summer.  Hate to do it but will go lightly and it will wash in perfectly with the light rain tomorrow night without washing away.   

[Cascadia_Wx]

Twelvezy EPS

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Nicest day in 6 months. Dog loves it. Perfect timing as he finally got the go ahead for more activity post TPLO surgery

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Nicest day in 6 months. Dog loves it. Perfect timing as he finally got the go ahead for more activity post TPLO surgery

There were mid 80s and wildfires burning through the third week of October here. That was just under five months ago. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Sub-522 thickness by Friday morning. WOW.

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sub-522 thickness by Friday morning. WOW.

Slides right by western WA with no lowland snow... unlike some of those crazy snowy runs over the last couple of days.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

66 at PDX. What a disaster. 

[Mr Marine Layer]

[Mr Marine Layer]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

66 at PDX. What a disaster. 

Excessive Heat Warning

[Doinko]

20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

66 at PDX. What a disaster. 

68 now

[Mr Marine Layer]

11 minutes ago, Doinko said:

68 now

Luck of the Irish, except for those who want it cold, wet and gray all the time.

[TT-SEA]

My wife planted part of flower garden today... vegetable garden has at least a month to wait.