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PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)


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2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Really nice little thunder and lightning show off to the north here the last 10-15 minutes. A dozen or so strikes so far, mostly cloud to cloud but one big bolt of cloud to ground.

Lots of distant thunder and a few really big rumbles.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Walter does NOT approve.

We’ve had three little dogs who have all been oblivious to thunder and fireworks and one lab/shepherd mix who was absolutely terrified by both. 

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3 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Looking more impressive. 

8AEF2E50-802E-4D01-9354-6633F6FB203C.jpeg

Light is fading…but you can see everything developing nicely. If you look closely enough you can see the cloud tops of that storm over battle ground. 

G18_sector_pnw_GEOCOLOR_24fr_20230322-2054.gif

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-39

Lowest Min-27

Sub 40 Highs-1

Sub 32 Highs-0

Freezes-13

Rainfall MTD-5.33”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 14.22”

Total snowfall-0.0”

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3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Light is fading…but you can see everything developing nicely. If you look closely enough you can see the cloud tops of that storm over battle ground. 

G18_sector_pnw_GEOCOLOR_24fr_20230322-2054.gif

Gotta love this time of year from a weather perspective. Spending this evening soaking up some sun on the deck and will be watching for chunks in the rain in a couple days. Variety. 

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Ended up with a 64/34 day here. PDX made it all the way to 66. Probably one of their warmest days on record that had heights in the mid-540s. Accounts for some of the instability I’d imagine. 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Ended up tracking that cell out to the east and intercepted it in Brush Prairie and into Hockinson. No hail but probably 1/4"+ rain under that thing in 10-15 minutes time. And a few dozen flashes visible even from the road.

Edited by BLI snowman
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Just now, Ken in Wood Village said:

Interesting, showers are popping up next to me. It's like I said before, late afternoon or evening, showers could pop up really fast. As you can see at the end of the radar loop, a shower is forming really fast. 

KRTX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 7_21 PM.gif

Screenshot_20230322_192233_My Lightning Tracker Pro.jpg

Just as I posted the one above, it got bigger 

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A somewhat menacing-looking sky...

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 41F (Nov 21, 2023)
  • Coldest low: 22F (Nov 25, 2023)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Nov 29, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) *1 sub-freezing high since Jan 14, 2017 (fewest on record during 6 year span)*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Someone posted one of Marks old blogs from this date in 2012. Some good stuff! 🫠😜😍🤣❤️🙃😷🤩😃🥹😇🤗😱

41BDEFA3-C233-4204-B9BD-012BC67EC2B3.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Someone posted one of Marks old blogs from this date in 2012. Some good stuff! 🫠😜😍🤣❤️🙃😷🤩😃🥹😇🤗😱

41BDEFA3-C233-4204-B9BD-012BC67EC2B3.png

Nothing has changed.

  • Weenie 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, Doinko said:

HRRR also has a decent amount of snow around the Valley Friday morning. Doesn't go out to Saturday morning which is when the Euro and NAM show the snow for the Willamette Valley 

snku_acc-imp.us_nw.png

Would be pretty wild to see sticking snow again so late, especially after last April.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Looking like it could be the real deal. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Someone posted one of Marks old blogs from this date in 2012. Some good stuff! 🫠😜😍🤣❤️🙃😷🤩😃🥹😇🤗😱

41BDEFA3-C233-4204-B9BD-012BC67EC2B3.png

Lmao! I find it so funny that a TV met would actually reply to regular weather nerds like us. If I were him I wouldn’t respond to us.

 I saw this comment on cliffs blog yesterday…are all guys named Tim just total sun loving A**holes? Or maybe it’s actually our tim who posted this 😉

E62BB2C6-227E-40EB-A55D-C7900CD1158D.jpeg

  • lol 2

2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-39

Lowest Min-27

Sub 40 Highs-1

Sub 32 Highs-0

Freezes-13

Rainfall MTD-5.33”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 14.22”

Total snowfall-0.0”

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41 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looking like it could be the real deal. 

It's pretty hard to ignore the potential.  Even the NWS is going with an all snow forecast here Saturday morning.  Looks like there's going to be a lot of moisture kicking around as well.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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Wouldn’t be surprised if the NWS ends up asleep at the wheel again. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 hours ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I was looking through my pictures today. This was April 10th 2022 IMBY. Forgot about this late snow. 694125C4-0A81-4177-996D-EBB5A07739A0.thumb.jpeg.1a8dc9a2cd585062801e760b99a8d70d.jpeg57453551-F5B7-4E15-903E-878456665B79.thumb.jpeg.0e041bb28c4e249ec6b49f0df9ffc8fe.jpeg

I had a nice dusting as well! 

30ED503D-F0EA-41C7-8DBD-540C11FB7D02.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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The EPSL actually has a chance of scoring on Saturday morning.  Nothing unfavorable about the way the trough digs compared to the late Feb / early March event.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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The ECMWF is unquestionably cold enough for snow for most places in the Puget Sound area Saturday morning.  The track of the ULL makes it a tricky forecast for which area might see the most precip at that time.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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Looks like a fun night up in PDX.

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  • Storm 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 41F (Nov 21, 2023)
  • Coldest low: 22F (Nov 25, 2023)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Nov 29, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) *1 sub-freezing high since Jan 14, 2017 (fewest on record during 6 year span)*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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3 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

Lmao! I find it so funny that a TV met would actually reply to regular weather nerds like us. If I were him I wouldn’t respond to us.

 I saw this comment on cliffs blog yesterday…are all guys named Tim just total sun loving A**holes? Or maybe it’s actually our tim who posted this 😉

E62BB2C6-227E-40EB-A55D-C7900CD1158D.jpeg

That wasn't me... and it sounds like he was complaining about heat.   But thanks for the nice compliment.  🤪

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Normally it’d be hard to believe that there’s potential for snow after a few days in the 60s in late March…but it was just last year we went from low 70s to snow a few days later. That was in mid April too. It’s fun to watch these model runs but it’s always very iffy getting snow after late February. 

  • lol 1

2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-39

Lowest Min-27

Sub 40 Highs-1

Sub 32 Highs-0

Freezes-13

Rainfall MTD-5.33”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 14.22”

Total snowfall-0.0”

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Here it comes!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Models seem to be locking in on another significant trough around the 1st of April. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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