PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Really nice little thunder and lightning show off to the north here the last 10-15 minutes. A dozen or so strikes so far, mostly cloud to cloud but one big bolt of cloud to ground.

Lots of distant thunder and a few really big rumbles.

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Walter does NOT approve.

We’ve had three little dogs who have all been oblivious to thunder and fireworks and one lab/shepherd mix who was absolutely terrified by both. 

[T-Town]

Could be a pretty epic sunset up this way. 

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Looking more impressive. 

Light is fading…but you can see everything developing nicely. If you look closely enough you can see the cloud tops of that storm over battle ground. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Light is fading…but you can see everything developing nicely. If you look closely enough you can see the cloud tops of that storm over battle ground. 

A marine layer is moving in.

[Ken in Wood Village]

Thunderstorms up in the Vancouver and Battle Ground area. Like I said before, some of these thunderstorms will build up really fast and you won't know it until it's right on top of you!!🌩

[T-Town]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Light is fading…but you can see everything developing nicely. If you look closely enough you can see the cloud tops of that storm over battle ground. 

Gotta love this time of year from a weather perspective. Spending this evening soaking up some sun on the deck and will be watching for chunks in the rain in a couple days. Variety. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

There is a lot of activity around me but not near me

[T-Town]

1 minute ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

There is a lot of activity around me but not near me

What is that app?

[Ken in Wood Village]

1 minute ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

There is a lot of activity around me but not near me

I zoomed in on Vancouver area 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Just now, T-Town said:

What is that app?

Lightning pro. There is one that you don't have to pay for but it has advertisements. I think it's five dollars for it.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Things calming down out there for the time being. I blame Dewey’s dog.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a 64/34 day here. PDX made it all the way to 66. Probably one of their warmest days on record that had heights in the mid-540s. Accounts for some of the instability I’d imagine. 

[Tyler Mode]

That was the most impressive storm I can remember for March.  Summer-like lightning!

[BLI snowman]

Ended up tracking that cell out to the east and intercepted it in Brush Prairie and into Hockinson. No hail but probably 1/4"+ rain under that thing in 10-15 minutes time. And a few dozen flashes visible even from the road.

Edited March 23 by BLI snowman

[BLI snowman]

52 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Walter does NOT approve.

I think my Walter stayed fast asleep.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I think my Walter stayed fast asleep.

Even I stopped dropped and rolled during a couple of them.

[Tyler Mode]

Didn't have a chance to chase, but did watch from my driveway. Great storm!  TONS of lightning too.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

I was looking through my pictures today. This was April 10th 2022 IMBY. Forgot about this late snow. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Spectacular sky out there this evening. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Interesting, showers are popping up next to me. It's like I said before, late afternoon or evening, showers could pop up really fast. As you can see at the end of the radar loop, a shower is forming really fast. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Just now, Ken in Wood Village said:

Interesting, showers are popping up next to me. It's like I said before, late afternoon or evening, showers could pop up really fast. As you can see at the end of the radar loop, a shower is forming really fast. 

Just as I posted the one above, it got bigger 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Just now, Ken in Wood Village said:

Just as I posted the one above, it got bigger 

Sorry, forgot to post the radar 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

A somewhat menacing-looking sky...

[Ken in Wood Village]

I wouldn't want to be going through the Gorge right now 🌩

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Someone posted one of Marks old blogs from this date in 2012. Some good stuff! 🫠🥹

[Doinko]

NAM has a good amount of snow for Salem. Similar to what the Euro was showing but farther south



 

[Doinko]

HRRR also has a decent amount of snow around the Valley Friday morning. Doesn't go out to Saturday morning which is when the Euro and NAM show the snow for the Willamette Valley 

[TT-SEA]

30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Someone posted one of Marks old blogs from this date in 2012. Some good stuff! 🫠🥹

Nothing has changed.

[Cascadia_Wx]

5 minutes ago, Doinko said:

HRRR also has a decent amount of snow around the Valley Friday morning. Doesn't go out to Saturday morning which is when the Euro and NAM show the snow for the Willamette Valley 

Would be pretty wild to see sticking snow again so late, especially after last April.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looking like it could be the real deal. 

[TacomaWx]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Someone posted one of Marks old blogs from this date in 2012. Some good stuff! 🫠🥹

Lmao! I find it so funny that a TV met would actually reply to regular weather nerds like us. If I were him I wouldn’t respond to us.

 I saw this comment on cliffs blog yesterday…are all guys named Tim just total sun loving A**holes? Or maybe it’s actually our tim who posted this

[Ken in Wood Village]

I have a storm forming right above my house. We have hail!!

[Cascadia_Wx]

Some moderate to heavy showers developing over the NE metro. Sort of forming in place, interesting radar signature.

[snow_wizard]

41 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looking like it could be the real deal. 

It's pretty hard to ignore the potential.  Even the NWS is going with an all snow forecast here Saturday morning.  Looks like there's going to be a lot of moisture kicking around as well.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Dynamic setup so far. Not a lot of patterns where I can remember us going from warm core thunderstorms to a chance of low elevation snow within a few days.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Wouldn’t be surprised if the NWS ends up asleep at the wheel again. 

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wouldn’t be surprised if the NWS ends up asleep at the wheel again. 

https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=ORZ006&warncounty=ORC051&firewxzone=ORZ604&local_place1=2 Miles WSW Mt Tabor OR&product1=Special+Weather+Statement&lat=45.4999&lon=-122.6361#.ZBvbLPdlAWM

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I was looking through my pictures today. This was April 10th 2022 IMBY. Forgot about this late snow. 

I had a nice dusting as well! 

[snow_wizard]

The EPSL actually has a chance of scoring on Saturday morning.  Nothing unfavorable about the way the trough digs compared to the late Feb / early March event.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF is unquestionably cold enough for snow for most places in the Puget Sound area Saturday morning.  The track of the ULL makes it a tricky forecast for which area might see the most precip at that time.

[Gradient Keeper]

2 hours ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I have a storm forming right above my house. We have hail!!

Those developed very quickly earlier within just 2-3 radar scans. I didn't have hail here near west Gresham, but I did receive two heavy downpours.

[Gradient Keeper]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Some moderate to heavy showers developing over the NE metro. Sort of forming in place, interesting radar signature.

Seems to be a boundary in place with some convergence along the Columbia River. Pretty nifty.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS vs Euro. No agreement Day 6.5+

[Ken in Wood Village]

11 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Seems to be a boundary in place with some convergence along the Columbia River. Pretty nifty.

Yea, I think your right. The rain is increasing as I write this. It seems to just blossom out of nowhere as you can see on the radar loop. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Looks like a fun night up in PDX.

[TT-SEA]

3 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

Lmao! I find it so funny that a TV met would actually reply to regular weather nerds like us. If I were him I wouldn’t respond to us.

 I saw this comment on cliffs blog yesterday…are all guys named Tim just total sun loving A**holes? Or maybe it’s actually our tim who posted this

That wasn't me... and it sounds like he was complaining about heat.   But thanks for the nice compliment.  

[TacomaWx]

Normally it’d be hard to believe that there’s potential for snow after a few days in the 60s in late March…but it was just last year we went from low 70s to snow a few days later. That was in mid April too. It’s fun to watch these model runs but it’s always very iffy getting snow after late February. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Here it comes!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Models seem to be locking in on another significant trough around the 1st of April.