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PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)


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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Maybe the second half of April.   In the Ag Weather update yesterday they talked about the MJO going into phase 6 or 7 next and that usually means PNW troughing in April according to their maps.   

I’ll be honest with you. As long as we don’t torch for months at a time, I’m good. 

  • scream 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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46 minutes ago, Hour364Please said:

April troughing is okay.  When we have nice breaks like we did last week it makes it feel pretty good.  Some rain, some sun and I'm good.

The mountains are going to be picking up some good snow pack.

Gonna hit Rattlesnake Ledge tomorrow.  A few weeks ago it was pretty icy near the top with some light snow falling.  Probably picked up more snow today though.

Tim, how does the snow line look up your way?

Posted pic a couple hours ago.   Likely going to be much lower tomorrow morning though.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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36 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’ll be honest with you. As long as we don’t torch for months at a time, I’m good. 

I appreciate your honesty Andrew! 

And I'll be honest with you too... as long as we get some decent breaks like we have coming up this week, I'm good.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I’ve really enjoyed this winter. Most enjoyable winter in over a decade. It’s just been fun! 

  • Excited 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’ve really enjoyed this winter. Most enjoyable winter in over a decade. It’s just been fun! 

It was pretty nice overall based on my personal preferences too... lots of sunny days and dry periods mixed in and snow in December.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Stormy! 

Some bright colors over you on the radar... what is falling there?

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Some bright colors over you on the radar... what is falling there?

Lumps and chunks! 

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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6” of sloppy snow on the ground now, about an inch more than when I left this morning. About two inches actually fell, but the depth only increased an inch because it’s very wet snow and there was some melting throughout the day. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Hour364Please said:

April troughing is okay.  When we have nice breaks like we did last week it makes it feel pretty good.  Some rain, some sun and I'm good.

The mountains are going to be picking up some good snow pack.

Gonna hit Rattlesnake Ledge tomorrow.  A few weeks ago it was pretty icy near the top with some light snow falling.  Probably picked up more snow today though.

Tim, how does the snow line look up your way?

Had a friend hike it yesterday and was in good shape. Tomorrow it is going to be covered in snow. 

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Currently 41.3 and it’s been a dark and gloomy afternoon here.

2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 37

Number of 85+ days - 17

Number of 90+ days - 5 

Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61)

 

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2 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Tim, I’d be surprised if you don’t see some accumulation tonight. 

Definitely... expecting at least 2 inches maybe more depending on the exact position of the c-zone.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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45 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Was working in Victoria today and it was a really pleasant afternoon with a cool breeze.  Looks like I’ll be driving through a bit of snow on my way home though. 
 

6DBA471C-EF7A-4694-A6E4-32DDF095BC6D.thumb.png.f192a85ecff2b95f2d35bc6ec27c3d75.png

Live look where this webcam is located.  Absolutely dumping. Sticking snow level is about 1000ft. 
 

650F200A-0C25-4CC4-8F51-F3CC435D3A71.thumb.jpeg.80b25c365e4f43ef8d1e96fa7258c5bc.jpeg

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37 minutes ago, Phil said:

Hopefully this isn’t another Joplin. But it looks bad.

 

Joplin has a much larger population than Rolling Fork, MS. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Been hugging the south side of the c-zone here for hours... but that is the slight warmer side so its 36 with drizzle and the frogs are singing out there.   I assume they shut down when it gets to 32.   Not sure if that c-zone is going to slip south yet or not.   The middle and north side of c-zone is where the best conditions for accumulating snow are located.   The south side tends to have persistent south wind.  The wind has died down though now.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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00Z GEM is on board with a deep trough next weekend as well.  

But we still get 4 or 5 dry days before that depending on which model you are looking at so definitely some variety.   The GFS brings the rain in Friday morning but then its nice again by Sunday... GEM is dry until Friday night.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Currently 36.7 with some pretty heavy rain.

2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 37

Number of 85+ days - 17

Number of 90+ days - 5 

Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61)

 

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4 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Currently 36.7 with some pretty heavy rain.

I was wondering about your area... you are about to be in the middle of the c-zone.

My UW son just landed from Mexico and is picking up his car in Seattle now and said its absolutely dumping rain with some snowflakes mixed in there.  He is coming home so he can get up early and go skiing tomorrow morning.   Quite the change of scenery for him.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Snowing on redmond ridge! Grassy surfaces have a dusting!

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2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 37

Number of 85+ days - 17

Number of 90+ days - 5 

Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61)

 

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19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

@MossMan is that snow over you now?   Looks quite active up there again.  

Lumpy clumps and 35! If I took a drive up behind our house at the higher elevation it’s probably all very wet snow I would bet. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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In redmond by the Microsoft campus and getting some positive splats maybe even some flakes mixing in.

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2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 37

Number of 85+ days - 17

Number of 90+ days - 5 

Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61)

 

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Just across the street from the Microsoft campus. Very nice rain/snow mix going there’s some nice flakes mixing in. Surprised to see it snowing this far away from the foothills.

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2023 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 37

Number of 85+ days - 17

Number of 90+ days - 5 

Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95)

Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61)

 

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