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PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)


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3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Yeah... saw that one and pretty accurate from what I have heard.   Everyone is doing it and no one admits it.  But it comes out eventually. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

According to my sons that is how all college essays are being written now.   

Yep. It’s the future I guess. 
Originality is dead anyway I suppose. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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IR/WV Loop
3/20/23 11:10 PM

Meanwhile.... off California
A strong system is currently undergoing rapid cyclogenesis (strengthening). The 00z GFS/Euro deepens this low to around 982/983mb by 11 AM Tuesday off the central California coast. I do not recall seeing a system like this off our coast this past Fall or Winter while California has been hammered with one strong storm after another. Fun stuff.
cira-rammb-slider---goes-18---full_disk---band_15-opacity-100---20230321001020-20230321055020.gif
cira-rammb-slider---goes-18---full_disk---band_08-opacity-100---20230321000020-20230321054020.gif
May be an image of map and text that says 'Precipitation Type, Rate (in hr'), 1000-500 mb Thickness (dam) F018 Valid: Tue 2023- 18z Init: Tue 2023- 03-21 00z GFS 1008 1010~ 558 Rain: www.pivotalweather.com 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 Snow: 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.05 0.1 Sleet: pivatal weather 0.2 0.5 0.05 0.1 0.2 0.5'
May be an image of map, sky and text that says 'Precipitation Type, Rate F018 Valid: 2023-03-21 c)2023EuroC Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) This service based hr'), 1000-500 mb Thickness (dam) 1002 products fthe ECMWF Init: Tue 2023- -21 00z ECMWF Hi- Res 1012 1012 546- 1002 www.pivotalweather.com 0.05 0.1 0.2 Rain: 0.5 Snow: .05 0.1 0.2 0.5 Frzr: 0.05 0.1 piv#tal 1016 weather 0.2 0.5 0.05 0.1 0.5 Mix:'
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Kids these days and their confounded AI images…

4E2D8893-32B8-45B9-B0F9-FB8BBCE63301.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 84F (Oct 1, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 41F (Oct 1, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Nice departure at SLE. Clearing skies this evening helped. We hit 32 by midnight. Now 20 out of 21 on the month. Unbelievable. Should beat 2012’s 23. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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17 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

I'm already planting my tomatoes :)

🍅 Hopefully in a greenhouse. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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EPS has actually been trending drier for the next 15 days... glad we picked up 3/4 of an inch of rain here over the last 24 hours.   There was a little more rain overnight but just cloudy and dry now.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-qpf_anom_15day-0652800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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9 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

According to my sons that is how all college essays are being written now.   

f'in kids have it so easy these days.  how about nights on end in the library on a microfiche to do your research.  Pfft

 

Cite your sources gawddamnit

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5 minutes ago, The Blob said:

sNOw

Screenshot_20230321_085035_Wunderground.jpg

It's time. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Starting to look like this trough could be the real deal. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Starting to look like this trough could be the real deal. 

A couple chilly days in the upper 40s with showers and wind?

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

A couple chilly days in the upper 40s with showers and wind?

 

12" of snow in my backyard on pretty much every model now. Don't know if we see that much, but 6-8" looking LIKELY!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

12" of snow in my backyard on pretty much every model now. Don't know if we see that much, but 6-8" looking LIKELY!

Ahhh... that is pretty significant. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Some low clouds and fog around this morning, low of 38 here.

Some spots further down in the WV actually hit freezing. 

We scored a low of 30. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some spots further down in the WV actually hit freezing. 

We scored a low of 30. 

Dear Andrew,

Thank you for bringing up the issue of sub freezing lows in the Willamette Valley. It is concerning to hear about the potentially damaging effects of such cold temperatures on crops and other agricultural products.

As a language model, I am not privy to the most current weather forecasts or data, but I encourage you to stay informed and take appropriate measures to protect your crops if necessary. This may include covering plants, utilizing heaters or other sources of warmth, or taking other precautions to prevent damage from the cold.

It is important that we all remain vigilant about potential weather events and their impacts on our communities, particularly as we continue to face the challenges of climate change. Thank you again for bringing attention to this issue, and I hope that measures can be taken to mitigate any potential damage.

Sincerely, ChatGPT

 

 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Dear Andrew,

Thank you for bringing up the issue of sub freezing lows in the Willamette Valley. It is concerning to hear about the potentially damaging effects of such cold temperatures on crops and other agricultural products.

As a language model, I am not privy to the most current weather forecasts or data, but I encourage you to stay informed and take appropriate measures to protect your crops if necessary. This may include covering plants, utilizing heaters or other sources of warmth, or taking other precautions to prevent damage from the cold.

It is important that we all remain vigilant about potential weather events and their impacts on our communities, particularly as we continue to face the challenges of climate change. Thank you again for bringing attention to this issue, and I hope that measures can be taken to mitigate any potential damage.

Sincerely, ChatGPT

 

 

I had a meeting yesterday where someone asked our company President about ChatGPT and he went on and on for almost an hour about how amazing it is and how it even helped his daughter come up with a polite response to a guy who asked her out and she wanted to turn down. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I had a meeting yesterday where someone asked our company President about ChatGPT and he went on and on for almost an hour about how amazing it is and how it even helped his daughter come up with a polite response to a guy who asked her out and she wanted to turn down. 

Yeah it can be creepy but I think it’s also limited in some pretty key ways that should keep people from losing their minds with worry. At least FOR NOW.

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Yeah it can be creepy but I think it’s also limited in some pretty key ways that should keep people from losing their minds with worry. At least FOR NOW.

Ultimately its just another way for the ultra wealthy and the elites to continue to concentrate wealth and resources at the top, and hope we don't notice. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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