PNW March 2023 Weather Discussion (2012 Redux)

[TT-SEA]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

That’s because most of us on the forum are low elevation peasants and an incredible late March trough usually means 1000’ foot snow levels. It does look pretty decent for this time of year though. Seems possible some lucky folks could get some slushy accumulations in the lowlands if precip hits at the right time. I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw some snowflakes even here at some point. 

For the Seattle area... the ECMWF also shows a strong SW wind from Wednesday night all the way through Friday evening.  Even in the dead of winter that is usually the kiss of death for snow chances (my area included).  

[TacomaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

For the Seattle area... the ECMWF also shows a strong SW wind from Wednesday night all the way through Friday evening.  Even in the dead of winter that is usually the kiss of death for snow chances (my area included).  

I definitely don’t expect anything here besides possibly some flakeage, but it could be something to watch above 500’. Could be better odds down in Oregon as opposed to here as well. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I definitely don’t expect anything here besides possibly some flakeage, but it could be something to watch above 500’. Could be better odds down in Oregon as opposed to here as well. 

We don't even have the GFS teasing us with lots of snow with marginal temps.   When the GFS looks like this for the Puget Sound area then I don't expect much even in my backyard.   

Farther south... different story 

[Winterdog]

1 hour ago, LowerGarfield said:

I'm really curious if everyone in the NW on this board had at least some measurable snow at least once? @TigerWoodsLibido and @MWG had some and they are the most likely to miss out. @PuyallupChris and @Winterdogtoo. 

I did some complaining in December because everyone around me got more snow but I still ended up with 6" total in December.  A trace in January and 6.5" total in February.  I had 6 measurable events for a total of 12.5" for the winter.  All of the snowfall events took place in darkness except the Feb. 28th 4.5" event which came during daylight hours to my delight.

[TT-SEA]

18Z also says we might have another mid-week warm spell next week.   

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We don't even have the GFS teasing us with lots of snow with marginal temps.   When the GFS looks like this for the Puget Sound area then I don't expect much even in my backyard.   

Farther south... different story 

Blue! But I’ll believe it when I see it.

[Doinko]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

Some interesting statistical tidbits looking back on this winter. 
-Fairly chilly NOV-MAR. NOV (-4.2F) DEC (1.7F) JAN (+1.0F) FEB (1.7F) MAR (-3.4F)*
 -Low temp of 21 or lower in DEC (19) JAN (21) and FEB (21)
-Snow in NOV (1.9”) DEC (4.1”) JAN (TR.) and FEB (1.5”)

-2nd lowest max of the 21st century (25)

-15 measurable snowfall days

-14 sub 40 highs, 2 subfreezing highs 

-Rare ice storm 0.3” of ice

-42 sub freezing lows, 2nd behind 2008-2009

I'd give it a B+ or A- probably. We ended up with 7.5" of snow total. Bit over 6" with the 2/22 - 2/23 storm. That storm was really nice because of how most of the snow fell at around 25 degrees with blizzard conditions and then we saw a very late subfreezing high on 2/23, with a max of just 30 and then fell to 17 a few days later. We also had the December blast where we had a max temp of just 23 degrees. Also it was nice having something to track almost constantly besides the early-mid January time period. I'd rank it just equal or ahead of 2013/14 and behind 2016/17

[The Blob]

Perfect drinking on the deck weather

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Perfect drinking on the deck weather

It really is.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

It was an A+ winter for me, of course (and you’re probably all tired of hearing it).

[Deweydog]

I give last winter an FnA.

[Timmy Supercell]

Sounded like it was a decent winter where I left, and it's not totally over yet in terms of measurable snow.

A fail in eastern KY though, minus one impressive cold blast. 

[TT-SEA]

UW cherry blossom explosion is getting close...  

[Winterdog]

My winter grade is a B.  Average snowfall but the snow was short lived, four cold shots with a couple single digits and a coupe teens.   All with bare ground.  MEH

[Phishy Wx]

 

[Phishy Wx]

Cracked a Coors Banquet.  doing some grilling tonight.  Pork Tenderloin

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

 

Prayers UP!

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

UW cherry blossom explosion is getting close...  

Makes me think of this...

https://www.si.com/college/2019/03/07/auburn-harvey-updyke-toomers-corner-oak-trees

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Just a lovely day... sunshine and 55.   Slight chill to the breeze unlike Saturday but still spectacular. 

Downtown was glowing with blue and orange. Pretty vivid sunshine today...should have taken a picture!

[Meatyorologist]

Just going to let this radar loop sink in...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Just going to let this radar loop sink in...

Some little towns are gonna be gone. 

[Deweydog]

10 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Just going to let this radar loop sink in...

Eyewall replacement IN PROGRESS.

[Meatyorologist]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Eyewall replacement IN PROGRESS.

larger windfield soon

[Omegaraptor]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It is a beautiful albeit warm day. Going to crash hard. IMO this trough isn't getting enough love. It's incredibly impressive for late March. 

The 850s shown are pretty impressive for this time of year. Then again I think last April set the bar a little bit high.

[TT-SEA]

Got this pic earlier at stop light in North Bend... back one appears to be Magnolia tree.   It's coming!

[Omegaraptor]

Turned on the AC in my car today. Went a good five months without it but all good things must come to an end.

[Deweydog]

F*ck.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

11 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

The 850s shown are pretty impressive for this time of year. Then again I think last April set the bar a little bit high.

Yeah, if not for last April, this would be extremely notable, I suppose fairly similar to late March 2018. 

[Meatyorologist]

25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Some little towns are gonna be gone. 

I've been watching those occluded rainbands paint parts of the Santa Cruz range red for more than two hours straight. There have to be some isolated 6"+ rainfall totals today south of San Franciso.

[FroYoBro]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It is a beautiful albeit warm day. Going to crash hard. IMO this trough isn't getting enough love. It's incredibly impressive for late March. 

I’m excited for it Andrew. Cold troughs usually have some fun convective showers at this point of the season. 

[Meatyorologist]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Got this pic earlier at stop light in North Bend... back one appears to be Magnolia tree.   It's coming!

Y'all are ahead out there... Mine just started to bud Friday.

[Phishy Wx]

41 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Just going to let this radar loop sink in...

my old place in Lompico (Santa Cruz Mtns) taking a beating

[Phishy Wx]

thing had a closed 'eye' feature just before it made landfall

[Doinko]

March SLP record at SFO

[Phishy Wx]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I've been watching those occluded rainbands paint parts of the Santa Cruz range red for more than two hours straight. There have to be some isolated 6"+ rainfall totals today south of San Franciso.

that's not completely out of character for winter storms there.  This is crazy because it's late season.  I've seen near 10" of rain in 24 hours in the Mtns there

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Y'all are ahead out there... Mine just started to bud Friday.

Magnolia?   Ours is not blooming yet... maybe next week.   But those trees have buds all winter.

[BLI snowman]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah, if not for last April, this would be extremely notable, I suppose fairly similar to late March 2018. 

Let's desperately hope to avoid that analog from May to September.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Crisp cool evening. 

[Phishy Wx]

 

[T-Town]