January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[Requiem]

Let's hope for a snowy, windy, rainy, and exciting month! 

 

http://www.climate.washington.edu/stormking/Jan2000IR01161345Z.jpg

[Requiem]

Exciting times ahead, hopefully. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ugh this seems like such a distant memory now...

 

https://climate.usu.edu/reports/e15daily.php?stn=USC00357809&year=2017&month=1&unit=EN&network=direct:ghcn&sidebar=0

[TigerWoodsLibido]

[Esquimalt]

[Phil]

I’m in Florida now, and will be until 1/3.

 

Pattern changes always seem to happen up north when I’m down here enjoying life instead of geeking out. I’m sure it’ll happen again this year.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Fewest since Dec 2015 which had only 140.  Let's hope Jan can bring something worth getting hyped about because I have a bad feeling we will have a very warm and dry winter in 19-20 so if we fork this one, we can probly start thinking about 2+ years down the road. 

[Phil]

I still think interesting weather is possible out there until around 1/10, +/- a few days. Looks like the SSW/NAM downwell is going to be slower than initially modeled, so Arctic potential is lessening, but there could still be stormy/troughy episodes.

 

Mid-January to early February looks as hideous as ever to me, but who knows at this point. Ridging is likely based on history in such regimes, but predictability is very low right now.

[Front Ranger]

I still think interesting weather is possible out there until around 1/10, +/- a few days. Looks like the SSW/NAM downwell is going to be slower than initially modeled, so Arctic potential is lessening, but there could still be stormy/troughy episodes.

 

Mid-January to early February looks as hideous as ever to me, but who knows at this point. Ridging is likely based on history in such regimes, but predictability is very low right now.

 

[Phil]

Maaaybe.

 

If not, this will go down as the worst 8-9 winter EVER.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

243 pages last year vs 162 pages this year...wow

Last year had a White Christmas for many, that probably made up the differrnce.

[Deweydog]

Good chance this January will be better than last January, if only for the sake of irony.

[Phil]

Good chance this January will be better than last January, if only for the sake of irony.

Famous last words.

[BLI snowman]

Good chance this January will be better than last January, if only for the sake of irony.

 

"Better" as in we might actually see a flake of snow or hard freeze at some point? Not saying a whole lot.

[Kayla]

A January thread created 5 days before January? I think it's fair to say this is the most anticipated January E V E R.

[Front Ranger]

"Better" as in we might actually see a flake of snow or hard freeze at some point? Not saying a whole lot.

 

You didn't manage a hard freeze the first week of the month?

[BLI snowman]

You didn't manage a hard freeze the first week of the month?

 

The low last January was a pedestrian 29 at PDX. 31 at SEA. I hit 25 out here but I'm talking more about the urban centers.

[Deweydog]

"Better" as in we might actually see a flake of snow or hard freeze at some point? Not saying a whole lot.

I wasn’t trying to say a whole lot.

 

Hate to break it to you but this winter may not turn out very cold OR very snowy.

[BLI snowman]

I wasn’t trying to say a whole lot.

 

Hate to break it to you but this winter may not turn out very cold OR very snowy.

 

It would be pretty ironic if next month isn't the warmest on record.

[Deweydog]

It would be pretty ironic if next month isn't the warmest on record.

Mmkay.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

A January thread created 5 days before January? I think it's fair to say this is the most anticipated January E V E R.

You weren't here last year at this time. Phil had said we had a real shot at another January 1950. THAT was the most anticipated January ever. I think this post was put up so early because people are tired of December.

[Phil]

You weren't here last year at this time. Phil had said we had a real shot at another January 1950. THAT was the most anticipated January ever. I think this post was put up so early because people are tired of December.

Lol, I don’t recall saying that.

 

I was bullish, but I wasn’t delusional (IIRC).

[Kayla]

You weren't here last year at this time. Phil had said we had a real shot at another January 1950. THAT was the most anticipated January ever. I think this post was put up so early because people are tired of December.

 

I've been here since 2014 so I remember the "coldest January in years" comments quite well.

 

My comment was meant to be a bit tongue in check. 

 

In all seriousness, I think mid January could bring something special to the NW before things shift east.

[Front Ranger]

Lol, I don’t recall saying that.

 

I was bullish, but I wasn’t delusional (IIRC).

3 week Arctic blast...

[Sometimesdylan]

Looks like Juneau and SE AK will be getting colder. My iPhone weather says Juneau will be getting colder than Haines... have a hard time beleiving that.

 

I have noticed that SEAK tends to get super cold prior to the blasts that Coastal WA gets. GFS showing -10c 850mb temps for Juneau in the 180h (semi believable) range. The wind changes from NE to SSW right at the peak cold temps. That is also pretty unusual. Will be fun to track this blast for the homeland while I hope it sets things up for a cold punch to WA. One can only hope... and post on weather forums...

[Phil]

3 week Arctic blast...

Wrong year.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We've had one cold January since 2014. 

[Deweydog]

Wrong year.

That’s an understatement.

[Jesse]

Wrong year.

That’s precisely what you predicted last year.

[Phil]

That’s precisely what you predicted last year.

I never predicted 3 weeks of perpetual Arctic air. That would be absurd.

[BLI snowman]

We've had one cold January since 2014. 

 

The Portland metro has only seen measurable snow in three Januaries in this decade (2012, 2016, 2017). Totally putrid. Even the sucky 2000s managed six (2000, 2002, 2004, 2007, 2008, 2009).

[TigerWoodsLibido]

The Portland metro has only seen measurable snow in three Januaries in this decade (2012, 2016, 2017). Totally putrid. Even the sucky 2000s managed six (2000, 2002, 2004, 2007, 2008, 2009).

Just 2017 for the S valley. Even worse.

[BLI snowman]

Just 2017 for the S valley. Even worse.

 

I think Eugene had some light measurable stuff in 2012 and 2016 as well. 1/2" or less.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I think Eugene had some light measurable stuff in 2012 and 2016 as well. 1/2" or less.

Incorrect. I don’t see any measurable snow for EUG for those months and 15-16 was a complete dud in the central and s valley. We missed out on the PDX event.

[Front Ranger]

The Portland metro has only seen measurable snow in three Januaries in this decade (2012, 2016, 2017). Totally putrid. Even the sucky 2000s managed six (2000, 2002, 2004, 2007, 2008, 2009).

On the other hand, the 2010s have at least managed colder January's than anything seen in the 2000s.

[BLI snowman]

Incorrect. I don’t see any measurable snow for EUG for those months and 15-16 was a complete dud in the central and s valley. We missed out on the PDX event.

 

EUG wasn't measuring snow in either month (both show as "M"). They clearly had a light dusting in both cases.

[BLI snowman]

On the other hand, the 2010s have at least managed colder January's than anything seen in the 2000s.

 

2017>2004>2007>2009>2012>2002>2008>2013

[stuffradio]

Happy New Years Eve everyone! Here's to a month of looking forward to Cherry blossoms!

[MossMan]

Happy New Years Eve everyone! Here's to a month of looking forward to Cherry blossoms!

These little guys are already popping in my landscaping!

[Deweydog]

‘Bout time someone fires up a February thread...