GDR Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 One thing you should know by now is don’t get roped in by the models this winter. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 Euro 10:1 and Kuchera. Totals increased over Iowa City and Cedar Rapids. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 8, 2023 Author Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 1.3 inches of rain so far, which is good considering the I-44 Rain Deflector Force Field exists. 2 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 12z EPS 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: 15z RAP.... wtf? Iowa could use some snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 18z HRRR is dry/warm like the RAP. turning into a dud 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 The surface temp is above to well above freezing throughout the event. The HRRR's meager snow rates won't cut it. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 1 minute ago, Hawkeye said: The surface temp is above to well above freezing throughout the event. The HRRR's meager snow rates won't cut it. Could be another situation where we get to see it pound, but it doesn't pile up. i guess ill take that over boring. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 The RDPS is following along with the HRRR Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 Hmm. While a few models are drying up big time, DVN just issued a winter storm warning for 5-8 inches. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 27 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: Hmm. While a few models are drying up big time, DVN just issued a winter storm warning for 5-8 inches. they upped the point and click amounts too: 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 DVN/DMX weather story 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 March snow. meh. Temps should run in the upper 20's here though, so should be a decent snow event. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 LOT added the next row of counties to the south to the WWA . 2-5 forecasted 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted March 8, 2023 Report Share Posted March 8, 2023 Can we for once get a reasonable forecast for this county? These are some forecast tomorrow. 18 hrs out. Dmx nws 100% rain Dvn nws mixed precip (county east & warmer) Twc 3 to 5" snow 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 50 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 18z Euro a slight improvement for FSD, MN, and WI through Friday AM. The Euro shows a clear trend toward lifting the best snow northeastward, mostly out of Iowa. The DMX snow graphic has 4-8" from Ames to Fort Dodge. The Euro has 1-2". Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Both SMI offices with good AFD's this pm. Solid to high-end WWA most likely scenario. After last week's intensity, this won't seem as good as it actually looks to be via better temps, and overnight timing. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 5 hours ago, tStacsh said: March snow. meh. Temps should run in the upper 20's here though, so should be a decent snow event. And just like that the heaviest snow shifted south. 1-3”. Yawn. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 @gimmesnow@MKEstormlook like they will score nicely with the added Lehs bonus... Quote Although temperatures will initially be mild, temp profiles will quickly cool down late today and support all snow with SLR ratios increasing to 10-12 to 1 during the heaviest burst of snow. Our snowfall forecast is 6-9 inches, locally more, for the lake counties including Washington and Waukesha where lake enhancement will reach. A Winter Storm Warning has been issued for 6 PM today until 10 AM Fri for this area. Elsewhere across srn WI, 4-7 inches is fcst and is a borderline warning situation, but roads may not become snow covered until late afternoon or early evening with only lgt snow remaining for the Fri AM commute. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 12z HRRR 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 NAM, 3kNAM, FV3 I doubt the NWS would issue winter storm warnings in Iowa if they got a do-over. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 HEAVY SNOW in Des Moines, Iowa, just pulled up the live traffic cams, beautiful winter scene. You guessed it, rain here in KC. The winter of rain continues. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 This snowstorm coming for S MI is looking pretty decent. Accumulations will be enough to shovel once again. At this rate, I would not be surprised to get to near average snowfall, if we get another one down the road, but should be a close call. Where was this active wintry stuff back in January or February. Anyways, this will be a fast mover, but will make for hazardous driving conditions. 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Picked up about an inch of slushy snow this morning in Southwest Omaha. It was just enough to provide a nice wintry scene around here without causing any major issues on the roads… and it will be mostly melted and gone by the end of the day today. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Snow has really picked up now in Cedar Rapids. Visibility has dropped significantly. Nothing sticking yet, but it's starting to get wet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Just now seeing a few flakes in Northeast Cedar Rapids. Latest HRRR is actually showing 5-7" for CR/IC 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 12z GFS Just about all models have shifted the best snow out of the northern Iowa warning area and into southeast Iowa. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Snow is sticking to the grass now. Coming down at least moderately now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted March 9, 2023 Author Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 1.7 inches of rain so far, this is from the ENTIRE system. The funny part is that it's the bullseye in Pott. County, OK 1 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 2 hours ago, Tom said: @gimmesnow@MKEstormlook like they will score nicely with the added Lehs bonus... This has a lot of potential. If they are counting for 4-7 on warm ground where most of it will melt, the ski hills will see a lot of snow because it'll be falling on existing snow and the trees will trap it. Looks like Ski Patrol shift tomorrow will be quite fun, dead in the morning and fresh snow for me. Nice for winter to go out with a bang here instead of a soft wimper. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Models are atrocious these days. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Everything is white now, coming down good. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 The temp quickly fell from 37 to 33. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Light snow and 35° up here in the TC. Forecast is 3-6" 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 I posted this in the wrong thread so I moved it here though this was awhile ago and now I'm up to around 1" of snow. Not sure how much more will accumulate since it's 33° and rates have slowed down a bit. Earlier.......Have heavy snow here currently and it starting to accumulate on the grass even though soil temperatures are in the upper 30⁰s. It started off as a trace of rain/sleet mix, then after a bit it came in like waves of light to heavy snow showers which I could see coming across the fields. It's consistent now though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 The back end of the system is already pushing through Des Moines. Unless more develops behind it (which some models are showing) this will end much quicker than anticipated as well. At least the heavier rates will. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 I was outside a bit ago and I'm about up to almost 2" on my snow boards and elsewhere. There's not much on the road or sidewalks because of it being warmer. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 Snowing very hard. Won't last long. Models have been atrocious around here for this storm as far as moisture goes. Was expecting much more. Oh well. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted March 9, 2023 Report Share Posted March 9, 2023 I'm at 1.8 inches (fell in about 90 minutes). The rate has dropped quite a bit after the initial heavy burst. The latest HRRR shows solid snow filling in early this afternoon for a couple hours, but then becomes pretty light after that. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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