February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[Winterdog]

Anybody else find it annoying that you have to go to "full version" on your cell phone to upvote a post or reply to a post with a quote?  I'm too blind to see the print on full version while using my iPhone.  How bout' it Fred... can that be changed?

[Front Ranger]

Seriously...if the ECMWF ensemble is right we're going to have to change our analogs to the big boys like 1884, 1887, and 1936.  These are the main ones that had very sustained cold.

 

1936 wasn't super snowy (except for northern areas), but it was incredibly cold. 

 

Coldest February on record for most stations, including an incredibly 30.5 average temp at Landsburg, and 28.8 at Bellingham. Landsburg hasn't had a January that cold since 1957.

[Jesse]

The CAA at PDX has been fun this afternoon.

 

From 38 DP 33 at 1pm to 32 DP 24 at 6pm, with NNW winds gusting to 20.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

After todays snow.

[Perturbed Member]

Wait, radar actually doesn't look that bad. As Jesse pointed out another band seems to be forming.

 

It might cover you in the west hills or areas east but I think the west and southern parts of the metro are done with this. The low is pulling away. 

[Requiem]

The CAA at PDX has been fun this afternoon.

 

From 38 DP 33 at 1pm to 32 DP 24 at 6pm, with NNW winds gusting to 20.

 

What do you think that band is going to do? Any chance of filling into PDX?

[TT-SEA]

Anybody else find it annoying that you have to go to "full version" on your cell phone to upvote a post or reply to a post with a quote?  I'm too blind to see the print on full version while using my iPhone.  How bout' it Fred... can that be changed?

 

 

Me too.  

[Guest hawkstwelve]

Some fun stats on this cold, snowy winter night.

 

Some #records today with the snow & cold:
- Sea-Tac Airport: 1.7" of snow today ties record set in 1949
- Bellingham record low of 15°; old record 16° in 1989
- @NWSSeattle record low of 24°; old record 27° in 2014#WAwx

— NWS Seattle (@NWSSeattle) February 5, 2019

 

[Jesse]

What do you think that band is going to do? Any chance of filling into PDX?

Pretty hard to say. Possible this one keeps rotating west and favors the south metro.

[TT-SEA]

Deformation zones are a b*tch to track on radar and figure out what will happen.  

[Guest hawkstwelve]

Temp is falling off really quickly here. Already down to 19 from 26 just two hours ago. 

 

Gonna be a chilly one tonight, folks.

[Meatyorologist]

up vote this if you like snow

Filthy casual

 

Downvote this if you like snow

[epiceast]

Remember the old days when the NWS would issue a sws talking about a long period of cold and snow for a couple weeks? That was back then with crap models and they still were right most of the time. With this pattern shown you would think they would say something. They must really have people breathing down there necks telling them to not say a word.

I memba!

[HighlandExperience]

The Seattle NWS has removed almost all mention of rain from the forecast for the next week now. Just a couple of periods say snow or rain. This upcoming trough / Arctic outbreak could be awesome.

This Feb. will go down with the greats. Greater than December 2008

[MossMan]

Anybody else find it annoying that you have to go to "full version" on your cell phone to upvote a post or reply to a post with a quote? I'm too blind to see the print on full version while using my iPhone. How bout' it Fred... can that be changed?

I also wish that I could upload pics on mobile as well.

[Front Ranger]

Arlington down to 18F as of 5:25. It'll be really interesting to see how cold they get. I think realistically they could get within a couple degrees of 0.

 

Absolutely. I believe the Euro spit out a low of 7 there, but I don't think it fully takes into account that area's radiational cooling capacity in these types of situations.

[MossMan]

After todays snow.

Looks like I picked up about the same amount as my old location.

[Guest hawkstwelve]

Went for a walk right as the sun was setting. Just gorgeous out there!

 

[FroYoBro]

I thought it was about to strengthen around me, but it stopped and retreated eastward again. 

[Front Ranger]

Seems like the band over Clark County is moving further northeast if anything. But a new band seems to be organizing to the SE of the metro area, over Clackamas county. 

 

I think the convergence is stronger with the northern band in Clark County, which will hopefully sag south eventually.

[Deweydog]

Deformation zones are a b*tch to track on radar and figure out what will happen.

Word. Just gotta enjoy/lose your mind over the ride.

[Perturbed Member]

Pretty hard to say. Possible this one keeps rotating west and favors the south metro.

 

If we want to believe the HRRR (which I don't know why anyone would)

 

6PM (This seems to match current conditions)

 

8PM

 

 

 

 

After 10 PM the whole thing implodes except the stuff over the gorge. HRRR claims I'll get back into the action a little.

[Front Ranger]

I don't think anyone mentioned it, but the 18z ICON was definitely onboard for a big Puget Sound snowstorm on Friday/Saturday. Looks like it would eventually bury Portland as well as the low slowly moves down the coast.

[Esquimalt]

I don't think anyone mentioned it, but the 18z ICON was definitely onboard for a big Puget Sound snowstorm on Friday/Saturday. Looks like it would eventually bury Portland as well as the low slowly moves down the coast.

The snowfall maps didn't look too impressive, but they never really on the ICON 

[James Jones]

If we want to believe the HRRR (which I don't know why anyone would)

 

6PM (This seems to match current conditions)

 

 

8PM

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

After 10 PM the whole thing implodes except the stuff over the gorge. HRRR claims I'll get back into the action a little.

 

Similar stuff on the NAM. Some hope still

 

 

 

[Esquimalt]

This is real funny. 

 

https://vancouverisland.ctvnews.ca/man-who-gloated-about-victoria-weather-not-backing-down-after-snowfall-1.4282596#_gus&_gucid=&_gup=twitter&_gsc=sOeh2WN

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Was the November 85 event a ull coming down our coast like today?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

The low passing to the north and then getting cool afterwards but never getting cold.  Can't wait to move out of the south valley.

[Winterdog]

Watching the local news I get a kick out of the common comments about how the drop in temperature tonight will cause things to "ice up" and become slippery.  The high in Seattle today was 28F I think.  

[Requiem]

This band isn't going anywhere but is D**n difficult to track on radar. All mesoscale models show it dipping down around 8.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Watching the local news I get a kick out of the common comments about how the drop in temperature tonight will cause things to "ice up" and become slippery.  The high in Seattle today was 28F I think.

 

The local news people are an embarrassment to this area when it snows or gets cold.

[Esquimalt]

Not impressed with the NAM tonight.  Much drier with the late week system .

[GHweatherChris]

Not impressed with the NAM tonight. Much drier with the late week system .

NAM leading the way!!

[MossMan]

The NAM has spoken. No December 2008 in February redux.

All the snow is going to melt.

[epiceast]

Deformation band getting sheared apart it looks like.... Back edge very apparent on Pendleton radar now and it's moving north fast(WA/OR border atm). Bad for Pdx imo 

 

East part of the band looks healthier imo(moving towards Spokane). Hopefully it stays intact and tilts west and comes through as a reverse front.

[Deweydog]

My dusting will melt before the end of the month. F*ck you EPS weeklies!!!

[Jesse]

Deformation band getting sheared apart it looks like.... Back edge very apparent on Pendleton radar now and it's moving north fast(WA/OR border atm). Bad for Pdx imo 

 

East part of the band looks healthier imo(moving towards Spokane). Hopefully it stays intact and tilts west and comes through as a reverse front.

 

Not sure if I'm on board with your analysis here.

[Jesse]

The area of precip over Clark county indeed seems to be the main deformation zone. Sagging south a bit now it appears. Snow has picked up again here.

[Deweydog]

Not sure if I'm on board with your analysis here.

Doesn’t look good on the Boise radar either.

[Requiem]

Doesn’t look good on the Boise radar either.

 

Looks horrible, absolutely horrible on the Washington D.C radar.