February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[Esquimalt]

if it comes in while snow is still dumping, we could see blowing snow and maybe even blizzard conditions in spots.

Yeah we were talking about earlier how this could meet the environment canada's blizzard warning criteria.

[TT-SEA]

Schools were closed yesterday and today... might be closed Friday... almost for sure will be closed Monday and Tuesday and maybe even longer.  Then its mid-winter break.  

 

They might go to school just 3 days between Feb 1-25.   

[joaqweri]

im tempted now to tweet @ NWSeattle and ask what their blizzard warning criteria is

[Requiem]

Well, I have no idea how that run was for Portland. /:

[joaqweri]

00z FV3 just began.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The legendary 1989 blast was 24mb. The also legendary 1990 December blasts were 25mb. So this would be unbelievable.

It's also important to note that the gradient is around the area that would cause the high wind. If the gradient difference was further north the air wouldn't be squeezed as hard.

[MikeInEverett]

Well, I have no idea how that run was for Portland. /:

Why don’t you look?

[jcmcgaffey]

And just for perspective... the 12Z ECMWF showed a temperature of 30 degrees in Seattle on Friday afternoon at 4 p.m. with the precip starting as snow.

I doubt SEA would be at 30 at 4pm unless there was another shot of air from the north before and cloud cover.  Friday will be warmer than today and even today was warmer than that.

[The Swamp]

I'm confused reading the last two pages.

 

It looks like it starts as rain, as it usually does in the swamp and then changes over to a slop and then accumulates to 4-8"?

 

These "L" sliding down the coast usually kick up an onshore flow that warms the atmosphere.

 

Honestly, this arctic blast to me has been pretty pathetic.  Sure I got 3" of snow but D**n, where were the ripping North winds in the south sound?  I don't think any of that cold dry air ever made it down here.  It's barely 32 outside and that's probably because there is some slop on the ground.

 

Did I miss the cold north winds?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I'm confused reading the last two pages.

 

It looks like it starts as rain, as it usually does in the swamp and then changes over to a slop and then accumulates to 4-8"?

 

These "L" sliding down the coast usually kick up an onshore flow that warms the atmosphere.

 

Honestly, this arctic blast to me has been pretty pathetic. Sure I got 3" of snow but d**n, where were the ripping North winds in the south sound? I don't think any of that cold dry air ever made it down here. It's barely 32 outside and that's probably because there is some slop on the ground.

 

Did I miss the cold north winds?

Some spots are better or worse than others. It would seem we both live in poor locations.

[joaqweri]

my school district (sps) has a 2 hour late start tomorrow so far, if it isn't cancelled because of ice on the roads the school day is only gonna be 3 1/2 because we get out early on wednesdays lol

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Ended up with a 33F high here today, probably would have been sub-freezing with snow on the ground. We're definitely going into this with a cold airmass.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Possible temperature bust in progress tonight if that clearing line doesn't slip south at all...

[Bueryan]

I'm confused reading the last two pages.

 

It looks like it starts as rain, as it usually does in the swamp and then changes over to a slop and then accumulates to 4-8"?

 

These "L" sliding down the coast usually kick up an onshore flow that warms the atmosphere.

 

Honestly, this arctic blast to me has been pretty pathetic.  Sure I got 3" of snow but d**n, where were the ripping North winds in the south sound?  I don't think any of that cold dry air ever made it down here.  It's barely 32 outside and that's probably because there is some slop on the ground.

 

Did I miss the cold north winds?

We felt the winds in Burien. In fact, a lot of our snow blew off the trees roofs and lawns and ended up in drifts that look like frozen waves up against the fence.

[James Jones]

Well, I have no idea how that run was for Portland. /:

 

Shows a lot of the precip falling as rain with southerly flow for PDX Friday/Saturday but I think (hope) it's underestimating the gorge influence. 

[Requiem]

Shows a lot of the precip falling as rain with southerly flow for PDX Friday/Saturday but I think (hope) it's underestimating the gorge influence. 

 

Definitely a lot better for Saturday-Sunday though.

[Perturbed Member]

Shows a lot of the precip falling as rain with southerly flow for PDX Friday/Saturday but I think (hope) it's underestimating the gorge influence.

 

Hopefully the GFS is just really wrong. That would be pretty depressing.

[Requiem]

Hopefully the GFS is just really wrong. That would be pretty depressing.

 

It's not awful for the area. Much better in the foothills too.

[joaqweri]

Hopefully the GFS is just really wrong. That would be pretty depressing.

would be payback for january 2017

[Alex_Snakes]

Jesus the BLI-YWL gradient looks to be 30-32 mb.

 

This would be nuts if verified. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Jesus the BLI-YWL gradient looks to be 30-32 mb.

Albrecht pointed out that models usually overdo the gradiants. They had the last system progged at 29.9 mb, which was clearly overdone. Worth watching though. Like he said still windy and cold.

[Kayla]

Just one reinforcing shot of cold and snow after another. Incredible.

[Requiem]

would be payback for january 2017

 

You guys already had your payback. February 6th, 2017 was cold rain down here and up there it was heavy snow. Also you guys had yesterday's event (a lot better up there).

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Another snowstorm next Friday.

[joaqweri]

You guys already had your payback. February 6th, 2017 was cold rain down here and up there it was heavy snow. Also you guys had yesterday's event (a lot better up there).

jan 2017 PDX got a foot of snow. feb 2017 most of seattle got 3-4" (i got only 1.5"!) though there was 9" on the highest hills of west seattle. we didn't see a flake jan 11. i hope you guys don't get cold rain, but a foot of snow in seattle with nothing in PDX would be some actual payback.

[Jbolin]

You guys already had your payback. February 6th, 2017 was cold rain down here and up there it was heavy snow. Also you guys had yesterday's event (a lot better up there).

Would strong Gorge outflow improve your mood?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

would be payback for january 2017

That was a PDX based event. SLE and EUG didnt have much of anything. That event wasn’t as major and widespread as some seem to think.

[PragmaticPanda]

I'm confused reading the last two pages.

 

It looks like it starts as rain, as it usually does in the swamp and then changes over to a slop and then accumulates to 4-8"?

 

These "L" sliding down the coast usually kick up an onshore flow that warms the atmosphere.

 

Honestly, this arctic blast to me has been pretty pathetic.  Sure I got 3" of snow but d**n, where were the ripping North winds in the south sound?  I don't think any of that cold dry air ever made it down here.  It's barely 32 outside and that's probably because there is some slop on the ground.

 

Did I miss the cold north winds?

 

You're in Puyallup? Most of the weather stations there are showing mid-20s there right now, which is pretty much consistent with the rest of South King and Piece counties. 

 

As for the cold air not making it down here .. well, it got down to 12F where I am at last night and at least in the mid-teens in the Puyallup area. That's pretty d**n rare for these parts!

[Requiem]

jan 2017 PDX got a foot of snow. feb 2017 most of seattle got 3-4" (i got only 1.5"!) though there was 9" on the highest hills of west seattle. we didn't see a flake jan 11. i hope you guys don't get cold rain, but a foot of snow in seattle with nothing in PDX would be some actual payback.

 

Then again, you guys were never forecasted to get anything out of that event. We had models giving us 5-8 inches of snow for that February event and we got nothing, so it was even more of a gut-punch. 

[Jesse]

You're in Puyallup? Most of the weather stations there are showing mid-20s there right now, which is pretty much consistent with the rest of South King and Piece counties. 

 

As for the cold air not making it down here .. well, it got down to 12F where I am at last night and at least in the mid-teens in the Puyallup area. That's pretty d**n rare for these parts!

 

Appreciate the pragmatism.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Still cold at day 14

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The 00z GEM switches the I-5 corridor over to snow faster than the GFS. Total snow through this Sunday 4pm.

 

[MossMan]

Been stuck at 19.2 for the last 2hrs...hopefully we can decouple and keep skies clear...come on single digits!!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

City shutdown.

[luvssnow_spokane]

Way too high!

 

More like 1-2" after it switches over to snow early afternoon on Saturday. Those are probably optimistic too as the the ground is going to be warm and wet.

Did Cliff Mass take over your soul?

[Requiem]

Did Cliff Mass take over your soul?

 

Nah, he's forecasting for Portland. Probably.

[joaqweri]

FV3 is coming in. out to 72hrs so far, shows about an inch already in seattle by 4pm friday

[Kayla]

Everybody wins with the GEM.

 

http://i68.tinypic.com/vgh66d.png

[MossMan]

City shutdown.

Those are epic numbers up in my area! Holy Guacamole!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That was a PDX based event. SLE and EUG didnt have much of anything. That event wasn’t as major and widespread as some seem to think.

 

Yeah. Actually the January 2017 event was pretty localized. Most of the other events that winter were more widespread.