February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[TT-SEA]

00Z run showed about 8-10 inches on Friday night in my area... the 12Z run shows maybe 4-5 inches.

[Esquimalt]

Total snow through Saturday morning... a little less snow in my area than the 00Z run.

 

That's crap for my area.  Wow

[TT-SEA]

Saturday morning 4-10 a.m.

 

[Phil]

Any hot takes on the GFS ensembles would be appreciated. Hoping to see the 12Z op as an outlier.

You’re good. Never-ending winter bliss.

 

Cold re-intensifies again in the D11-16 period.

 

D0-5, 6-11, 11-16:

 

[TT-SEA]

Saturday afternoon...

[TT-SEA]

Saturday evening...

[FroYoBro]

Euro looking much more realistic with totals on the first system. Oregon stays right on the warm side for a lot of the event giving rain. 

[Esquimalt]

Tim why are accumulations so small on south VI relative to other models?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Looks like all models showing a wide area of 8 inch average for most of western wa.

[Timmy]

Euro looking much more realistic with totals on the first system. Oregon stays right on the warm side for a lot of the event giving rain.

no. System is drier tho

[Blizzard777]

Friday evening... slight shift to the north from the 00Z run. 

 

Another streetlamp night date

[TT-SEA]

Sunday morning...

 

[umadbro]

The main event isn't supposed to be until Mon/Tues anyway.

[joaqweri]

12z euro still going with roughly 3-6" for most of the sound. 5-6" in seattle.

[TT-SEA]

Sunday afternoon...

 

[The Swamp]

To rain or not to rain. That is the question.

[joaqweri]

Cue the people jumping off the ledge because of one run.

 

Looking forward to the usual suspects calling this a bust... three days before.

model: shows 6" which is still pretty big | people: lose hope because other models show a foot

[TT-SEA]

Monday morning...

 

[Requiem]

EURO has stayed consistent with this weekend’s system. I like it. This is reminding me of 1/17/12, massive in the foothills and respectable in the PDX lowlands.

[Front Ranger]

The first time I can recall being legit excited for a winter weather pattern out there..haven’t seen a wavetrain like this in forever. The forcing structure is much better than even December 2008 (as modeled)..and it’s all made possible via extratropical RWB forcing on the tropics, rather than having originated in the tropics first. ENSO be d*mned.

 

I want to see 19th century snow records at least challenged, if not obliterated. It’s actually a possibility this time.

 

It definitely appears to be one of those once-in-a-generation deals.

 

A part of me wishes it were occurring a few weeks earlier so we would see the maximum cold season possibilities, but at the same time, having it occur now will probably end up making it a more exceptional event from a historical perspective - since the vast majority of PNW snow/cold records have occurred in the late December to beginning of February time frame.

[Olyman]

I don't post much at all. Mostly read and learn. But my 2 cents would be I'd prefer a tad less snow (3-6 is still decent), but with colder air; rather than 12 inches of sloppy, wet snow.  I love when the snow is powdery and it drifts and stays for a while without all of the ice underneath.

[High Desert Mat?]

That Kona low though. Nice anchor

[TT-SEA]

Monday morning 4-10 a.m.

 

[TT-SEA]

Monday afternoon... way north.   Seattle gets it again.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

It definitely appears to be one of those once-in-a-generation deals.

 

A part of me wishes it were occurring a few weeks earlier so we would see the maximum cold season possibilities, but at the same time, having it occur now will probably end up making it a more exceptional event from a historical perspective - since the vast majority of PNW snow/cold records have occurred in the late December to beginning of February time frame.

Was thinking the same thing. How much difference you think it would make if it came in December for Temps?

[TT-SEA]

Monday evening...

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

EURO AT 144HR WTF

[BLI snowman]

EURO has stayed consistent with this weekend’s system. I like it. This is reminding me of 1/17/12, massive in the foothills and respectable in the PDX lowlands.

 

Very different set up down here though. This is probably going to be a snow to rain to snow scenario for Portland, with cold air advection at the end. With a low moving down the coast rather than an undercut. Better setup overall but I wouldn't be surprised if amounts are similar.

[TT-SEA]

Tuesday morning... Good Lord.   Seattle is going to be shut down all next week if this run verifies.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Speechless.

[Requiem]

Wow, nice.

[Esquimalt]

With the Euro crapping the bed for the island folks, what do you guys think we'll get up here?

[TT-SEA]

Holy frickin hell.   Total snow from Monday morning to Tuesday morning:

 

[BLI snowman]

It definitely appears to be one of those once-in-a-generation deals.

 

A part of me wishes it were occurring a few weeks earlier so we would see the maximum cold season possibilities, but at the same time, having it occur now will probably end up making it a more exceptional event from a historical perspective - since the vast majority of PNW snow/cold records have occurred in the late December to beginning of February time frame.

 

In a sense it's kind of nice to see winter craziness at the end of the season. Kinda feels like it extends our window a bit more than it usually gets credited for.

[awright31]

What in the name of the snow gods just happened on that Euro

[TT-SEA]

Tuesday morning 4-10 a.m.

 

[Phil]

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Holy frickin hell.   Total snow from Monday morning to Tuesday morning:

 

The next 7 days could be a once in a lifetime event. 

[TT-SEA]

Tuesday afternoon...

 

[MossMan]

Unbelievable what is about to unfold...wish I would have gotten a tractor this year instead of a year or two from now. Will probably have to borrow the neighbors tractor to keep my driveway unburied. WOW! Historic is all I can say...