Farmboy Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Ummm, what?Port Angeles 39 inches.. Whuuttt?? "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rustysprocket Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Flabbergasting euro totals for Washington county! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Dafuk Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Ummm, what?Holy crap!!! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 What about straight effect snow? I would expect that to manifest itself with the positioning of the lowNot sure what period your referencing but it looks like the models are accounting for some strait effect snow Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Aren't some models saying the freezing area in the column will be like 50mb thick at times with decent precip rates? 500ft should be doing pretty good. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I feel like Ashton Kutcher is gonna pop out of doorway or closet and PUNK the out of us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Nope. Not,buying it. I refuse. Right? Brownsville and Sweet Home looking at a foot over the next 10 days. I don't think that has happened here since the 80s or earlier. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Close to 30 inches here. If this happened as shown or even close it would be a disaster. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 That was the wildest model run I've ever seen in my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Close to 30 inches here. If this happened as shown or even close it would be a disaster.You need to get over now and get your old Chevy truck with the plow and bring it home...you are going to need it! Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Even if we got 1/2 of what euro shows it would be incredible. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Not sure what period your referencing but it looks like the models are accounting for some strait effect snow Saturday.I just would expect pockets of heavier accumulations then 4 to 6 inches...I'm not entirely convinced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 You need to get over now and get your old Chevy truck with the plow and bring it home...you are going to need it!I was waiting for the euro run i'm leaving now this is starting to look serious. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I just would expect pockets of heavier accumulations then 4 to 6 inches...I'm not entirely convinced. Correct me if I'm wrong but don't you do pretty well with cold air damming situations? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I know. I was just pointing out that snow hole. It looks ridiculous and unlikely to verify. Can’t even think of a mechanism that would put one there given the setup.It’s an error in the snow map algorithm(s), not the model. Those fake snow holes are simulated around here all the time and they never verify (unless it’s right over DCA, in which case it always verifies. Haha). Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Ummm, what?Thanks for sharing that. Good to see that the Kuchera ratios are available on that site, nobody ever posts those. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 If this happens i will drive my polaris with the tracks on it to Moss Mans house. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Close to 30 inches here. If this happened as shown or even close it would be a disaster.Don’t talk like that. Not a disaster. A miracle. 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I keep trying to not get overly excited in anticipation of the rug pull but I can't help myself. Holy ******* that Euro run is absolutely unreal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 It’s an error in the snow map algorithm(s), not the model. Those fake snow holes are simulated around here all the time and they never verify (unless it’s right over DCA, in which case it always verifies. Haha).Good to know. I was in the donut hole as well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Below zero in the Tri Cities this morning. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I just would expect pockets of heavier accumulations then 4 to 6 inches...I'm not entirely convinced.Yes. If we see some convection with the outflow. Otherwise, I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Was thinking the same thing. How much difference you think it would make if it came in December for Temps? I'd guess 2-4 degrees colder on average. Bigger difference for highs. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Close to 30 inches here. If this happened as shown or even close it would be a disaster.Why a disaster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewnichols25 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Ummm, what? Absolutely insane. Maybe NBC, CNN, etc. will finally mention the PNW after all these years! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Good twitter exchange someone had with Scott Sistek for those of you on the Eastside (east of Puget Sound) Rob Nelson @Robthegman 29m29 minutes ago MoreReplying to @ScottSKOMO@ScottSKOMO are east winds going to eat all the snow in Snoqualmie and north bend?1 reply 0 retweets 1 like Reply1 Retweet Like1 Scott SistekVerified account @ScottSKOMO 9m9 minutes ago MoreOne of the variables. Earlier models had stronger east winds and lower snow totals there but more recent trends haven't had as much and keep snow on Eastside too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 That was the wildest model run I've ever seen in my life.That was yesterday’s run for me. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Very different set up down here though. This is probably going to be a snow to rain to snow scenario for Portland, with cold air advection at the end. With a low moving down the coast rather than an undercut. Better setup overall but I wouldn't be surprised if amounts are similar. Yeah if this ends up verifying the conventional wisdom on our window is going to be reconsidered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SeanNyberg Posted February 6, 2019 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I know we are like Leonardo DiCaprio on one of his yachts, waiting for the newest and freshest models to come out, but I just wanted to say Hi!I'm new to this forum.Studied meteorology at UW for two years before making a huge pivot and deciding to get into Law. Got my JD at Gonzaga Law.Obsessed with weather, born and raised in Issaquah, college in Seattle, law school in Spokane, and now I live in downtown Bellevue. When I was in middle school I job shadowed Jeff Renner on King 5 News. I was so D**n excited and no one else in my class knew who he was. haha Anyway - look forward to all the posts and throwing my thoughts in occasionally.Just wanted to say HI! 16 -------------------- Sean Nyberg IG: @SeanNyberg X: @SeanNyberg Facebook: Sean Nyberg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 It’s an error in the snow map algorithm(s), not the model. Those fake snow holes are simulated around here all the time and they never verify (unless it’s right over DCA, in which case it always verifies. Haha). What was the error in this case? Was the error that the snow hole should not exist in the first place or should the snow hole should really be bigger and expand into the western part of the metro area?Holy frickin hell. Total snow from Monday morning to Tuesday morning: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Some low temps for Washington over the next week. Check the date stamps for timing. Crazy to see the Fraser valley go sub zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BhamMe Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Friday through 4 p.m. Here it comes. At least everyone should be able to get home safely that afternoon. The craziness will start in the evening. Friday - 4 PM. If the snow hits in the afternoon Friday, vacating Seattle could be a mess. Not Thanksgiving 2010 or 2012 (can't recall the year) but widespread messy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I know we are like Leonardo DiCaprio on one of his yachts, waiting for the newest and freshest models to come out, but I just wanted to say Hi!I'm new to this forum.Studied meteorology at UW for two years before making a huge pivot and deciding to get into Law. Got my JD at Gonzaga Law.Obsessed with weather, born and raised in Issaquah, college in Seattle, law school in Spokane, and now I live in downtown Bellevue. When I was in middle school I job shadowed Jeff Renner on King 5 News. I was so d**n excited and no one else in my class knew who he was. haha Anyway - look forward to all the posts and throwing my thoughts in occasionally.Just wanted to say HI!Ahh, Jeff Renner, undoubtedly one of the most pessimistic forecasters the NW have ever known, aside from Rich Marriott and possibly Rod Hill in PDX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I know we are like Leonardo DiCaprio on one of his yachts, waiting for the newest and freshest models to come out, but I just wanted to say Hi!I'm new to this forum.Studied meteorology at UW for two years before making a huge pivot and deciding to get into Law. Got my JD at Gonzaga Law.Obsessed with weather, born and raised in Issaquah, college in Seattle, law school in Spokane, and now I live in downtown Bellevue. When I was in middle school I job shadowed Jeff Renner on King 5 News. I was so d**n excited and no one else in my class knew who he was. haha Anyway - look forward to all the posts and throwing my thoughts in occasionally.Just wanted to say HI!Welcome brother! Awesome to see all the new members joining. 2 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I know we are like Leonardo DiCaprio on one of his yachts, waiting for the newest and freshest models to come out, but I just wanted to say Hi!I'm new to this forum.Studied meteorology at UW for two years before making a huge pivot and deciding to get into Law. Got my JD at Gonzaga Law.Obsessed with weather, born and raised in Issaquah, college in Seattle, law school in Spokane, and now I live in downtown Bellevue. When I was in middle school I job shadowed Jeff Renner on King 5 News. I was so d**n excited and no one else in my class knew who he was. haha Anyway - look forward to all the posts and throwing my thoughts in occasionally.Just wanted to say HI! I think the Zags have a real good shot at a natty this season. Nice to have you here. The amount of regular posters on here is going to double. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I think most of us are going to get something at this point. The bullseye will probably shift (though it seems closer to Seattle at this point). "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 That was yesterday’s run for me.Expect more of these wild runs to continue over the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I think most of us are going to get something at this point. The bullseye will probably shift (though it seems closer to Seattle at this point).I think I see a wind event at hour 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I'd guess 2-4 degrees colder on average. Bigger difference for highs.Phil would know, but I wonder if the arctic air itself would have been this cold a month ago. I don't just mean this year, with the timing of the SSW event, but in general, if it is in later January and into February that the arctic air is at its coldest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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