February 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest - Part 1

[Frontal Snowsquall]

1 degree in Yakima, -28 in Havre, MT on last hourly.

That's cold.

[TT-SEA]

Thursday morning...

 

[Guest Sounder]

I'm still not sure on the difference between the two or which algorithm has better verification but here is Kuchera totals through 4PM Tuesday.

 

More than the 10:1, FWIW.

 

 

The Kuchera ratio takes into account temperatures in the lower atmosphere when calculating ratios, so it accounts for features like a warm nose better. End result generally means wet snow will show up with lower totals and if it's cold, it will show higher totals. I've seen conflicting and pretty much only anecdotal reports about whether or not it's more or less accurate.

[epiceast]

I know that we frown on people that post meme WRF maps, but that's 3 feet ratio adjusted at mission ridge and 2 feet in Wenatchee....

[TT-SEA]

Thursday morning and afternoon...

 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Going to be a lot of happy folks on here in the next week. 

[Guest Sounder]

Less snowy runs ahead.

Ban please.

[Requiem]

This is the first time I've ever seen the EURO be so consistent with a potentially major event in a very long time. Honestly the only model not buying it is the GFS. Unfortunately for me, subconsciously I value the GFS's input a bit too much.

[TT-SEA]

Total snow through next Thursday... Oregon posters can continue their complaining.  

 

70-80% of the snow in the Seattle area comes in a 12 hour period on Friday night,  

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Total snow through next Thursday... Oregon posters can continue their complaining.  

 

90% of the snow in the Seattle area comes in a 12 hour period on Friday night,  

 

 

Only 9 inches in the south valley? Throw it out!! 

[epiceast]

Total snow through next Thursday... Oregon posters can continue their complaining.  

 

90% of the snow in the Seattle area comes in a 12 hour period on Friday night,  

 

Bend Posters will be asking for a refund, how come Washington valleys in the lee of the Cascade are scoring more?

 

Can we please think of the radar technicians!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Interestingly the 850mb temps for the GFS are a lot colder than the EURO.

[TT-SEA]

SEA went from 21 inches on the 12Z run to 9 inches on the 00Z run.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

SEA went from 21 inches on the 12Z run to 9 inches on the 00Z run.

 

I bet it ends up somwhere in the middle.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

I know that we frown on people that post meme WRF maps, but that's 3 feet ratio adjusted at mission ridge and 2 feet in Wenatchee....

I live in that area, and I wish those maps included county lines or major highways. My only frame or reference is Lake Chelan to the North and Puget Sound to the West and I still can't make out my location.

[Guest Sounder]

Total snow through next Thursday... Oregon posters can continue their complaining.  

 

70-80% of the snow in the Seattle area comes in a 12 hour period on Friday night,  

 

 

Wow looks like the Cascades and the Coast Range do way better than Portland which is in a big hole of lower totals. What a disappointment for Portland once again.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Total snow through next Thursday... Oregon posters can continue their complaining.

 

70-80% of the snow in the Seattle area comes in a 12 hour period on Friday night,

 

Regional snowstorm.

[Deweydog]

Just pretend this in an August icebox 6 months removed. Embrace and enjoy.

High cloud shocker index is at -5.24.

[MossMan]

Total snow through next Thursday... Oregon posters can continue their complaining.

 

70-80% of the snow in the Seattle area comes in a 12 hour period on Friday night,

 

I wonder how many more times the late weekend/early week system will bounce between great for Oregon and great for the Puget Sound region.

[TT-SEA]

Regional snowstorm.

Many separate events. Portland seems to get in solidly on all of them though.

[Guest Sounder]

I live in that area, and I wish those maps included county lines or major highways. My only frame or reference is Lake Chelan to the North and Puget Sound to the West and I still can't make out my location.

Pinpoint your location using the coastline on Puget Sound directly to your west and the WA/OR border directly to your South, then just follow the lines up to where they intersect.

[SouthHillFrosty]

SEA went from 21 inches on the 12Z run to 9 inches on the 00Z run.  

Does this Monday system have a pattern its following or is it all over the place still? jw cause i might have a midterm on tuesday......

[Deweydog]

Portland vs. Seattle will be even more fun when we both have NHL teams.

[Perturbed Member]

Boom!   Forms out of nowhere on Monday morning.

 

 

 

Here is the GEM map at exactly the same time (4AM Monday). Remarkably similar. 

 

[Guest Sounder]

I do have to say, I hope that we pick up more YVR posters in the future, but for this particular stretch, considering the hole they seem to be in for basically everything, I'm kind of relieved that most of our active members are WA, OR, and Vancouver Island based.

[Deweydog]

Does this Monday system have a pattern its following or is it all over the place still? jw cause i might have a midterm on tuesday......

Study.

[Requiem]

I wonder how many more times the late weekend/early week system will bounce between great for Oregon and great for the Puget Sound region.

 

My hope is that it settles on a consensus good for all of us.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Many separate events. Portland seems to get in solidly on all of them though.

Yeah, you can say that.

[ShawniganLake]

FWIW, the UKMET also has a ton of moisture directed at Oregon next week. Similar to the Euro

[Cloud]

Does this Monday system have a pattern its following or is it all over the place still? jw cause i might have a midterm on tuesday......

It’s still all over the place.

 

Study regardless. Don’t hingr your hopes on a snowstorm, your midterm isn’t going to go away.

[TT-SEA]

Does this Monday system have a pattern its following or is it all over the place still? jw cause i might have a midterm on tuesday......

 

Far from decided.

 

The Friday system is locking in now.

 

It will be Saturday at the earliest before things settle down for the Monday/Tuesday event.

[ShawniganLake]

I do have to say, I hope that we pick up more YVR posters in the future, but for this particular stretch, considering the hole they seem to be in for basically everything, I'm kind of relieved that most of our active members are WA, OR, and Vancouver Island based.

YVR weather nerds are gnashing their teeth right now. Trust me.

[Jesse]

I remember someone here telling me that lows trend further north the closer we get to zero hour.

DOWNVOTE.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Currently -14 in Joseph, OR.

[TT-SEA]

Probably Sunday

 

We might have some more consistency by Saturday.   Right now its like the wheel on Wheel of Fortune when its cranking around at a good clip.   

 

By Saturday it will be slowing way down and you can start to anticipate where it might actually stop.  

[epiceast]

DOWNVOTE.

 

We're a subreddit now~!

[MossMan]

21.8 currently.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

It’s still all over the place.

 

Study regardless. Don’t hingr your hopes on a snowstorm, your midterm isn’t going to go away.

 

I did that on a Dec 18, 2008 final. Ended up staying up all night when I realized the low was stalling to the north. Did fine on the exam, but I wouldn't recommend it.

[ShawniganLake]

Victoria is in a historic snow drought. They are due

 

[Blizzard777]

24* and got my new snow shovel today !

I’m ready ....but first some sleep....I need some sleep