February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV

[Geos]

Fabulous news.  That means the low is south.

  

It is ripping here!

  

Hoquiam holding fast at 33 with NE wind. Definitely later switchover than expected there.

Like hearing this. Everyone to the north turn your fans on and point them to the south or southwest!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

FWIW the EURO shows low elevation snow on day 10.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

The run overall is still colder than the 00z as well.

Great for you and me East of the Cascades, but the later in February you go, the harder it is to get snow west of the Cascades. The patterns shown on the morning runs would be great for them from mid December to mid January, but not good enough now. Good for the mountains though, and not far from being good enough for west of the mountains.

[snow_wizard]

:’(

 

54C81E31-E7EF-4AC1-B1C8-A53CCD7EFACC.png

 

Those snow people look  pretty sad. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

First time caller, long time listener...

 

Had flurries, then a transition to about 5 minutes of rain here and now back to small flaked snow.   Temp gauge outside is showing 36...

 

Really small flakes and 35˚F here. Surprised it hasn't changed to drizzle yet. None of the stronger radar echoes seem to be making it much beyond Tacoma. If this continues, it could stay snow at Olympia in the heavier precip but change over to drizzle or light rain in Seattle.

[jakerepp]

Those snow people look  pretty sad. 

 

That picture just hurts! That's what I always hate after a good snow storm. Just the very sad, very wet mounds of snow or remnants of snowmen that are hanging on for deal life. 

[Winterdog]

Oh boy the sun is out here and the temp is going up fast.  I love the sun but not in times like this.

[MossMan]

Oh boy the sun is out here and the temp is going up fast. I love the sun but not in times like this.

Really? Snowing here.

Dark cloudy as well.

[SnarkyGoblin]

Temps really shot up here in the past 30 minutes or so. Reporting 36.

I think it's cause we're (Greenwood/Fremont) are in an area with little precip at the moment.  The heavy precip really keeps the temperature down.  Not sure why Olympia would be 33 degrees and we would be at 36.

 

Maybe this cold barrier is stronger than most models calculated.  Hard to believe it's still snowing in places like Westport.

[Olyman]

Been dumping all day in Olympia.  I have to think it will switch over fairly soon.

[Winterdog]

Really? Snowing here.

Dark cloudy as well.

Yeah really.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

45 and rain

[runninthruda206]

how far is it still snowing near the coast?

[Tenochtitlan]

There were a few snowdrifts up to a foot or two deep last night in downtown Bellingham. Here's one I found at 2 AM on Holly Street. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hrrr tomorrow morning. 

 

[snow_wizard]

Looks like the big stuff is getting close now.  My temp has already began to fall...34.7 after a peak of 35.1.  Outflow doing its work.

[MossMan]

Great for you and me East of the Cascades, but the later in February you go, the harder it is to get snow west of the Cascades. The patterns shown on the morning runs would be great for them from mid December to mid January, but not good enough now. Good for the mountains though, and not far from being good enough for west of the mountains.

For my area anyway over the last 10yrs I’ve had a few epic events at the end of February so I don’t think that is necessarily the case. Get into the second week of March...then we are stretching it.

[Geos]

A solid 29° in Everett right now. 32° at home.

[Blizzard777]

I notice Sea Tac is at 34. So probably not much more accumulating snow there for the time being.

34 here as well

[bainbridgekid]

Bellevue College (took 2 meteorology classes there) and the Northwest Nazarene in Nampa, Idaho. Ended up drafted by the Phillies in the 27th round in 2015, so it worked out in the end, even though I never really pitched in a game as a pro. Had arm issues and came home 3 weeks after arriving in Florida. If you Google my name (Jake Reppert) you'll find a lot on me.

As soon as you mentioned baseball, I knew exactly who you are. Lookoutlanding for the win!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Hopefully it tuns to heavy snow during the commute.

 

EURO shows midnight highs for W. Oregon, with afternoon temps only mid-30s along the I-5 corridor.

I hope so. The 12z HRDPS changes it to heavy snow East Metro in the morning. So you never know.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

It really does get tough for lowland snow once we get past the first 10 days of February. And almost impossible for it to stick around long. The only two snows I can remember sticking around for any period of time past the first week of February in the valley were the 2/12/95 one, which stuck around for 2-3 days, and the big 12/19/93 event which was followed by a fairly cool airmass. On 2/26/08 we got a solid 2-3" in the Salem area and that afternoon it was 46 and partly cloudy and you would have never guessed it had snowed that morning.

[Prairiedog]

Bellevue College (took 2 meteorology classes there) and the Northwest Nazarene in Nampa, Idaho. Ended up drafted by the Phillies in the 27th round in 2015, so it worked out in the end, even though I never really pitched in a game as a pro. Had arm issues and came home 3 weeks after arriving in Florida. If you Google my name (Jake Reppert) you'll find a lot on me.

Played at Pacific U. in Forest Grove. 68-72.  Played in the minors with Baltimore.  Great time in my life.  Left the game to teach and coach.  It was a higher calling for me.  No regrets. Played semi pro ball for some years while I was teaching.  Won a Casey Stengel Semi Pro World Series in I think  '74.  Coached the JV team at Eastern Oregon in La Grande for a bit.  Biology major but weather was always a big hobby.  I'll check you out. I still have some records that stand at Pacific.  Ron Keil.  All American in '70.  Now I just salmon and steelhead fish and tie myself up in knots studying weather models. 

Sorry for the off topic.  Baseball gets my saliva flowing.  Spring training just around the corner!

[Geos]

Starting to snow near Paine Field now.

[Winterdog]

Looks like the big stuff is getting close now.  My temp has already began to fall...34.7 after a peak of 35.1.  Outflow doing its work.

I'll be lucky to be under 40F today with the sun blasting away.  Earlier I thought it might stay below freezing today. It's unbearable to see.  It's like a giant blowtorch searing the white landscape.  A revolting development for sure. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I hope so. The 12z HRDPS changes it to heavy snow East Metro in the morning. So you never know.

 

 

This has the band a little east of the Hrrr at the same time. Selfishly I would prefer this solution. But I would like to see the west metro score. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Played at Pacific U. in Forest Grove. 68-72.  Played in the minors with Baltimore.  Great time in my life.  Left the game to teach and coach.  It was a higher calling for me.  No regrets. Played semi pro ball for some years while I was teaching.  Won a Casey Stengel Semi Pro World Series in I think  '74.  Coached the JV team at Eastern Oregon in La Grande for a bit.  Biology major but weather was always a big hobby.  I'll check you out. I still have some records that stand at Pacific.  Ron Keil.  All American in '70.  Now I just salmon and steelhead fish and tie myself up in knots studying weather models. 

Sorry for the off topic.  Baseball gets my saliva flowing.  Spring training just around the corner!

 

It's funny. So many of us played or are big fans of baseball. Baseball and weather seem to go together in such a strange way. Statistics are definitely a common thread. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

It's funny. So many of us played or are big fans of baseball. Baseball and weather seem to go together in such a strange way. Statistics are definitely a common thread.

Makes sense as weather affects games being played in baseball more than the other 3.

[Front Ranger]

18z NAM keeps snow in the Seattle area a little bit longer this evening compared to 12z run. FWIW.

 

As far as I can tell, the low is not any further north or south at this point than has been progged by recent model runs. The warm front does appear to be lifting north as forecast...I'll be surprised if Hoquiam stays snow much longer, and OLM will probably switch over within a couple hours.

[Karl Bonner]

What about all that snow cover east side? Nearly 2 feet in the gorge and over a foot points east.

 

This gave forecasters and models a real headache back in Jan-Feb 2017. Seems to me that a cold east wind could easily redevelop at some point in the next 7-10 days.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

18z NAM coming in slightly south and east of the 12z with the anafront tomorrow morning.

[Perturbed Member]

Crap model but still fun to see

 

[Geos]

In the Midwest at least. Warm fronts have a hard time making progress over deep snow pack and usually end up further south than forecast in the end. Fwiw

[jakerepp]

Played at Pacific U. in Forest Grove. 68-72.  Played in the minors with Baltimore.  Great time in my life.  Left the game to teach and coach.  It was a higher calling for me.  No regrets. Played semi pro ball for some years while I was teaching.  Won a Casey Stengel Semi Pro World Series in I think  '74.  Coached the JV team at Eastern Oregon in La Grande for a bit.  Biology major but weather was always a big hobby.  I'll check you out. I still have some records that stand at Pacific.  Ron Keil.  All American in '70.  Now I just salmon and steelhead fish and tie myself up in knots studying weather models. 

Sorry for the off topic.  Baseball gets my saliva flowing.  Spring training just around the corner!

 

Heading to Peoria on March 2! First time to ST as a fan. I love talking baseball. Talking, watching, reading, whatever. 

[wxmet]

18z NAM keeps snow in the Seattle area a little bit longer this evening compared to 12z run. FWIW.

 

As far as I can tell, the low is not any further north or south at this point than has been progged by recent model runs. The warm front does appear to be lifting north as forecast...I'll be surprised if Hoquiam stays snow much longer, and OLM will probably switch over within a couple hours.

 

 

The NAM 18z analysis hour is colder than the 6hr forecast of the 12z NAM. It's playing catching as it's trying to scour out the cold air too quickly.

[snow_wizard]

It's about to get real here!  The radar is getting much more impressive.  Temp continues to slowly fall here.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Very fine snow right now.  Not accumulating.  Warm air seems to be encroaching on radar.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Weather report Chris??

[jakerepp]

As soon as you mentioned baseball, I knew exactly who you are. Lookoutlanding for the win!

 

WHO ARE YOU??

[El_Nina]

Crap model but still fun to see

 

That would be nutso