February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Models seem to be hinting at things for next week...residual model noise or are we just going to have a one week lull in the action before getting slammed again? I can’t think of many past events that featured that long of a break. Few days sure, but over a week? I’m sure it has happened but I just cannot think of any off hand.

 

I'm thinking next week will be cooler and more active than this week ended up being. Pretty troughy it looks like. All the models and their ensembles tend to agree on this. I think the bigger question is what happens after next week. Do we see a true pattern change or do we stay in this cool pattern. 

[Phil]

Sure has slowed down here. I almost got used to having to catch up on 4-5 new pages if I wasn't logged on for a few hours.

It’s still insane..I used to gave a busy day and could catch up in 5 minutes. Now it takes 20 minutes + I want to reply to every other post.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

So glad this board is picking up steam. 

[Blizzard777]

[Blizzard777]

I’m happy for the mountains though

[Phil]

I'm going to be in NYC for almost a month in March and I'm hoping there's a freak warm spell!

Ha, good luck. March is colder than November out here, but given all the rules this year as broken maybe we’ll string some 90 degree days together or something.

[Blizzard777]

39* I could bubble!

[Phil]

If we were looking at definite snow chances coming up I would be all for it, but drippy cold rain that we are looking at now just doesn’t make me very enthusiastic. Let’s get the sun and warm temps going.

 

What is wrong with you guys?

[Bryant]

What is wrong with you guys?

His tune will change if the models continue to show the goods

[Phil]

His tune will change if the models continue to show the goods

The Tim disease is spreading.

[MossMan]

What is wrong with you guys?

38 degree drizzle does not fascinate me. 18 degrees with snow falling like last week...that fascinated me. 31 degree big snowfalls also does the trick. Windstorms...BIG events! If we are looking at boring weather I would rather it be sunny and mild.

[MossMan]

His tune will change if the models continue to show the goods

Absolutely! Already intrigued about next week.

[Jesse]

[crf450ish]

Where's snow_wizard been? He just vanished right in the middle of all the action over there...

[Kayla]

FWIW...I have a feeling it's not over for WA.

 

[crf450ish]

What is wrong with you guys?

I'll tell you....when you live somewhere where when the snow falls and the wind doesn't typically blow....when it does snow, it just keeps accumulating vertically. Add that to the fact that a warm-up is almost always inevitable and what you end up with a slushy hole of a mess that ruins yards and driveways and causes flooding and damage. Most people in Western wa love the snow but when it warms up, they just want it to get warm and melt the snow and dry things out as quick as possible.

 

At least that's my thought process.

[MossMan]

[Christensen87]

18z GFS showing massive snowstorm next weekend and then ushering in the coldest air of the season afterward. 

[Esquimalt]

18z GFS showing massive snowstorm next weekend and then ushering in the coldest air of the season afterward.

Yeah I was just gonna say. Freezing cold right thru hour 384! FV3 is also looking mighty fine with a big cold shot around hour 300

[MossMan]

I'll tell you....when you live somewhere where when the snow falls and the wind doesn't typically blow....when it does snow, it just keeps accumulating vertically. Add that to the fact that a warm-up is almost always inevitable and what you end up with a slushy s**t hole of a mess that ruins yards and driveways and causes flooding and damage. Most people in Western wa love the snow but when it warms up, they just want it to get warm and melt the snow and dry things out as quick as possible.

 

At least that's my thought process.

Last evening was kind of crappy. Most of the snow had fallen off the trees and it was a 34 degree dripfest. Not the lovely low DP’s that we were getting used to over the last week. A little better today. But yeah, let’s keep it around with highs in the low 30’s and low DP’s or let’s just hit the 50’s and get rid of the slush.

[Christensen87]

Yeah I was just gonna say. Freezing cold right thru hour 384! FV3 is also looking mighty fine with a big cold shot around hour 300

 

Haha, just more reasons to keep constantly checking the models. It's never ending! 

[Jesse]

Whenever I’m lucky enough to get snow I like to hold onto it as long as possible. My opinion is right.

[GHweatherChris]

What does the FV3 say for tomorrow/Friday?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Oh My God.

 

The GFS just brought back the DRUNK UNCLE!

[Kayla]

The beat goes on...

 

[Kayla]

Tim might be coming back home to more snow than he left with!

[jakerepp]

18z GFS showing massive snowstorm next weekend and then ushering in the coldest air of the season afterward. 

 

YESSSS don't want any of this tweener stuff...let's go all out again!

[HighlandExperience]

What does the FV3 say for tomorrow/Friday?

FV3 is always wrong

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This is totally insane. Framing it... If this verified it would have to be the coldest February on record for Montana I would think...

 

[GHweatherChris]

FV3 is always wrong

It did great with the Monday system.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

I'll tell you....when you live somewhere where when the snow falls and the wind doesn't typically blow....when it does snow, it just keeps accumulating vertically. Add that to the fact that a warm-up is almost always inevitable and what you end up with a slushy s**t hole of a mess that ruins yards and driveways and causes flooding and damage. Most people in Western wa love the snow but when it warms up, they just want it to get warm and melt the snow and dry things out as quick as possible.

 

At least that's my thought process.

I average 95 inches of snow per year. Once the melting starts, usually in early to mid March, you do want it to melt fast. But our grass is accumulated to snow and rebounds quite nicely. Proper fertilization and maintenance helps with that. We dont have much of a problem with flooding, though the river here will rise and some walking paths close to the river have to be diverted for a few weeks.

[MossMan]

[Kayla]

This is totally insane. Framing it... If this verified it would have to be the coldest February on record for Montana I would think...

 

Yeah...that would do it. Even without that the long range ensemble forecasts will break a lot of February records.

 

Havre is already running -8.1F on their coldest February on record with a mean temp of -6.6F through yesterday.

[Deweydog]

384 is back baby!!

 

Long live the first two thirds of winter 2018-19!!

[Deweydog]

Haha. There’s a snow hole right over Jesse’s house at hour 312.

[James Jones]

What's the long range EPS looking like right now? Would be nice to get a true regional arctic blast out of this pattern before it breaks down.

[Kayla]

384 is back baby!!

 

Long live the first two thirds of winter 2018-19!!

 

The first two thirds of winter didn't even have that.

[Blizzard777]

39* I could bubble!

38.6 and dropping

That was close. Adverage temp now 32.2 for my place

[Jesse]

Haha. There’s a snow hole right over Jesse’s house at hour 312.

Karma for our bonanza on 2/8!!!

[Deweydog]

The first two thirds of winter didn't even have that.

Have you and the FV3 not met?