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February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV


Geos

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Changes to the forecast this evening...will scale back on the snow

accumulation numbers over central Puget Sound a touch ( but keep

the winter storm watch up ). Will not give up on the snow

completely for the Central Sound. If you are a snow lover you

can`t be happy with the trend and if you have had enough of the

snow, well now the model trends are now your friend.

 

Warming trend on Tuesday with the precipitation from about

Snohomish county southward mostly rain.

 

The upper level trough appears to stall across the Pacific Tuesday

night into Wednesday keeping low snow levels ( but above the

surface ) in the forecast although the precipitation looks light

and spotty. Felton

Sigh... I’m running at 34° right now at 350’ above sea level in West Seattle right now, snow is melting off trees already and I’m getting sad... I’m hoping to pick up at least another few inches tomorrow but my gut feeling is it will be all rain

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Euro day 10. Just because...

 

ecmwf_z500a_namer_11.png

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Finally stopped, though looks like it may be a break (as there are a lot of yellows popping up towards Scapoose and Vernonia).

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Wow Felton at Nws saying this is probably the toughest forecast he's ever had to do in 30 years.

I think even a 30-50 mile jog to the south with the low would bury many of us...and the models have not been spot on at all so it’s very possible to possibly probable.
  • Like 2

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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I swear every single forecast always has a snow hole up here and even the amount that gets predicted ends up being too much. I've had a week straight now of watching the radar collapse as it approaches only to reform a few miles away. Don't get me wrong I'm loving the snow I have currently, but I would love to see one storm that gives me more than 2". Okay, rant over.  :)

 

At least now the snow I have isn't melting. Low has passed and north winds have returned so temp is quickly dropping. Was around 33F, but back down to 29F.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Appears to be changing back over to snow here.

 

Wild. The little storm that could.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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I swear every single forecast always has a snow hole up here and even the amount that gets predicted ends up being too much. I've had a week straight now of watching the radar collapse as it approaches only to reform a few miles away. Don't get me wrong I'm loving the snow I have currently, but I would love to see one storm that gives me more than 2". Okay, rant over. :)

 

At least now the snow I have isn't melting. Low has passed and north winds have returned so temp is quickly dropping. Was around 33F, but back down to 29F.

You need to trend south by about 15 miles or so!

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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00z RGEM/RDPS rainfall through Tuesday 4pm with still more rain to come after this.

 

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

 

Wet!

  • Like 1

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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