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February Snowfalls 2/10-2/12, Part III & IV


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Go Rod Hill!

 

Worried about my chances (they are already pretty low) for this one, the south winds are usually quite strong in the higher hills of the Central Metro. Still hope my elevation is an advantage! Either way I get heavy rain- this could be the wettest day I've recorded on my weather station.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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This one seems really good and automatically calculates based on your location:

 

https://www.whatismyelevation.com/

 

You can also point and click on a map using this one:

 

https://www.freemaptools.com/elevation-finder.htm

 

Both say I'm exactly 509 feet.

Both say around 423 feet. Not sure if I buy it since Finn Hill gotta be higher than me.

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  • Longtimer

So the 3K NAM went a little nuts for tomorrow...

 

http://models.weatherbell.com/hires/2019021200/portland/hires_snow_portland_34.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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3km NAM putting out some ridiculous maps for something that will most likely just be rain for most low elevation areas. West metro does get shafted as is usual protocol this winter.

 

sn10_acc.us_nw.png

 

You never know- even Mark mentioned the possibility of snow (and the flood threat- it's going to pour!). I'm excited, I could do okay. Dewpoints are dropping, temp down to 37.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Both say around 423 feet. Not sure if I buy it since Finn Hill gotta be higher than me.

About 515 ft at the top.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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  • Longtimer

Worried about my chances (they are already pretty low) for this one, the south winds are usually quite strong in the higher hills of the Central Metro. Still hope my elevation is an advantage! Either way I get heavy rain- this could be the wettest day I've recorded on my weather station.

Rod’s a little cooky. Our “chances” moving forward have nothing to do with east winds. It’s about post-frontal heavy precip with dead gradients and the column working its way to going isothermal.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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What do you think about us Geos over 400 feet and bothell area

Good chance it will stay snow at least through the moderate to heavy precip.

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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3km NAM putting out some ridiculous maps for something that will most likely just be rain for most low elevation areas. West metro does get shafted as is usual protocol this winter.

 

sn10_acc.us_nw.png

Looking like all snow here on north now...

Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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Updated NWS Seattle snowfall graphic. 3-4" changed to 6-8" for Monroe, and 8-12" changed to 12-18" for North Bend.
 
Not sure about other locales - those were just the two I focused on with their previous graphic.

 

Edit: They still have their old graphic up on weather.gov/sew for NWS Seattle. Couple other changes I see: Everett went from 3-4" to 4-6", Mount Vernon went from 6-8" to 3-4", and Bremerton went from 3-4" to 6-8". Most of the lowlands of Puget Sound stayed the same.

 

sg8uLwB.jpg

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Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

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Updated NWS Seattle snowfall graphic. 4-6" changed to 6-8" for Monroe, and 8-12" changed to 12-18" for North Bend.

 

 

Not sure about other locales - those were just the two I focused on with their previous graphic.

 

700p #SitRep: Here's a look at our best estimate of snowfall between 4PM today and 10am Tuesday. **Note that these totals include some snow that has fallen between 4-7 PM** #wawx #wasnow pic.twitter.com/DVhRGuFlV4— NWS Seattle (@NWSSeattle) February 12, 2019

Victoria went from 6-8 to 8-12. Don’t blame them :)

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  • Longtimer

NAM also changes precip to snow on Thursday afternoon as the incoming cold trough interacts with a deformation band from the low in California...

 

namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_47.png

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Guest CulverJosh

NAM also changes precip to snow on Thursday afternoon as the incoming cold trough interacts with a deformation band from the low in California...

 

namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_47.png

 

 

Ya.  I noticed most extended forecasts have thursday night/fri a few degrees colder.  

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  • Longtimer

Still 29F and absolutely dumping here in Victoria, probably over 8" on the day now after 3" yesterday.

 

A few pictures from today.

 

Snow picking up downtown:

 

NNQSV9r.jpg

 

On the walk home, things started looking more like the rest of the region:

 

RsWibnn.jpg

 

Didn't Victoria have like a 5 year snow drought going?

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Ya.  I noticed most extended forecasts have thursday night/fri a few degrees colder.  

 

It's kind of an interesting set up. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1.36" of precip so far today. DROUGHT BUSTING!

 

9th straight sub-40 high today...Thursday could be a close call in that department...

 .76" for the day so far.  Definitely more moisture on the east side today.  Holding at 41 since about noon. 

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Guest CulverJosh

It's kind of an interesting set up. 

 

 

I'm thinking the lower resolution of that map is making it appear to be in PDX though when in fact it is probably far east counties... . Good for you though.

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Worried about my chances (they are already pretty low) for this one, the south winds are usually quite strong in the higher hills of the Central Metro. Still hope my elevation is an advantage! Either way I get heavy rain- this could be the wettest day I've recorded on my weather station.

Yeah, I'm actually looking forward to the heavy rain for once. I love seeing strong echos on radar. If we could have heavy snow mixed in there it will just be a bonus.

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Rod’s a little cooky. Our “chances” moving forward have nothing to do with east winds. It’s about post-frontal heavy precip with dead gradients and the column working its way to going isothermal.

You're absolutely correct  but if there is an east wind component, it will aid in dropping the temp an additional degree or two in the lower levels and that could make the difference  down on the valley floor.  It's going to be pretty marginal below 500ft or so.  It could make that difference of a degree or two.  I think that's what he's alluding to. 

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