Clinton Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 It doesn't look like the storm train ends after this weekend. The FV3 continues to show a big southern and central plains storm on the 19th and 20th and another good hit for Neb, Kan, MO and Iowa on the 23rd. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 On the weekend system NWS GRR today says nothing to see there. Maybe a inch or so if not less. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 There's your snow for those in the KC/MO region...nearly identical snow shield when comparing to the Nov 8th-10 upper level wave which produced snow across NE/KS/MO. Just amazing how powerful the LRC can be...this is just the beginning of a series of disturbances throughout next week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 There's your snow for those in the KC/MO region...nearly identical snow shield when comparing to the Nov 8th-10 upper level wave which produced snow across NE/KS/MO. Just amazing how powerful the LRC can be...this is just the beginning of a series of disturbances throughout neTruly amazing and this will be the Feb version with a more amped jet stream, so I think we can add on to those totals a little. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Nooo! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 12z GFS 1st wave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 12z GFS 2nd wave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 12z GFS 2nd waveA little more north pls. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Man, just a couple of days ago, this was advertised to be a "PowerHouse" and then suddenly, it went to a simple meh! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 It’s interesting seeing a sub 1000mb low track over the area with little to no precipitation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 We are going to KC on Friday morning for a belated Christmas that we weren't supposed to host on Dec. 26th but our blizzard derailed those plans. I am hoping we can avoid the snow chances coming through from Central Nebraska to KC. Our school has a scheduled day off on Friday so it works out great, but we always deal with some type of weather when traveling it seems. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 That 2nd wave looks amped Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 NOAA: LONG TERM / THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY A brief respite from the active weather pattern will occur Thursdaywith dry weather as the surface ridging quickly passes by. Attentionthen shifts to another very dynamic low pressure system ejecting outof the Plains Thursday night into Friday. There continues to remainsome differences in the track of the low, but long range guidancehas been in pretty good agreement that this system will potentiallybe even stronger as it deepens to the mid 980s hPa as it tracks nearthe region. Thermal profiles with this system suggest that anothersignificant winter storm will be possible, with snow being the mainptype. The focus since has been on the 2nd system, but as of yesterday, CPC likes us for system #1 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 It's nice to see folks to the south getting in on the action. Unfortunately, models have shifted the entire wave train south of my area. I guess we got our storm. Still, several storms would have been nice. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Euro is slow today on weathermodels.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 First wave 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 First waveI'll take that! Puts the heavy band right on me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 The focus since has been on the 2nd system, but as of yesterday, CPC likes us for system #1 20190211 CPC hazards_d3_7.pngBig question here is, will it come to fruition?! Whether is wave 1 or 2 is fine w me, as long as we get inundated w an all snow event w greater than 6." 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 I'll take that! Puts the heavy band right on me.Me too! Running outta Wintertime to be greedy at this point. March is knocking on our doorstep. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Wave 2, but at 10:1 for 24hr snowfall to separate storms 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Unfortunately, models have shifted the entire wave train south of my area. I guess I have to take this comment back. The new euro appears to have a couple decent systems dropping snow across Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Both waves 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Interesting set up for you guys. Hope it comes through 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 I'm interested in seeing the next low at day 7-8. The euro shows the surface features way southeast, but the 850 low tracks across Iowa. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 With my luck those totals will be cut in half or just be freezing drizzle by the time the event gets here!! This is by far though the best opportunity for me to receive snow that I have seen in a while so hopefully it pans out! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 3rd wave on Wednesday lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Both wavesThanks for posting! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 3rd wave on Wednesday lol I suppose there's not a ton of moisture to work with when the surface front is so far south of the region, but the ratios would probably be pretty good. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Thanks for posting!In my opinion using the LRC the storm on the 19th and 20th should be the biggest one in the series. Tom what's your thoughts on this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Seem like all the waves are bouncing around the Chi area 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 With my luck those totals will be cut in half or just be freezing drizzle by the time the event gets here!! This is by far though the best opportunity for me to receive snow that I have seen in a while so hopefully it pans out! Did you read the Hastings disco this morning? They are surprised we haven't had much snow. Pattern: for those who love snow...it`s frustrating that we havea -PNA pattern in place but can`t seem to get a big snowstorm.The high over low configuration btwn AK and HI and the Wrn trofthat results has yielded many 6+ inch snowstorms over the yrs.This pattern just doesn`t seem to want to produce. For sure...thepattern has turned colder and that will cont for at least the next2 wks (see the CPC temp outlooks). We need to remain alert asthis pattern is favorable for significant snow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Did you read the Hastings disco this morning? They are surprised we haven't had much snow. Pattern: for those who love snow...it`s frustrating that we havea -PNA pattern in place but can`t seem to get a big snowstorm.The high over low configuration btwn AK and HI and the Wrn trofthat results has yielded many 6+ inch snowstorms over the yrs.This pattern just doesn`t seem to want to produce. For sure...thepattern has turned colder and that will cont for at least the next2 wks (see the CPC temp outlooks). We need to remain alert asthis pattern is favorable for significant snow.I did read that, pretty crazy! Hopefully we cash in here in the upcoming weeks. I would like to see a prolonged period with snow on the ground before march hits; that's when your snow pack disappears in a couple days with the heating of the day! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 In my opinion using the LRC the storm on the 19th and 20th should be the biggest one in the series. Tom what's your thoughts on this?Just got back in the saddle and catching up on things...yes, the 18th-20th system bears watching for begin the biggest of the bunch next week. Great set up which will tap into copious GOM moisture. This one correlates to the storm system that hit the Sub on New Year's eve. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 12z runs continue to be encouraging. Back to back systems with no warm up in sight. Let's see how we can screw this up 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 Euro wants to drop 6" on me between now and Sunday and no warm up. Could see a solid snowcover if that pans out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 I just don't think the clipper system for Friday will be that far southwest, those types of systems usually don't do that and I wouldn't be surprised if it comes more northeast eventually. But I'm definitely liking the trends for this weekend! I don't remember a stretch of winter weather this good in years! Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 12, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 12z runs continue to be encouraging. Back to back systems with no warm up in sight. Let's see how we can screw this up We'll end up with an inch from each of these. Calling it now. 4 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Craig-OmahaWX Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 We'll end up with an inch from each of these. Calling it now.With that attitude we will! lol Quote 2018-2019 Snowfall Totals So Far : 59.5" For More Winter Weather Forecasts for 2017-2018 : https://www.facebook.com/snowdayweather/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 12z GEFS look pretty nice across the heartland...this is just through this weekend. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 12, 2019 Report Share Posted February 12, 2019 E13 takes into consideration of the omadome lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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