2/19 - 2/20 Southern Plains/GL's Cutter

[Hawkeye]

The snowstorms just aren't ending for Iowa.  If this keeps up, we'll end up with 50 inches this winter, with nearly all of it during the second half.

[jcwxguy]

The snowstorms just aren't ending for Iowa.

south and sw has been the trend this year it seems, maybe it will be better for us in Nebraska

[Clinton]

The snowstorms just aren't ending for Iowa.

And you may get another one next weekend!

[james1976]

Jeez and ratios may be high

[hlcater]

This winter will be used as a future benchmark for turning it around in the 2nd half after an abysmal first half.

[Niko]

Lets see if this storm will strengthened by next week. Otherwise, it could be very little, to even nothing IMBY.

[Stacsh]

Lets see if this storm will strengthened by next week. Otherwise, it could be very little, to even nothing IMBY.

I’d take 2-4 what the local Mets are calling for already. I just want pure snow. Been sleet/slop/freezing rain or blowing dust here lately.

[Niko]

I’d take 2-4 what the local Mets are calling for already. I just want pure snow. Been sleet/slop/freezing rain or blowing dust here lately.

I'd take that too....here in SEMI, I only had one pure solid snowstorm back in January (I think it was on the 31st) where 6"+ fell w no mix. Others were mini systems w ice and BS combo added to it. Brings back memories of 11-12.'

[Hawkeye]

Now the UK is stronger... has several inches falling across much of Iowa.

[jcwxguy]

Gfs

[Grizzcoat]

Euro still has it-- less QPF for C.IA but still a 4-6" event

[jcwxguy]

Euro

[Tom]

00z Euro still showing a good hit for a lot of us across the MW/GL's region....24-hour increments...then I posted a total snowfall map.

[Grizzcoat]

DMX's take on this event (for now).

[Niko]

So far for my area looks like a nuisance (1-3").

[Hawkeye]

The 12z GFS-FV3 continues to back farther nw, now has the mix getting up to Iowa City.

[jcwxguy]

12z euro

[Niko]

So far looking like a 1-3" event here IMBY. Its looking a tad better though.

 

 

 

Baby steps!

[Money]

18z gfs came in quite a bit stronger

[jcwxguy]

18z gfs came in quite a bit stronger

[Stacsh]

This storm is puzzling

[jaster220]

This storm is puzzling

Like every one this winter. I'm so tired of riding the southern fringe I could puke! Stop and let me off already!

[Clinton]

Precip on the 00z NAM looks a little encouraging.

[Clinton]

And here are the amounts through 84

[OmahaSnowFan]

[Minny_Weather]

Looks good for eastern Nebraska. Too bad it’s the NAM at 84 hours

If I had a dollar for every time NAM showed a storm with 6"+ here in the past two weeks...

 

Hell it's STILL showing 6" for the ongoing one even though radar is crap here lol

[Hawkeye]

00z GFS and FV3 - Both stronger than previous runs.

 

[East Dubzz]

Lol FV3. Appreciate its optimism, but it’s just ridiculous. That said, the runs have been solid lately. Who knows what’ll happen, but I like that there’s another chance again.

[jcwxguy]

00Z euro

[jcwxguy]

I'll post the Iowa one shortly, also these are 10:1 maps

[jcwxguy]

I'll post the Iowa one shortly, also these are 10:1 maps

[Hawkeye]

Yeah, the euro keeps pushing the best snow farther west each run.

[Grizzcoat]

06Z GFS with another Iowa special--- ring it up!!! Almost identical to this current system....

 

[Grizzcoat]

FV3 -

[Grizzcoat]

With updated grids ; DMX calling for the following for my location Tuesday/night-

 

This is becoming a dream come true (almost- hasn't happened yet)

But reminds myself  of the song "The Zoo" by the Scorpions  (yeah I like me some 80's metal)

 

 

We eat the night, we drink the time
Make our dreams come true
And hungry eyes are passing by
On streets we call the zoo

 

Enjoy the zoo
And walk down 42nd street
You wanna be excited too
And you will feel the heat

[Grizzcoat]

From DMX morning AFD -

 

This will lead us into the next system, mainly late Tuesday into
Wednesday, which is currently a PV trough embedded in a secondary
jet segment off the west coast. This evolution will not be too
dissimilar to our current system advancing through the Rockies and
eventually reaching the MO Valley Tuesday Night. Deep, phased
thermodynamic and kinematic forcing will advance WSW-ENE through
IA mainly Tuesday Night, aided by a NW-SE lobe of moisture
transport, frontogenetical forcing and theta-e advection. Much of
this will be in the form of snow with confidence medium to high in
another widespread round of moderate accumulations. Much like
this morning, there may also be a following surge of light
freezing rain or freezing drizzle south and possibly east with mid
level drying potentially losing ice introduction into Wednesday
morning. These snow and/or ice accumulations may impact the
morning commute Wednesday.

[Grizzcoat]

Finally!!

 

[St Paul Storm]

Looking like a nice little stat padder. Compaction has lowered our snow total otg to about 12-14”. So this event would freshen things back up a bit.

[Hawkeye]

I am becoming a little concerned east-central/southeast Iowa may end up on the southeast edge of this system.  The FV3 and Euro, especially, have pushed the best snow west and north.

[Clinton]

12z NAM loves Iowa