2/19 - 2/20 Southern Plains/GL's Cutter

[Madtown]

^lmao

[ToastedRavs]

So who deserves this storm? I haven’t kept tabs on whose turn it is to deserve the snow.

HA! I would say anyone near KSUX. Sioux City. They have been in the suck so I believe this winter. Of course this only implies to those north of I70. I don't think we have anyone near KSUX on here, do we??

[Minny_Weather]

So who deserves this storm? I haven’t kept tabs on whose turn it is to deserve the snow.

Anyone but everywhere besides the great city of Grand Island, Nebraska.

[clintbeed1993]

So who deserves this storm? I haven’t kept tabs on whose turn it is to deserve the snow.

 

Please jump off a bridge dude.

[clintbeed1993]

Anyone but everywhere besides the great city of Grand Island, Nebraska.

 

You can join him

[Minny_Weather]

You can join him

Ouch, my feelings.

[Minny_Weather]

3KM NAM kuchera snowfall & ptype @ hr 60.

[Minny_Weather]

00Z GFS is a tad West from 18Z. On my phone so I can't post a map.

[jcwxguy]

Gfs

[Iowawx]

Really incredible to think that after we just got 8 inches of snow today, the next storm which looks to produce another 5-7 inches is just about 48 hours away. 

[jcwxguy]

Fv3 is further west

[ToastedRavs]

This system is eerily similar to the one just wrapping up...for Des Moines at least. Same timing...same placements of heavy axis. GFS nailed this storm this weekend...kudos to it if it nails another one. Will be a record breaking storm if it comes true.

[jcwxguy]

GFS failed bad for Eastern Nebraska this past storm

[bud2380]

This really looks identical to the storm today. Crazy. Another 6” perhaps on top of the roughly 7” we got today. Insane pattern.

[NH4NU]

The NAM, GFS, and FV3 have all held their ground for the most part from 12z runs. Aside from a tad west and a bit wetter. Anxious to see what NWS does with this one! 

[hlcater]

The bleed north and west can stop anytime.

[jcwxguy]

Pivotal 3km nam, different amounts shown from other one, such as Omaha

[Hawkeye]

The bleed north and west can stop anytime.

 

Yeah, we don't want to be riding the southeast edge of the model snow band.  

[Minny_Weather]

The NAM, GFS, and FV3 have all held their ground for the most part from 12z runs. Aside from a tad west and a bit wetter. Anxious to see what NWS does with this one!

I don't see much of a change in their forecasts happening, imo. Maybe a bit more in the Iowa portion of the OAX CWA, but I think Nebraska will be largely unchanged.

[Bryan1117]

This pattern is just incredible... this is certainly making up for the last few years of watching everyone else cash in. Amazing to think that after getting 6" of snow in Omaha today, that another decent snow is coming up so quick.

 

It has been over 5 years since Omaha has had a snow depth of 10+ inches of snow... and that is looking like a very real possibility later this week. 

[jcwxguy]

Ukie

[Hawkeye]

00z UK precip total

 

[hlcater]

I think CR/IC sees snow out of this regardless, but these 00z runs have all had a tick NW respective to their 18/12z runs (except ukie, cant comment on it). If this continues, We'll be out of the heaviest snow axis and have to contend with above freezing surface temps wednesday.

[jcwxguy]

Euro is pretty much the same for nebraska

[Grizzcoat]

Euro held it's ground here compared to 12Z for QPF-- .41 to .42

[jcwxguy]

Euro for Nebraska

[jcwxguy]

Iowa

[jcwxguy]

Kinda looks like the fv3 except Central iowa

[Grizzcoat]

Euro with "another" NW IA bias. At this point- with NW IAI getting missed with the heaviest (and in one case- no snow at all) for like the 4th time in the past 2 weeks certainly makes one wonder if the Euro has a issue with these types of winter events. At least this year and in this current pattern.

[GDR]

Euro loves nw Iowa again, shocker

[Craig-OmahaWX]

Looks a lot like the EURO! Wow! I'll take it!

[Craig-OmahaWX]

4km

 

[Grizzcoat]

4KM?   That's odd that they would do one with resolution in between 12KM and 3KM--- anyhew; here's the 06Z GFS

[Grizzcoat]

FV3-

[Grizzcoat]

[Clinton]

6z NAM more juiced even some 6 inch snows for me.

[Tom]

00z EPS snow mean...the shift west is legit and basically has the KC region/NE/IA/MN in the game of heaviest snows...

[Clinton]

I know there is someone in Oklahoma who post here from time to time so I hope your able to get in on this.

[NH4NU]

NWS PC forecast for Papillion now has us at 4-8” — would anticipate a WS Watch by midday if trends hold together.

[Stormhunter87]

NWS PC forecast for Papillion now has us at 4-8” — would anticipate a WS Watch by midday if trends hold together.

That would be cool second one this year if I remember correctly. Edit: They have posted one east of here. Only going 4-6.