jaster220 Posted February 24, 2019 Report Share Posted February 24, 2019 Gfs has almost 2 feet of snow again in most of WI by next Sat/Sun Def an active pattern continuing What gave that away? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 24, 2019 Report Share Posted February 24, 2019 IA has had the hot hand and based off what I'm seeing there are 2 systems this month that could put you over the top. Next weekend and then the following week. Heck, you may continue to add on additional snowfall throughout this month. #historyinthemaking Please no. #makeseveregreatagain Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2019 Please no. #makeseveregreatagainUnlike last year, I think this Spring will feature more severe wx opportunities. I’m thinking late March we could see at least one big outbreak from a larger system cutting NW up into the Dakotas/Upper MW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 24, 2019 Report Share Posted February 24, 2019 Please no. #makeseveregreatagain #WhyNotBoth Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 24, 2019 Report Share Posted February 24, 2019 Unlike last year, I think this Spring will feature more severe wx opportunities. I’m thinking late March we could see at least one big outbreak from a larger system cutting NW up into the Dakotas/Upper MW.I don't know how I'm feeling about severe wx this year. Last year was pretty much a bust. In fact the last couple years haven't been impressive. Honestly with the sun so quiet I think that will affect the chances. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 24, 2019 I don't know how I'm feeling about severe wx this year. Last year was pretty much a bust. In fact the last couple years haven't been impressive. Honestly with the sun so quiet I think that will affect the chances.Delayed Spring is looking likely this year again but I do see a warmer period 2nd half of the month. Southern Plains into the OV are the hot spots this season, esp early in the season. It’s gonna take a little while for the Plains/MW/GL’s to heat up in activity. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted February 24, 2019 Report Share Posted February 24, 2019 How long is the PV intrusion going to last? Things look great for the next little bit of snowboarding, but I know the end of PV usually means above average temps and wet. Looks like there's going to be two weeks of good cold to keep the snow in shape. They never really bother going past St Pat's day weekend though, because people usually give up on Winter by then and are ready to put their skis and snowboards away. The one at the end of January only seemed to last about a week. That would probably make the weekend of the 10th the last one in SE Wisconsin for skiing and snowboarding. Gosh this season went by so fast. November was some great man made snow, December sucked, but January and February have been awesome. For a midwestern snowboarder, I forgot what it was like to ride groomers for a while because there was a solid stretch of riding fresh natural snow like I've never had. It's been a few years since a season ended and I felt this content. I went a lot this year, and had some really great snow. I'd love another powder day but I've had more this season than I have in the last 3 years combined. EDIT: all it takes in March for my season to come to an abrupt end is one day in the 50s with rain, and it's all over dude. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Delayed Spring is looking likely this year again but I do see a warmer period 2nd half of the month. Southern Plains into the OV are the hot spots this season, esp early in the season. It’s gonna take a little while for the Plains/MW/GL’s to heat up in activity.That's a more favorable la Nina setup isn't it? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 That's a more favorable la Nina setup isn't it?Hasn’t that been the overall theme this season? Certainly not an atypical El Niño season as we’ve had a dominant SE Ridge. The LRC proved to be far more accurate than any analogs that were being thrown out there. Feb’s strong SE Ridge was the big surprise for a lot of peeps including me. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Hasn’t that been the overall theme this season? Certainly not an atypical El Niño season as we’ve had a dominant SE Ridge. The LRC proved to be far more accurate than any analogs that were being thrown out there. Feb’s strong SE Ridge was the big surprise for a lot of peeps including me. Gotta keep us guessing, eh? 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 March will be potentially very interesting in terms of storms for peeps on here. Looks stormy and cold. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 #WhyNotBothIt's hard to have severe events in good terrain and have snow for the sub at the same time. Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 It's hard to have severe events in good terrain and have snow for the sub at the same time.I’m saying let’s get a little more snow this month, but then start to transition to severe storms / spring by the end. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 I’m saying let’s get a little more snow this month, but then start to transition to severe storms / spring by the end.Yeah once this snowpack is gone, I'm officially welcoming Spring. With temps that models are advertising though, it'll be hard to melt any of this off even with full March sun. We could easily go into the 2nd week of March with over a foot on the ground. That'd be crazy. 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Yeah this snow isn't going anywhere anytime soon. No above freezing temps in sight, record cold possible first week of March. This seems like the Feb version of Dec 2009. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 GFS with a widespread 3-5 inch storm here late Friday into Saturday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 GFS with a widespread 3-5 inch storm here late Friday into Saturday. hopefully it stays on the models Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Absolutely zero >32*F temps thru 384 hours on GFS, and only one marginal day. I like Winter and all, but this may be where I draw the line. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 So, the Euro lost the weekend storm while the GFS still has it, GGEM is a no show as well and UKIE is rather weak....This would be a big win for the GFS if the storm does in fact form this weekend. Let's see where the models trend today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 It's wild to see the 00z GEFS still suggesting -10's/-20's across the Upper Midwest for days later this weekend into next week....very impressive signal for a long duration cold snap. The higher sun angle in March will help alleviate the bite from the cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 I'd like to chime in on some LR thoughts on storm potential(s) through the first couple weeks this month as an incredibly strong jet stream for the time of year continues to rage. The jury is still out there if the weekend storm becomes a formidable storm or not but trends in the EPS are suggesting a minimal impacting system across the MW/GL's, while the GEFS still continue to show something of interest. Following this period, the central/southern Plains into the S MW states are in the position to see some snow as the pattern becomes suppressed by the magnitude of the cold coming. The period between the 3rd-4th is on my watch for the KC region to see more snow as well as neighboring states down south. Once this system passes on by, the pattern becomes very conducive for strong storms coming out of the SW between the 8th-15th and I'm expecting a couple strong systems to develop across the S Plains and track into the MW/GL's region during this period. Cold air will be fully entrenched during the aforementioned period so expect to see more winter storms, another possible Blizzard is on the table during this period. If this pattern goes into the extreme, which I fully expect it to, some places across the Plains will yet again set snowfall records this month and probably carry on into parts of the MW region. What I'm seeing and envisioning is something I've never been able to track in terms of wx models/etc during the month of March. It's really incredible and intriguing what is on the table as nature continues to show signs of winter not letting up anytime soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDude83 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 I'd like to chime in on some LR thoughts on storm potential(s) through the first couple weeks this month as an incredibly strong jet stream for the time of year continues to rage. The jury is still out there if the weekend storm becomes a formidable storm or not but trends in the EPS are suggesting a minimal impacting system across the MW/GL's, while the GEFS still continue to show something of interest. Following this period, the central/southern Plains into the S MW states are in the position to see some snow as the pattern becomes suppressed by the magnitude of the cold coming. The period between the 3rd-4th is on my watch for the KC region to see more snow as well as neighboring states down south. Once this system passes on by, the pattern becomes very conducive for strong storms coming out of the SW between the 8th-15th and I'm expecting a couple strong systems to develop across the S Plains and track into the MW/GL's region during this period. Cold air will be fully entrenched during the aforementioned period so expect to see more winter storms, another possible Blizzard is on the table during this period. If this pattern goes into the extreme, which I fully expect it to, some places across the Plains will yet again set snowfall records this month and probably carry on into parts of the MW region. What I'm seeing and envisioning is something I've never been able to track in terms of wx models/etc during the month of March. It's really incredible and intriguing what is on the table as nature continues to show signs of winter not letting up anytime soon.Seems like some pretty solid wishcasting here from the biggest hack I’ve seen on weather forums/Twitter. Congrats on being right for a few weeks but you were bound to eventually be correct when all you ever call for is “historic” cold and snow. Hopefully folks outside of this goofy group of rejects don’t take a thing that comes out of your bald head seriously. You, sir, are fake news. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Seems like some pretty solid wishcasting here from the biggest hack I’ve seen on weather forums/Twitter. Congrats on being right for a few weeks but you were bound to eventually be correct when all you ever call for is “historic” cold and snow. Hopefully folks outside of this goofy group of rejects don’t take a thing that comes out of your bald head seriously. You, sir, are fake news.Looks like the troll from Michigan has surfaced again! Nice way to start the morning off, eh??? We all, collectively, as a group, must obviously be doing something right over here for you to continue trying to come on here and read what we have to say. LOL...#winning 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDude83 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Looks like the troll from Michigan has surfaced again! Nice way to start the morning off, eh??? We all, collectively, as a group, must obviously be doing something right over here for you to continue trying to come on here and read what we have to say. LOL...#winning No trolling here, bro, I 100 percent stand by everything I post. Especially you being a wishcasting hack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 No trolling here, bro, I 100 percent stand by everything I post. Especially you being a wishcasting hack.Dude, your obviously a newbee on here and don't have a clue what your talking about. I'm far from a wischaster, even when tracking winter storms that don't have my back yard in the game so don't even go there. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Is IP banning a thing on here? 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDude83 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Is IP banning a thing on here?They definitely should do it for you, if so. Give you a chance in life. When I was in college — I was out having fun, chasing girls and making memories. You’re posting snow totals on a weather forum 24/7. Someone in charge here needs to save you from yourself before you become Tom Jr. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 They definitely should do it for you, if so. Give you a chance in life. When I was in college — I was out having fun, chasing girls and making memories. You’re posting snow totals on a weather forum 24/7. Someone in charge here needs to save you from yourself before you become Tom Jr. Tom, I hope you're not taking anything this basement dweller says personally 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye1 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Seems like some pretty solid wishcasting here from the biggest hack I’ve seen on weather forums/Twitter. Congrats on being right for a few weeks but you were bound to eventually be correct when all you ever call for is “historic” cold and snow. Hopefully folks outside of this goofy group of rejects don’t take a thing that comes out of your bald head seriously. You, sir, are fake news.Go back to your video games and weed Cupcake. Really pathetic your life has become so depressing that you troll a weather forum. Haha. You are such a loser. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VMB443 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 They definitely should do it for you, if so. Give you a chance in life. When I was in college — I was out having fun, chasing girls and making memories. You’re posting snow totals on a weather forum 24/7. Someone in charge here needs to save you from yourself before you become Tom Jr.I’m surprised your asylum allows patients to have access to the internet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDude83 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Go back to your video games and weed Cupcake. Really pathetic your life has become so depressing that you troll a weather forum. Haha. You are such a loser.Again — no trolling here. Just calling it how I see it during the few minutes each week I stop in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye1 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 The chasing girls in college thing probably didnt turn out very well for you. Mostly bad memories??? I am sorry buddy 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted February 25, 2019 Author Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Tom, I hope you're not taking anything this basement dweller says personallyHell no! I've had my morning amusement along with my cup of coffee...LOL, this guy is a waste of time....no life... 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 This guy again? Geez Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Currently mostly cloudy and much colder w temps at 15F w snowshowers around. Ground has whiten up at least w these snowbursts that I have been receiving. Hopefully, I get my snowpack back again this upcoming week as multiple snowevents are in the cards. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Cars are all frosty. Roads still bad. Clear skies with maybe a bit of haze off in the distance. We didn't set our record low but we came within a couple degrees. 0.0*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormhunter87 Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Cars are all frosty. Roads still bad. Clear skies with maybe a bit of haze off in the distance. We didn't set our record low but we came within a couple degrees. 0.0*F.Beat ours . Wife had to go to work and said she was crawling because of all the ice and snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 Highs below 0F the first week of March would really be something. We’re gonna be glacierized for quite a while by the looks of things. Some of the globals don’t even have 2m temps above freezing until mid March. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
indianajohn Posted February 25, 2019 Report Share Posted February 25, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.