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March 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW


BLI snowman

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Climo cannot be an outlier.   Geography does not change too quickly.   ;)

 

Of course. But you've made more than a couple posts downplaying this air mass based on your location and SEA, when in fact it's one of the more impressive March air masses the western lowlands have seen in some time. Outliers aside.

 

Don't bother answering, I already know exactly what you're going to say in response. You've already said it.  :)

A forum for the end of the world.

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Of course. But you've made more than a couple posts downplaying this air mass based on your location and SEA, when in fact it's one of the more impressive March air masses the western lowlands have seen in some time. Outliers aside.

 

Don't bother answering, I already know exactly what you're going to say in response. You've already said it.  :)

 

I have made comments about how impressive it is in the big picture... and not so impressive locally.   It is what it is.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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That’s a bit nasty, especially for March.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Looked closer at the 12z EURO maps, plenty of precip but the timing is really crap. Main band hits us at 2 PM Wednesday and is actually initially all rain. Rain/Snow mix around 4-5 PM. Gradually turns to all snow around 7PM and continue to snow moderately until 11 PM or so. 

 

Our snow totals could be a lot better if we could improve the timing. Even with this crappy timing, seems we should at least see some light accumulations due to the system being fairly juicy now. 

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1951 called. It's coming back.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12Z ECMWF only shows about a foot of snow for Portland over the next week. :o

 

ecmwf-tsnow-washington-31.png

My area is approaching purple status.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Looked closer at the 12z EURO maps, plenty of precip but the timing is really crap. Main band hits us at 2 PM Wednesday and is actually initially all rain. Rain/Snow mix around 4-5 PM. Gradually turns to all snow around 7PM and continue to snow moderately until 11 PM or so. 

 

Our snow totals could be a lot better if we could improve the timing. Even with this crappy timing, seems we should at least see some light accumulations due to the system being fairly juicy now. 

 

I haven't been paying extremely close attention but does a stronger, juicier system mean we are more marginal temp wise?

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I haven't been paying extremely close attention but does a stronger, juicier system mean we are more marginal temp wise?

 

That does seem to be a factor, 850mb temps are above 0c for the first 2-3 hours of the precip until maybe 4-5 PM when things start to cool off. Still shows a robust band of moderate snow from 6-11 PM though for most of us. The heaviest precip does happen after we are cool enough.

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That does seem to be a factor, 850mb temps are above 0c for the first 2-3 hours of the precip until maybe 4-5 PM when things start to cool off. Still shows a robust band of moderate snow from 6-11 PM though for most of us. The heaviest precip does happen after we are cool enough.

Yeah that’s what I was thinking perusing the Euro. It looked slightly warmer at the 850mb level for Wednesday than previous runs. Hope we can keep this one in the Goldilocks zone. At least we are only 48 hours away.

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Lots of valley snow Sunday/Monday?!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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That’s a bit nasty, especially for March.

Yeah, very extreme and rare to see an ice storm for PDX in March. Temperatures around most of PDX Metro hover around the upper 20s Wednesday morning when the moisture arrives. Looks like possibly another snow/ice day for you on Wednesday. There's definitely no way I'm heading into work if the EURO keeps showing that.

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Crazy, it just won't end. I'm ready for warm weather but it keeps getting delayed. At this rate, we might not have much of a Spring at all.

 

Hoping that spring can stretch in to early-mid July so we won't get ripped off!

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Yeah that’s what I was thinking perusing the Euro. It looked slightly warmer at the 850mb level for Wednesday than previous runs. Hope we can keep this one in the Goldilocks zone. At least we are only 48 hours away.

 

Yeah, I'm at least happy to see that not a single model has thought about trying to bomb this thing out and have it blow by to our west. The low landfalling to our south and passing east is probably a lock now. Hopefully it doesn't trend too much stronger. I'd like to see the whole thing delayed by 6 hours for better accumulations though. 

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