Black Hole Posted December 7, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 7, 2020 Might touch 80 tomorrow or Tuesday but then a return to upper 60s after that. Might even get a shower in here mid week. 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 70ºF in Rapid City, SD today. +30 departure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 9, 2020 Report Share Posted December 9, 2020 Very warm day today with highs near 65 (not quite record territory), but big change coming for the rest of the week. Tomorrow will be over 20 degrees colder, and then Friday/Saturday temps should stay below freezing with some snow showers. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted December 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 We had an MCV embedded in the flow around a passing upper level low which kicked off some fairly heavy rain and broke the Phoenix dry spell at 110 days. Ended up with .62" at my house and was in the 50s all day with low clouds. What a change! Back to mid 60s the rest of the week. 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 Cold day with a high of just 27 and light snow off and on. Only added up to about an inch. Looks like a couple more chances of snow coming up tomorrow night and Monday night. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 22 hours ago, Black Hole said: We had an MCV embedded in the flow around a passing upper level low which kicked off some fairly heavy rain and broke the Phoenix dry spell at 110 days. Ended up with .62" at my house and was in the 50s all day with low clouds. What a change! Back to mid 60s the rest of the week. I'm glad you finally got something there in Phoenix! This has been an extremely dry and boring fall so far for the entire SW U.S., including almost all of CA! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 12, 2020 Report Share Posted December 12, 2020 I like to follow this Twitch channel for the ducks. Look like they’re located outside of SLC in Utah and picked up a few inches of snow last night. First time it snowed since I followed this channel. Looks really nice this morning with the snow. What’s really cool is that the feeder is interactive, so viewers can feed the ducks by donating “bits” and the water is kept at a constant 38F/3C 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted December 13, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 On 12/11/2020 at 10:27 PM, Dan the Weatherman said: I'm glad you finally got something there in Phoenix! This has been an extremely dry and boring fall so far for the entire SW U.S., including almost all of CA! It felt pretty lucky! It's probably going to be a while till we get anything meaningful again so I'll take it. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted December 13, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 We've been getting a number of inside sliders. For my area it's most just been an increase in winds and an intrusion of cold and dry air. Looks like another one comes through Monday and maybe again towards Friday. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Picked up another 3" last night. Have now had over three straight weeks of snow cover...the power (or lack thereof) of low sun angles. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2020 Report Share Posted December 15, 2020 Another 2" last night. Been a nice little wintry stretch. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted December 23, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2020 Seasonal "winter weather" for Phoenix continues with most days in the upper 60s and lows in the low 40s. That should continue into next week. Some indications of a few days in the 50s with some rain around or just before New Years. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted December 26, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 26, 2020 Too bad this thread has kind of died lately. Picked up a paltry .01" this morning but hey any rain is welcome around here. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 27, 2020 Report Share Posted December 27, 2020 Been another warm/dry stretch the past couple weeks for the most part, but the month will close out cold with a little bit of snow possible over the next 48 hours. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 On 12/25/2020 at 6:40 PM, Black Hole said: Too bad this thread has kind of died lately. Picked up a paltry .01" this morning but hey any rain is welcome around here. We are finally getting a decent storm in Socal tonight with even some thunderstorm activity, so maybe your area will get something in the next day or two. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted December 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 On 12/28/2020 at 3:35 AM, Dan the Weatherman said: We are finally getting a decent storm in Socal tonight with even some thunderstorm activity, so maybe your area will get something in the next day or two. I saw most areas did quite well yesterday in So Cal! No rain here but temperatures are much cooler again. Even some decent clouds. It's a nice break before the oven turns back on in a few months. I'm thinking it will be an early and hot spring this year. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 29, 2020 Report Share Posted December 29, 2020 1.5" here last night. Up to 24" for the season. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 5, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 5, 2021 Nothing going on down here at all. I was checking SLC and they are still just under 8" for the year. 2011-2012 was the last similar la nina. I don't know of any first year la nina that was so bad. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 7 hours ago, Black Hole said: Nothing going on down here at all. I was checking SLC and they are still just under 8" for the year. 2011-2012 was the last similar la nina. I don't know of any first year la nina that was so bad. That's bad, but at least it looks like they'll get some snow later this week. And things could change in a hurry once the pattern flips. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 6, 2021 Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 This has really been a boring season for a first season La Nina. I know La Nina years can be quite dry in the Desert SW, but this one has been dry in a much larger region including much of the Intermountain West and northern California as well. I am beginning to wonder if the +AMO (warm phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) that we have been pretty much constantly since the spring of 1995 is playing at least a partial role in this drought that has lasted off and on since 2012? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 13 hours ago, Front Ranger said: That's bad, but at least it looks like they'll get some snow later this week. And things could change in a hurry once the pattern flips. It's true. I suspect that at some point, perhaps Feb-Mar, they will rack up some decent totals to make up for the crappy winter so far. Probably will come in below average still but maybe it won't be as abysmal. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2021 7 hours ago, Dan the Weatherman said: This has really been a boring season for a first season La Nina. I know La Nina years can be quite dry in the Desert SW, but this one has been dry in a much larger region including much of the Intermountain West and northern California as well. I am beginning to wonder if the +AMO (warm phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation) that we have been pretty much constantly since the spring of 1995 is playing at least a partial role in this drought that has lasted off and on since 2012? It's definitely unique to have the entire west (outside of the far north basically) being dry. Usually somebody is getting it. Your guess is as good as mine but it does seem like all patterns lead to dry weather lately... 2 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 7, 2021 Report Share Posted January 7, 2021 14 hours ago, Black Hole said: It's definitely unique to have the entire west (outside of the far north basically) being dry. Usually somebody is getting it. Your guess is as good as mine but it does seem like all patterns lead to dry weather lately... I feel that much of the Southwest is suffering from a cruel double whammy this year, first with the almost total failure of the SW summer monsoon, followed by what has been a bone-dry fall and winter to date. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 8, 2021 Maybe times are changing? Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 10, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2021 Overall seems to be a growing consensus for lower heights over the western USA. Hopefully it turns into something good for many of us. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 Picked up 3" last night. Bit of solace heading into the torch. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 11, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 3 hours ago, Front Ranger said: Picked up 3" last night. Bit of solace heading into the torch. What are you at for this winter now? Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 11, 2021 Report Share Posted January 11, 2021 On 1/8/2021 at 10:53 AM, Black Hole said: Maybe times are changing? I surely hope so! This has been one boring "rainy" season so far for CA and much of the Intermountain West! The entire region desperately needs precip right now in the form of both low elevation rain and mountain snow to boost the snowpack. There has been only one significant rain event in Socal this year, and it brought hail like I have never seen before here in Orange. However, one exciting storm doesn't make up for complete season by any stretch and we need quite a few more storms to bring more beneficial moisture to the area. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 On 1/11/2021 at 2:36 PM, Dan the Weatherman said: I surely hope so! This has been one boring "rainy" season so far for CA and much of the Intermountain West! The entire region desperately needs precip right now in the form of both low elevation rain and mountain snow to boost the snowpack. There has been only one significant rain event in Socal this year, and it brought hail like I have never seen before here in Orange. However, one exciting storm doesn't make up for complete season by any stretch and we need quite a few more storms to bring more beneficial moisture to the area. Looks like we might get a cut off low to pump in some rain next week. Flagstaff might get a lot of snow so that would really help. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 14, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 EC Mean for next Tuesday night. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 14, 2021 Report Share Posted January 14, 2021 On 1/10/2021 at 10:01 PM, Black Hole said: What are you at for this winter now? 27". Normal would be around 30" now. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 16, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 16, 2021 Still some uncertainty with how it all plays out and this could easily bust, but it does seem likely we get some rain with the system coming in. The upper level low will tap into a remnant AR stream that has been sagging south and pump it into AZ on Tuesday-Wednesday. Somebody will probably get some decent rains but I expect most spots at least get a tenth of an inch or so. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 17, 2021 Report Share Posted January 17, 2021 13 hours ago, Black Hole said: Still some uncertainty with how it all plays out and this could easily bust, but it does seem likely we get some rain with the system coming in. The upper level low will tap into a remnant AR stream that has been sagging south and pump it into AZ on Tuesday-Wednesday. Somebody will probably get some decent rains but I expect most spots at least get a tenth of an inch or so. GFS shows some parts of the desert SW seeing impressive totals. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 19, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 19, 2021 On 1/16/2021 at 9:11 PM, Front Ranger said: GFS shows some parts of the desert SW seeing impressive totals. We just issued a flash flood watch for parts of SE Cali and SW Arizona. I don't expect as much in Phoenix this round, but over the weekend it looks promising. 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 21, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 21, 2021 Parts of SW Arizona near Yuma have had over an inch and a half the last few days. Just .08" at my house so far but this storm cycle is just getting going. Looks like Saturday-Sunday I could pick up .25-.75" of rain with perhaps 6-12" of snow in the mountain areas. A very cold storm drops in Monday-Tuesday. Some models even going for snow in the foothills around Phoenix. But I expect another .25-.50" with that and 10-20" in the mountains. This will probably save us heading into summer this year. 2 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Looks like there will be several opportunities for snowfall here over the next week, but could easily be some near misses, too. Will just come down to the exact track of lows ejecting inland from the Pacific. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Noticed this graphic the other day. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 28, 2021 Report Share Posted January 28, 2021 Picked up 2.5" yesterday. Sixth time this winter with a snowfall between 2-3", so a lot of little guys so far. DEN had a low of 2 this morning, coldest of the season. The ridiculous high of 16 on 10/26 still stands as the coldest of the season. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 29, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 29, 2021 Over the series of storms I've managed about .80" so far, but some places have seen much more. The mountains to my north got blasted with over 30" and blizzard conditions in the last storm. Looks like another .10-.50" across the area this afternoon and maybe another storm next week. This sure is a change from before! 1 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 30, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 30, 2021 Got another 1/4" yesterday from a cold front rain band. Probably dry for a few days now but maybe another weak system the middle of next week. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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