Black Hole Posted February 1, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 1, 2021 Back to boring it looks like. Probably no rain for a while. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 5, 2021 Report Share Posted February 5, 2021 Next week is looking like it could deliver the coldest cold wave in quite some time for much of the country. At face value, the 12z Euro would break some records around here and most of the central U.S. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 12, 2021 Report Share Posted February 12, 2021 After a 25/9 day yesterday, it's only 6 degrees here at noon. The next couple days will also struggle to reach double digits. About half inch of fluff last night, expecting a few inches this weekend. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 13, 2021 Report Share Posted February 13, 2021 Record low max for DEN yesterday with 11. Today and tomorrow will also smash record low maxes, and tomorrow may struggle to hit 0. Will almost certainly be the coldest high temp this late on record, aside from the ridiculous -1 seen on 2/27/62. Sunday night also has a real shot at recording one of the coldest lows ever seen after 2/10, with a forecast of -14. This is the third historically cold air mass of the season here: 9/8-9/9 saw the coldest highs on record that early in the season, and 10/26 also set an incredible early season benchmark and new October record with a high of just 16. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 15, 2021 Report Share Posted February 15, 2021 DEN's high of 1 yesterday and low of -16 this morning both mark late season benchmarks second only to the February 1962 cold wave. The month is now running more than 9 degrees below normal, and with continued cold weather over the next week, has a very real shot to challenge 1989's coldest February on record. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted February 17, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 17, 2021 That sure was quite a cold snap east of the Rockies! It was chilly but nothing amazing for SLC. Down here in AZ you'd hardly even know anything was happening. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 19, 2021 Report Share Posted February 19, 2021 Lots of snow potential here next week and potentially beyond with the coming pattern. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 21, 2021 Report Share Posted February 21, 2021 Just picked up 2.5" of heavy, wet snow in less than an hour. Hardest I've seen it snow in quite awhile. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted February 21, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2021 The mountains in Utah have done exceptionally well lately. SLC had a huge snow a few days back and broke their February 1 day record with over 11". The crazy thing was that it was not from a deep strong system, but instead from instability showers with some lake effect mixed in. 2 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted February 21, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 21, 2021 For AZ it looks like more of the same. Dry clippers hitting NE Arizona with periods of breezy conditions and mild temperatures. Already seeing a few small fires pop up. 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2021 Report Share Posted February 25, 2021 Could be the biggest storm of the season so far tonight. Expecting 6-9". So far 2" in about an hour and a half. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reg Posted February 25, 2021 Report Share Posted February 25, 2021 On 2/20/2021 at 10:24 PM, Black Hole said: For AZ it looks like more of the same. Dry clippers hitting NE Arizona with periods of breezy conditions and mild temperatures. Already seeing a few small fires pop up. Maybe you are aware of this website already - but just in case, ClimateStations recently added Phoenix AZ to its database (continuous records for that city dating back to 1896), if you're interested in that information. I use it for Los Angeles, San Diego and others all the time for historical reference. It is updated on a monthly basis, currently through the beginning of February 2021. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 25, 2021 Report Share Posted February 25, 2021 15 hours ago, Front Ranger said: Could be the biggest storm of the season so far tonight. Expecting 6-9". So far 2" in about an hour and a half. Ended up with 12" even! 2 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 26, 2021 Report Share Posted February 26, 2021 On 2/25/2021 at 10:05 AM, Front Ranger said: Ended up with 12" even! Wow that's pretty good. I follow one of the mets from Colorado Springs on FB and it looks like they had a nice event down there too. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 1, 2021 Report Share Posted March 1, 2021 February ended up over 7 degrees below normal at DEN. Coldest February since 1989, and third coldest on record. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 GFS is showing a rather large snowfall here late this week. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 8, 2021 Report Share Posted March 8, 2021 17 hours ago, Front Ranger said: GFS is showing a rather large snowfall here late this week. Good lord. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 12, 2021 Report Share Posted March 12, 2021 This write up is a masterpiece. Still a lot of bust potential with this one, though. ...SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM STILL ON TRACK... A major late season winter storm is still on track to hit northeast and north central Colorado this weekend. Travel will become difficult if not impossible in/near the Front Range Mountains, Foothills, and I-25 Corridor, with the worst conditions expected from Saturday afternoon through Sunday. The heart of the upper level circulation which will become the powerful storm is still just off the central California coast and is rather disorganized at this hour. However, that will all change as this circulation center drifts eastward late Friday night and Saturday to the Four Corners area. That`s when this storm begins to tap into a deep plume of Gulf of Mexico moisture. Models then diverge somewhat in location, but especially in intensity most likely due to differing internal model physics. We, along with national guidance, still support a blend of the ensembles especially since this storm is still so disorganized just off the west coast. The GFS and GEFS ensemble average is right near 3" of water for Denver (on the high end), while the EC and its ensemble is averaging about 1.7" for water equivalent. Meanwhile, the GEM and its ensembles are pretty much middle of the road with closer to 2.5" of water on average. We, in coordination with national guidance, are leaning toward the blend of EC and GEM numbers for now. However, there has been a slight shift southward in the latest operational member tracks so heavier (and near historic) numbers are still indeed possible. This storm has a lot going for it... 1) Strong infusion of Gulf of Mexico moisture 2) Moderate to strong dynamics as seen in the derived QG vertical motion fields 3) Slow movement thanks to blocking ridge over the top, resulting in a long duration event, at least 36 hours of high precipitation rates 4) Strong upslope, as the latest NAEFS ensembles show record or near record easterly component. (although other ensembles are not as strong) 5) TROWAL (or trough of warm air aloft), representing the infusion and upward vertical motion in the plume of rich gulf moisture Saturday and Saturday night, and possibly into Sunday if storm slows All of these ingredient would support snowfall rates of 1-2 inches per hour in the I-25 Corridor, and up to 3" per hour or more in the foothills. Now, a couple limiting factors... 1) A dry slot may work northward and effectively shut down precipitation. Right now, given the location and stalling of the upper low we think the dry slot would mainly impact the southeast part of the forecast area. However, if the storm track ends up being farther north, then precipitation amounts over the rest of our forecast area could be cut back a little as well. 2) Temperatures. With very strong warm advection, some rain will likely work westward across the plains. Right now, we don`t see that getting any farther west than a Greeley to Limon line, as low level cold/cool air should be firmly entrenched. Thus, we`d probably end up with a formation of a barrier jet as precipitation rates increase significantly Saturday and Saturday night. We`ve kept the forecast as consistent as possible at this point, with forecasts of 2-4 feet for the foothills and up to 2 feet for the I-25 Corridor. As a result of some growing confidence and messaging for this storm, we`ve upgraded to Winter Storm Warnings for the Front Range Mountains, Foothills, and I-25 Corridor. To be clear, these are the most likely forecast amounts. Should the storm track stay farther south and closer to the GFS/GEFS solutions then we could still be looking at a near or historic snowfall event. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted March 12, 2021 Author Report Share Posted March 12, 2021 Looks like a really awesome storm for Colorado for sure. I couldn't add anything to what that AFD mentioned either. Take pictures and keep us updated on what you see! 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 12, 2021 Report Share Posted March 12, 2021 5 hours ago, Black Hole said: Looks like a really awesome storm for Colorado for sure. I couldn't add anything to what that AFD mentioned either. Take pictures and keep us updated on what you see! Consensus forecast is now 1-2' for Denver metro. So probably not a historic storm, unless main forcing and cyclogenesis ends up a little further south than currently forecast. Thunder snow tomorrow night does appear to be a distinct possibility - will be ready to take video/pics for sure. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted March 12, 2021 Report Share Posted March 12, 2021 @Front Ranger My daughter lives in Fort Collins and is supposed to be at the Denver airport at 9 am Monday morning. Any thoughts on likelihood she can get there and likelihood her flight takes off? She has an SUV so guessing the main roads will be ok for her as long as she can get out of the apartment complex. I know that area does snow pretty well but this sounds like a big one even for there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 2 hours ago, T-Town said: @Front Ranger My daughter lives in Fort Collins and is supposed to be at the Denver airport at 9 am Monday morning. Any thoughts on likelihood she can get there and likelihood her flight takes off? She has an SUV so guessing the main roads will be ok for her as long as she can get out of the apartment complex. I know that area does snow pretty well but this sounds like a big one even for there. Could be tough. Sounds like Fort Collins area could be one of the hardest hit, although their slightly lower elevation may limit totals a bit right in town. The fact that she's leaving Monday morning may help, but if things go as forecast, I'm sure there will be plenty of delays at the airport. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 New 18Z ECMWF... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 44 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: New 18Z ECMWF... I'll take 21". Although man, this stuff is gonna be heavy...won't be fun to shovel, and no quick warmup to help either. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I'll take 21". Although man, this stuff is gonna be heavy...won't be fun to shovel, and no quick warmup to help either. It’s hard for me to pick out landmarks on that map but it looks like the bullseye is pretty much over the Denver metro now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 30 minutes ago, T-Town said: It’s hard for me to pick out landmarks on that map but it looks like the bullseye is pretty much over the Denver metro now? Yeah, on that map. That 17" is near Fort Collins. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: Yeah, on that map. That 17" is near Fort Collins. Cool thanks. The weather has been an adjustment for her coming from the Puget Sound region. She was there for the 100 degrees to snowing in 36 hours or whatever it was last fall. She is like wtf. I would like to experience it but she was less impressed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 7 hours ago, T-Town said: Cool thanks. The weather has been an adjustment for her coming from the Puget Sound region. She was there for the 100 degrees to snowing in 36 hours or whatever it was last fall. She is like wtf. I would like to experience it but she was less impressed. Ha, yeah last September was extreme even for here. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 19 hours ago, TT-SEA said: New 18Z ECMWF... Mind sharing the latest Euro map? 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 13, 2021 Report Share Posted March 13, 2021 2 hours ago, Front Ranger said: Mind sharing the latest Euro map? I came in to get my charger and saw your post... here you go. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted March 14, 2021 Report Share Posted March 14, 2021 Update from Fort Collins. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 14, 2021 Report Share Posted March 14, 2021 This storm started slow, but turned into a beast today. Only had about 3-4" when I went to bed last night. Woke up to over a foot, and it's only intensified as the day has gone on. Winds really started picking up around 11 and blizzard warning was posted around noon. I was driving around the neighborhood just as it started getting bad. This was two hours ago...now there's anywhere from 2-3' on the side roads and tons of people stuck. I briefly got stuck a block from my house trying to dig someone out. VID_20210314_120301927.mp4 3 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted March 14, 2021 Report Share Posted March 14, 2021 4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: This storm started slow, but turned into a beast today. Only had about 3-4" when I went to bed last night. Woke up to over a foot, and it's only intensified as the day has gone on. Winds really started picking up around 11 and blizzard warning was posted around noon. I was driving around the neighborhood just as it started getting bad. This was two hours ago...now there's anywhere from 2-3' on the side roads and tons of people stuck. I briefly got stuck a block from my house trying to dig someone out. VID_20210314_120301927.mp4 37.52 MB · 0 downloads Wow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 14, 2021 Report Share Posted March 14, 2021 3 hours ago, Front Ranger said: This storm started slow, but turned into a beast today. Only had about 3-4" when I went to bed last night. Woke up to over a foot, and it's only intensified as the day has gone on. Winds really started picking up around 11 and blizzard warning was posted around noon. I was driving around the neighborhood just as it started getting bad. This was two hours ago...now there's anywhere from 2-3' on the side roads and tons of people stuck. I briefly got stuck a block from my house trying to dig someone out. VID_20210314_120301927.mp4 37.52 MB · 0 downloads Looks like a mild day at OLM out there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted March 15, 2021 Report Share Posted March 15, 2021 Over 24" at DEN at last check and still dumping. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 15, 2021 Report Share Posted March 15, 2021 1 hour ago, BLI snowman said: Over 24" at DEN at last check and still dumping. Fourth biggest snowstorm on record, and has a shot at being the greatest one day snowfall on record. Also unusual, in that DEN almost always sees less accumulation than most the metro area, but this time was about on par with normally snowier locations further west. Impossible to say how much I've gotten here, but definitely at least 2'. Drifts up to 4' or so in spots. I'll take some more pics tomorrow in the daylight. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted March 15, 2021 Report Share Posted March 15, 2021 A couple more pics from my daughter in Fort Collins. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 15, 2021 Report Share Posted March 15, 2021 Cheyenne, WY officially recorded 30.8" of snow from this storm, their largest 2 day total on record. Parts of the city apparently received close to 40". Here's a pic from driving around a bit last night, and a couple from the rental property this morning (about a mile from my house). 4 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 2, 2021 Report Share Posted April 2, 2021 Snowiest March since 2003 for DEN, with 26.5". Fifth snowiest overall. EDIT: That's for the old Stapleton recording station, which has the bulk of long term records. For the new airport site, which has been around since 1996, it snowed 34", which fell just short of the record of 35.2" (2003) there. 2 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted April 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted April 4, 2021 Completely dead weather down here and its already hot. 97F on Saturday, could hit 100F today. 1 Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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