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3/13 - 3/14 Monster March Storm


Tom

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A decent thunderstorm is moving through Cedar Rapids.  The airport and the south side of the city are getting pretty heavy rain, red on radar.  I'm just a bit farther north and I'm under the good rain, but not as heavy.

 

Update:  The local high school weather station a mile southeast of me is reporting a rain rate of over 2"/hr.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Water already dripping down the basement wall and it hasn’t even really rained yet. Tomorrow is gonna be ‘one of those days’ when the rains hit. Way too much water sitting around with no where to go.

They say the Mississippi River could see record crests or flooding this spring because of the huge snow pack up in your state. I don’t know if any of you follow Terry Swailes, but he has a good blog and writes some interesting articles. He was up in parts of Minnesota to see the deep snow pack for himself & never saw anything like it & the possibility of record flood potential!

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A decent thunderstorm is moving through Cedar Rapids.  The airport and the south side of the city are getting pretty heavy rain, red on radar.  I'm just a bit farther north and I'm under the good rain, but not as heavy.

 

Update:  The local high school weather station a mile southeast of me is reporting a rain rate of over 2"/hr.

I had a brief heavy shower here at 9:44pm. Max rain rate just over 3” very briefly & only 0.20” of rain so far. A little light thunder at times.
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Nothing too much, but a nice little shower moving through right now. Can hear the rain on the windows.

 

Unfortunately, after the best rain went to the north of me earlier today, it appears the best rain tonight will be to the south of me. Nevertheless, nice to see/hear some rain showers.

 

Currently sitting at 39*, per my weather station.

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Water already dripping down the basement wall and it hasn’t even really rained yet. Tomorrow is gonna be ‘one of those days’ when the rains hit. Way too much water sitting around with no where to go.

I’m dry so far. Except for the garage. A build up of ice/snow on the driveway apron was causing water to build up next to the garage door and leak inside . Chipped some ice away this afternoon so hopefully that resolves the issue. Good luck with the water in the basement. I have a feeling I’m going to be dealing with that in the next few days.

 

The side roads and sidewalks of St. Paul are an absolute disaster right now. HUGE icy ruts which are being polished to a slippery shine by a combination of the light rain, and traffic driving over them. Lots of ponding water already. The main roads, while not as icy, have some ginormous potholes showing up. I’ve never seen the potholes this bad, this early in the season. Many of them are unavoidable due to the snowbank-narrowed roads. The next couple of days will be interesting.

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I picked up nearly 0.70" from that cluster of thundershowers.  I had to go out and get my heated bird bath off the patio because the water is pooling.

 

I guess my earlier thought that this system would be another disappointing rainer was incorrect.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I picked up nearly 0.70" from that cluster of thundershowers.  I had to go out and get my heated bird bath off the patio because the water is pooling.

 

I guess my earlier thought that this system would be another disappointing rainer was incorrect.

Yeah I got more than I expected as well with 0.80" in both gauges. Radar estimates show many areas with more than here, especially in north parts of my county & east of me in northern IL.
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The first Slight Risk Outlook for the season for our MI/IN members on Thursday...

 

day2otlk_0600.gif?1552475945620

 

 

 

Boy, the national radar looks like eye candy...I don't think we have seen such a massive storm like this all season long that is show cashing such beauty.  This is one phased, neg tilted, monster of a storm with a massive trowal feature on radar.  #WxPorn

 

1045z.gif

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78 mph winds this morning.

 

This thing on the radar blew up as it roared across west Texas.

 

On the radar at 5am this morning the leading line was a beautiful bow and looked like a wildfire fire line.

Brilliant red on the edge and trailing strands of yellow blowing back behind it.

 

This boring little line of nothing rain in eastern New Mexico copped an attitude and plowed across Texas.

It's 53*. Going up to upper 60's.

 

No total on the rain yet.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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The first Slight Risk Outlook for the season for our MI/IN members on Thursday...

 

day2otlk_0600.gif?1552475945620

 

 

 

Boy, the national radar looks like eye candy...I don't think we have seen such a massive storm like this all season long that is show cashing such beauty.  This is one phased, neg tilted, monster of a storm with a massive trowal feature on radar.  #WxPorn

 

1045z.gif

Thunderstorms overnight with loud thunder and pouring rain this morning as I made my way to school.  Standing water everywhere.  The snowpack has been nuked, but nowhere for the melting snow to go, now add the heavy rain to the equation.

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I picked up nearly 0.70" from that cluster of thundershowers. I had to go out and get my heated bird bath off the patio because the water is pooling.

 

I guess my earlier thought that this system would be another disappointing rainer was incorrect.

Yeah I was wrong as well. My gauge picked up on .80” of rain overnight / this morning.

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A bit more rain overnight bumped my total to 0.85".  This afternoon's line could get us to an inch.

 

The euro has increased our afternoon high temp to 60º.  The HRRR has mid 60s up to the QC.  The 40º rain has taken a bite out of our snowpack, but we need the 50s to finish off the very dense remaining snow and ice.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Really liking the trends here....rainfall amounts decreasing, dry slotted, little wind, minimal snow on the back end. Normally I’m all for a huge storm but not right now with the hydro issues. Good luck to everyone and be safe.

You wouldnt believe how much of yesterdays rain was simply absorbed by the snowpack.  Really slowed the runoff around here

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Really liking the trends here....rainfall amounts decreasing, dry slotted, little wind, minimal snow on the back end. Normally I’m all for a huge storm but not right now with the hydro issues. Good luck to everyone and be safe.

I feel similarly. I am glad to see the 12z NAM really cutback on qpf for my area thanks to a large dry slot.

 

SE SD on the other hand....good luck!

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Had some loud thunderstorms last night and saw a report of .75" hail near me as well. Storms didn't last very long though as the individual little cells raced north. Had heavy rain start here about an hour ago and have now reached 1.05" for the storm total event. Might lighten up here for a bit, but looks like a lot of heavy rain in southeast Nebraska moving north towards me. I'd be shocked if we don't cross 2" of rain. NWS issued a flood warning for the next several hours here. The main road I take to work had water up to the edges of the road from the ditches being full. Never seen that before on that road.

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Had to remove the snow off my boat this morning after i noticed the support for the cover collapse. After about a half inch of rain I was amazed that the snow was still dry about 6" down.

 

You wouldnt believe how much of yesterdays rain was simply absorbed by the snowpack.  Really slowed the runoff around here

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The wording in some of the Blizzard Warnings are worthy of a once in a lifetime event.  I mean, in parts of CO wind gusts may approach 80mph with a Foot of snow!  I drove through parts of NE CO a few years back, specifically Fort Morgan, CO, which is currently under a Blizzard Warning and I'm having some flashbacks of how the scenery looked like out there.  I'd love to witness what the conditions are goign to look like during this storm in those same areas.

 

 

 

Blizzard WarningURGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Denver CO
431 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...INTENSE WINTER STORM DEVELOPING FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN
COLORADO...

.A winter storm centered over southeastern Colorado will rapidly
intensify this morning. This will produce very strong winds and
areas of heavy snow. Rain will change to snow along the Front
Range this morning, with blizzard conditions developing quickly
in the late morning or early afternoon. These conditions will
spread eastward across the plains this afternoon. Near zero
visibilities are expected with wind gusts of up to 80 mph and up
to a foot of snow on the plains east of a line from Greeley to
Denver International Airport
. In areas closer to the mountains,
there will be less snow, but a period of very heavy snow and
strong winds is likely during the day today that will likely
create near blizzard conditions for a while. Strong winds will
continue to create blizzard conditions on the plains overnight
tonight. Closer to the mountains, there will be some improvement
but still enough wind for some drifting snow and continued
difficult travel.

Much of the northern Colorado mountains will also see heavy snow
and windy conditions today, especially near the Wyoming border.

Travelers across the Colorado mountains and eastern plains should
consider canceling travel plans today, as conditions will
deteriorate quickly during the late morning or early afternoon. Be
aware that if you go somewhere this morning, you could become
stranded or have a very difficult time returning this afternoon.
Road closures can be expected, especially on the eastern plains
and near the Wyoming border, but possibly also along the I-25
corridor during the peak of the storm later today. Residents
should also be prepared for power outages from the very strong
winds.

COZ038-131900-
/O.UPG.KBOU.WS.W.0008.190313T1600Z-190314T0600Z/
/O.EXA.KBOU.BZ.W.0003.190313T1600Z-190314T0600Z/
Fort Collins-
Including the cities of Fort Collins, Hereford, Loveland,
and Nunn
431 AM MDT Wed Mar 13 2019

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO MIDNIGHT
MDT TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations of
5 to 10 inches expected. Winds gusting as high as 75 mph.

* WHERE...Fort Collins.

* WHEN...The heaviest snow will be during the day today, with the
strongest winds this afternoon and evening. Significant drifting
snow may continue into Thursday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Travel will be very difficult or
impossible. Widespread blowing snow could significantly reduce
visibility. Very strong winds could cause tree damage and power
outages.
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Storm closed my hill down until Friday, as long as this carnage doesn't wipe it out. What a huge disappointment. Was hoping for some nice spring riding in a t shirt.

 

The natural snow is really tough, it's like man made snow. Still holding onto some here but it's definitely the end of any fun snow this week.

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Meanwhile, the zzz-fest wx continues here. 40F and .03" of RN at KRMY..

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Simply....amazing....unreal conditions currently at Denver Int'l...75 mph wind gusts!

 

Current conditions at Denver, Denver International Airport (KDEN) Lat: 39.85°NLon: 104.66°WElev: 5404ft.
sn.png

Snow Freezing Fog and Windy

30°F

-1°C

Humidity 100% Wind Speed N 55 G 75 mph Barometer 29.00 in (980.2 mb) Dewpoint 30°F (-1°C) Visibility 0.15 mi Wind Chill 11°F (-12°C) Last update 13 Mar 10:53 am MDT
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@ CentralNeb and possibly Clint/Gabel may get lucky enough to sit underneath the defo band later tonight just west of the Surface Low. That may be quite a feature to witness.

 

In other news, 26 years ago today, we witnessed the strongest storm to hit the EC...#Superstorm

 

D1irEtUW0AIybuL.jpg

 

 

 

 

I'm hearing the storm is down to 970mb!

 

D1jiD1jXgAI6TMc.jpg

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@ CentralNeb and possibly Clint/Gabel may get lucky enough to sit underneath the defo band later tonight just west of the Surface Low. That may be quite a feature to witness.

 

In other news, 26 years ago today, we witnessed the strongest storm to hit the EC...#Superstorm

 

D1irEtUW0AIybuL.jpg

 

 

 

 

I'm hearing the storm is down to 970mb!

 

D1jiD1jXgAI6TMc.jpg

12z Euro still has the heavy band over Central Nebraska.  Might be fun around here overnight through tomorrow morning.  In the last hour the sun popped out with blue skies and the temp has went up to 53 degrees.  I teach social studies so I have put up some maps of the storm and the students are fascinated by the strength and how it looks like a hurricane.  

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Sorry for not posting much about the severe wx potential today, I had a presentation this morning that I spent all day yesterday working on. Back in the game now. 

 

When looking at this sounding, one major thing sticks out like a sore thumb, and that is the lack of CAPE. At best I think we're looking at routine thunderstorms. Areas to the S/SW of Lincoln near the KS border have more CAPE and moisture to work with. Shear looks phenomenal for here, I'm not worried about that. If we want more CAPE, though, we need to hope the sun magically peeks out and gives us some heating cuz I don't see much of a potential for severe wx otherwise. And that's not even an issue if we don't have the mid-level moisture to give us storms in the first place.

 

 

NAMNST Sounding.png

Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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