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3/28 - 3/30 Plains/Lower GL's Spring Storm System


Tom

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The bulk of the Nebraska snow on Euro is West of the Tri-Cities. East of there all the snow is down in Kansas.

Yea, that is what I'm seeing.  That puts me in the snow area if it verifies.  My thought is if it does snow later on Friday evening, it would be very wet and probably wouldn't cause many problems on the roads.  Will be interesting to see how much rain falls before with our wet soil already.

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Is that via Kuchera thermal profiles do you know? 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Seems the OmaDome is trying to re position itself over Ft. Calhoun...

 

sn10_acc.us_c.png

StOp MeNtIoNiNg ThE """""oMaDoMe""""" It MaKeS mE mAd.

 

In all seriousness, still can't help but thing NAM is off with this. It's not impossible, but I don't think it'll happen. After the changeover, it has the precip shield over Eastern Nebraska, whereas every other model has it over Western Nebraska. It's also way too moist imo.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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StOp MeNtIoNiNg ThE """""oMaDoMe""""" It MaKeS mE mAd.

 

In all seriousness, still can't help but thing NAM is off with this. It's not impossible, but I don't think it'll happen. After the changeover, it has the precip shield over Eastern Nebraska, whereas every other model has it over Western Nebraska. It's also way too moist imo.

Not buying it.  Local forecasts saying less than 1/2" of snow at the end of the precipitation.

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Current thinking per GRR (and I'd agree at this point)

 

Tab3FileL.png?7bc0404cb73ad82891840de3e3

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Can this system just not though lol I just need it to be not 40 degrees windy and cloudy. The worst weather. I'm so beyond ready for 60s and 70s it's not even real, I wanna run on the lake again and not freeze!!!

Springtime downtown is awesome, and terrible. Nothing better than the lakefront when the weather is warm. But that lake breeze is a real drag until the the water warms up. Nothing worse than 70s in the burbs and 40s along the lake.

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Hastings has upped forecasted snow amounts to 2-3", but wouldn't be surprised if they aren't higher than this, just depends on when the rain switches over late this afternoon or evening and where potential heavier bands develop.   No matter how much we get, it won't be around long as we are back to close to 50 degrees on Sunday.

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Advisories are making their way east. Would be pretty awesome if we could tack on a couple more inches of snow before spring time sets in! 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service North Platte NE
905 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2019

...ACCUMULATING SNOW LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SANDHILLS AND
WEST CENTRAL THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.An upper level disturbance, will spread snow to portions of
western and north central Nebraska. Snow may mix with rain at
times which could limit snow accumulations, yet where bands of
snow develop snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected with
locally higher amounts around 6 inches.

NEZ005-022-025-026-035>038-056-057-059-292215-
/O.EXA.KLBF.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-190330T0600Z/
Eastern Cherry-Garden-Thomas-Blaine-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-Custer-
Deuel-Keith-Lincoln-
Including the cities of Valentine, Oshkosh, Lewellen, Thedford,
Halsey, Dunning, Purdum, Brewster, Arthur, Tryon, Ringgold,
Stapleton, Broken Bow, Chappell, Big Springs, Ogallala, Paxton,
and North Platte
905 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2019 /805 AM MDT Fri Mar 29 2019/

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT
MDT/ SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Snow. Snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with locally
higher amounts where snow bands develop.

* WHERE...In areas along the Interstate 80 cooridor then north and
west to include Custer, Eastern Cherry, Garden, Thomas, Blaine
Arthur, McPherson, Logan Deuel, Keith and Lincoln counties. .

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Advisories are making their way east. Would be pretty awesome if we could tack on a couple more inches of snow before spring time sets in! 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service North Platte NE

905 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2019

 

...ACCUMULATING SNOW LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN SANDHILLS AND

WEST CENTRAL THROUGH THIS EVENING...

 

.An upper level disturbance, will spread snow to portions of

western and north central Nebraska. Snow may mix with rain at

times which could limit snow accumulations, yet where bands of

snow develop snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected with

locally higher amounts around 6 inches.

 

NEZ005-022-025-026-035>038-056-057-059-292215-

/O.EXA.KLBF.WW.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-190330T0600Z/

Eastern Cherry-Garden-Thomas-Blaine-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-Custer-

Deuel-Keith-Lincoln-

Including the cities of Valentine, Oshkosh, Lewellen, Thedford,

Halsey, Dunning, Purdum, Brewster, Arthur, Tryon, Ringgold,

Stapleton, Broken Bow, Chappell, Big Springs, Ogallala, Paxton,

and North Platte

905 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2019 /805 AM MDT Fri Mar 29 2019/

 

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT /MIDNIGHT

MDT/ SATURDAY...

 

* WHAT...Snow. Snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches with locally

higher amounts where snow bands develop.

 

* WHERE...In areas along the Interstate 80 cooridor then north and

west to include Custer, Eastern Cherry, Garden, Thomas, Blaine

Arthur, McPherson, Logan Deuel, Keith and Lincoln counties. .

Might as well get a few inches instead of rain.  I am at 33 degrees right now.  Not really going up at all temp wise.  I would think it will probably change over this evening.  My guess is 2-3" of wet, sloppy snow in my area.

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We too had a rain/sleet mixture. Now it looks like it's mostly light rain. 

 

Edit: Mostly sleet and ice pellets. I'm teaching a weather unit in school right now; it's awesome showing the kids this process of sleet formation! Hopefully we can cool the air column enough to get some snow flakes mixed in. 

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Precip shield ended up being way more North than expected, actually having dry air problems here now while areas to our North who were most affected by the flooding are getting the heaviest precip. Worst case scenario right now.

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Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather.

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A couple of days ago, models suggested that Cedar Rapids wouldn't see much rain out of this. They did start to come back north as this got closer, and sure enough, they turned out to be right. We are getting a nice moderate rain right now, and there's even some red showing up on radar around the Cedar Rapids area. Radar suggests it should last at least a couple of hours. 

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A couple of days ago, models suggested that Cedar Rapids wouldn't see much rain out of this. They did start to come back north as this got closer, and sure enough, they turned out to be right. We are getting a nice moderate rain right now, and there's even some red showing up on radar around the Cedar Rapids area. Radar suggests it should last at least a couple of hours. 

 

I was going to post the same thing.  It won't last long, but this solid blob of rain should help green up the grass.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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