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June 2019 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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The forecast high of around 60 for tomorrow would make it one of the coldest highs for any June 13 at Grand Rapids. The record coldest maximum for June 13 it 59 in 1955 in second place is 62 in 1933 and in third place is 63 in 1960. Then it jumps to the mid 60's  the average high is 79

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Low 80’s yesterday and today. Really nice.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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We got squat for rain overnight.  It'd be nice if we could get at least a tenth of an inch later to top off the rain barrel, but it should be pretty widely scattered.

 

I'm craving a good thunderstorm.

I only got 0.07" of rain last night. That's better than getting nothing, but I also want some good thunderstorms.  We are overdue for good storms here because I don't think Cedar Rapids has even gotten one severe thunderstorm warning so far this year. It looks like the pattern may turn more active, at least according to the GFS, so we may have a chance of getting storms. 

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This is more like September stuff, and twice in a week's time is NOT typical June lake weather. Hoping it's a sign of something good later on..

 

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
1023 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2019

LMZ844-845-122230-
/O.NEW.KGRR.GL.A.0004.190613T0900Z-190613T2100Z/
St Joseph to South Haven MI-South Haven to Holland MI-
1023 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2019

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a Gale
Watch...which is in effect from late tonight through Thursday
afternoon.

* WINDS...Northwest to 35 knots.

* WAVES...6 TO 10 Feet.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to
47 knots has significantly increased...but the specific timing
and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide
additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider
altering their plans.

&&

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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The great lakes water levels are at or near record levels.  For Lake Erie the level is 30” above average and 3” above the old record for June.  Lake Superior is also at a record level for June.  For Lakes Michigan/Huron the level is 29” above the June average but is still 2” below the all time June record set in 1986. This is mostly due to the cool temperatures and wet conditions we have had

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 Yes, It's June 12th  and there is still some snow in Michigan.  This is Mt. Ripley in Upper Michigan near Houghton.  It looks like a sand trap on a golf course, but it's really snow.  It looks like this is the only pile that's left here and it is shrinking.  It's lasted longer than usual because of above average snowfall this past winter and a cool spring.  The period of Jan. 1 - May 31 was 4.2° colder than average at Marquette. 

https://www.mtu.edu/webcams/ripley/

and here is a different view

https://www.mtu.edu/webcams/ripley/

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A decent cell is just barely missing me to the west.  Everything has been missing Cedar Rapids recently.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Pretty unbelievable that the days will begin to shorten in just 10 days. I haven’t even thought about turning the AC on yet.

I was talking about that at work today about the longest day with daylight is that close. I haven't even thought much about how long into the evening it stays light now cuz the weather hasn't given me that summer spirit yet.
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Gorgeous day outside ya'll w temps in the 70s and low humidity. Cannot ask for any betta weather. :D

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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This is more like September stuff, and twice in a week's time is NOT typical June lake weather. Hoping it's a sign of something good later on..

 

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI

1023 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2019

 

LMZ844-845-122230-

/O.NEW.KGRR.GL.A.0004.190613T0900Z-190613T2100Z/

St Joseph to South Haven MI-South Haven to Holland MI-

1023 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2019

 

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY

AFTERNOON...

 

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a Gale

Watch...which is in effect from late tonight through Thursday

afternoon.

 

* WINDS...Northwest to 35 knots.

 

* WAVES...6 TO 10 Feet.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

A Gale Watch is issued when the risk of gale force winds of 34 to

47 knots has significantly increased...but the specific timing

and/or location is still uncertain. It is intended to provide

additional lead time for mariners who may wish to consider

altering their plans.

 

&&

I have a really good feeling amigo!

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Its partly to mostly cloudy right now with a NW breeze and 66°. I'll take this all summer.

Same. Partly cloudy and 74°. I don't even want to go inside at all. This is looking like the literal dream summer for this hot weather hater. In deeply wooded valleys here, I'd bet it's

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A decent cell is just barely missing me to the west.  Everything has been missing Cedar Rapids recently.

This has been part of a trend that just won't stop. For all of the rain we got in May, we did not get one good thunderstorm. We still have a long summer ahead of us, so hopefully we can get something, but the trend of Cedar Rapids somehow missing out on storms really needs to stop. 

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Looks like you guys in Cedar Rapids got a thunderstorm this evening.

Yes, I got 0.17" of rain from a thunderstorm that had a very heavy downpour that lasted about 5 minutes. We had a couple of wind gusts around 25mph or so. This was a good storm, but it was not severe. A really good severe thunderstorm with a shelf cloud and nice wind and decent hail is what I am still waiting for. Hopefully we can get some better action here this summer. 

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Yay, we got something decent.  It didn't last long, but I received a bit of pea size hail and picked up 0.23" of rain.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Hard to believe I'm 6 weeks or so from the hottest day of the year.

In the 80's today. Mostly cloudy. Crazy growing season.

I feel as if I've been transported way northward!

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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I was talking about that at work today about the longest day with daylight is that close. I haven't even thought much about how long into the evening it stays light now cuz the weather hasn't given me that summer spirit yet.

The summer feeling is nonexistent. If I woke up right now not knowing what month it was, I would guess mid September. Right now it’s 61F with a dew point of 36F. There’s no one out on the lake, there’s been hardly anyone at the beaches so far. It’s almost surreal. And yes, a frost advisory tonight 60 miles north of the TC. Just crazy.

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Had an interesting conversation with a friend that was driving through Minnesota. She said that all of the corn was behind and someone at a local cafe was discussing that this year was unlike any that they could remember over 50 years.

So, for those of you who have their ears to the corn, how different is this year to any other? Would it be a good time to buy corn futures and stock up on corn flakes?

I believe as of last week the farmers hadn’t been this far behind schedule since 1979. There’s no way that the corn will be ‘head tall by 4th of July’...the unofficial guide to corn growing. Serious bust in the making this growing season. I bet plenty of crop farmers get hit hard financially.

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This has been an unreal summer to date. Cooler, damper, wetter, cloudier. I don't know what percentage of days we had cloud cover, but I'd wager it was at a record. The entire late winter and early Spring in Texas was chilly and damp. I've never complained of cold like I have this year.

I'm concerned for food prices this fal and coming spring.

 

I have tried to get a plant for the yard for almost 6 weeks but all the garden stores are saying they're having great difficulty getting many plants due to freezes, and then floods.

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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I believe as of last week the farmers hadn’t been this far behind schedule since 1979. There’s no way that the corn will be ‘head tall by 4th of July’...the unofficial guide to corn growing. Serious bust in the making this growing season. I bet plenty of crop farmers get hit hard financially.

No doubt. Corn around here is maybe a half foot tall. A few fields are bare yet. Really curious how July-August is gonna be cuz after that we start heading toward fall.

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GRR weather-at-a-glance evening headline:

 

"Thursday will be a raw day similar to a mid-September storm as highs struggle to reach 60 degrees amid rain and wind. Certainly not a great beach day either, with high waves, dangerous currents, and dune erosion."

 

;) 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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The summer feeling is nonexistent. If I woke up right now not knowing what month it was, I would guess mid September. Right now it’s 61F with a dew point of 36F. There’s no one out on the lake, there’s been hardly anyone at the beaches so far. It’s almost surreal. And yes, a frost advisory tonight 60 miles north of the TC. Just crazy.

 

My exact memories of '92 during my time in NMI. How was your '92 out there?

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Grid-cast high Thursday, here in Marshall now down to 57 deg's!! From what WestMIJim posted, this has to be record territory for mid-June. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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73*.

Humidity 43%

Dew point 57*.

 

Insane! For Texas this time of year.

 

I’m in heaven tonight.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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There are still some storms across Eastern Iowa now, even after sunset and temperatures have really dropped as well. Down to 59 degrees here in Cedar Rapids. 

 

The record low for June 13 in Cedar Rapids is 42 set back in 1933. The forecast low here tonight is 46 so that record should stand, but it will still be cool here tonight. 

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After 8 consecutive days with high temperatures in the 80°s here, today’s high of 70° felt cool.

 

My last good rainfall was now around 1 wk. ago. I picked up 0.13” today with most of that falling around dawn already. Did have a brief thunder shower near 5:00pm.

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My exact memories of '92 during my time in NMI. How was your '92 out there?

‘92 is a memorable year for me. May and June were extremely dry at my location with only 0.20” of rainfall in May and 0.75” in June!! I’ve never recorded a drier May or June since. Then on July 2 ( I think around 2” rain from one big storm) the spigot turned on and stayed on the rest of that month with storm after storm and I’ve never recorded a wetter July (15.97” of rain) since!!

 

As far as temps.... I think May and June were quite warm and July was cool because of all the rain. August wasn’t wet, but September was wet again. The following year (1993) became known as Iowa’s lost summer with epic flooding and rainfall all summer! How well I remember that year as well. The ‘90s were were wild it seemed.

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Had an interesting conversation with a friend that was driving through Minnesota. She said that all of the corn was behind and someone at a local cafe was discussing that this year was unlike any that they could remember over 50 years.

So, for those of you who have their ears to the corn, how different is this year to any other? Would it be a good time to buy corn futures and stock up on corn flakes?

I don’t remember any year that we couldn’t get any crops planted after April. My brother who does crop farming gave up on planting corn this year as statistics show only a 50% yield potential when planting in the second week of June. Soybeans will yield well when planting in June and decent yields when planted as late as July 4.

 

Thankfully the last few years saw record yielding crops in Iowa and many other states, so there was a surplus of corn stocks etc. On the flip side, farmers will welcome higher grain prices as a result of lower expected yields this year.

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This morning has an Autumnal feel with low clouds, grey skies, 52F temp, and gusty winds out of the NNW with some sprinkles in the air.  An interesting radar loop from overnight showed lake enhanced showers coming down the lake shore in mid June!  Pretty interesting to say the least.  Near record lake levels and powerful winds will almost certainly cause a lot of erosion along the beaches of IL/IN/MI.  This may be a clue for what we have to endure around the GL's region heading into Autumn if we continue to get inundated with heavy rains this Summer.

 

I picked up close to .70" of rain yesterday after two waves of rain came through later in the afternoon/evening.  At times, it came down in buckets and I'm glad I mowed the lawn yesterday rather than today.  I'm looking forward to some warmer weather even though it will be active this weekend and later next week.  

 

 

 

Edit: Based off this radar estimate I must have received more than an inch of rain...looks closer to 1.25-1.50" across N Cook into Lake county.  There were some slow moving, thin bands of rain that pivoted through and dropped some torrential rains.

 

D870Hm4XsAAHD4C.jpg

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Is it October or June? Currently at 55F w rainy conditions and howling winds. Highs today struggling to get outta the 50s. Clearing tanite, but man, it will get chilly once again as nighttime low temps plummet into the mid to upper 40s.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Looks like warmer weather and scattered t'stms all of next week w more of a summertime feel to it, although, temps will average at or slightly below average for this time of the year.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Mushroom cloud spotted in Texas yesterday

 

mushroom_cloud_tyler_lenz_0611.jpeg?v=at

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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