June 2019 Weather Discussion in the PNW

[Jesse]

Then what is the point of this post? #hypocrisy

Yeah, a post worrying about other people’s posts that worry about others peoples posts seems sort of ironic.

[Jesse]

At least the 12z GFS is a tad wetter with the trough next week.

[jcmcgaffey]

Yeah, a post worrying about other people’s posts that worry about others peoples posts seems sort of ironic.

my post was towards the folks who never seem to contribute anything to the forum except snide/negative remarks about others.

[Jesse]

my post was towards the folks who never seem to contribute anything to the forum except snide/negative remarks about others.

There are a handful. Matt, Domebuster, etc. I wasn’t talking about your post though really.

[TacomaWaWx]

Then what is the point of this post? #hypocrisy

I’m not too worried because I can only control what I do not what you do, have more things to be worried about in my life than some people on a weather forum. I just think certain people come on here to only troll, again nothing I can do about that since I’m not a moderator. All I’m saying is can we focus on the weather instead of argumentative jabs and trying to troll people?

[Jesse]

I’m not too worried because I can only control what I do not what you do, have more things to be worried about in my life than some people on a weather forum. I just think certain people come on here to only troll, again nothing I can do about that since I’m not a moderator. All I’m saying is can we focus on the weather instead of argumentative jabs and trying to troll people?

You make a good point, but the problem with Tim is he jabs and trolls all the time then plays the innocent card when he gets the reaction he wants. In his case the best way to win is not to play of course, not responding is the quickest route to neutralization. I definitely gave in too much yesterday and it’s something I’ll try to work on in the future. I think reading over the pages of posts I missed and seeing all the jabs and troll attempts even when I’m on the other side of the world enjoying a nice vacation had me feeling pretty irritated.

[TacomaWaWx]

You make a good point, but the problem with Tim is he jabs and trolls all the time then plays the innocent card when he gets the reaction he wants. In his case the best way to win is not to play of course, not responding is the quickest route to neutralization. I definitely gave in too much yesterday and it’s something I’ll try to work on in the future. I think reading over the pages of posts and seeing all the jabs and troll attempts even when I’m on the other side of the world enjoying a nice vacation had me feeling pretty irritated.

you certainly are not the problem. Phil and front ranger aren’t either. Tim is definitely not innocent either I understand that. My post was referring to what jcmgaffey said about Matt and domebuster and posters like that. Again I can’t control what anyone says I just want people to lay off trying to insult and troll people since this is a weather forum. However I understand that my post yesterday is kind of ironic and I am in a way worrying about what other people post and I’ll try to refrain from that and just ignore it.

[Jesse]

you certainly are not the problem. Phil and front ranger aren’t either. Tim is definitely not innocent either I understand that. My post was referring to what jcmgaffey said about Matt and domebuster and posters like that. Again I can’t control what anyone says I just want people to lay off trying to insult and troll people since this is a weather forum. However I understand that my post yesterday is kind of ironic and I am in a way worrying about what other people post and I’ll try to refrain from that and just ignore it.

I’m definitely not 100% innocent either but I appreciate the sentiment. But yeah overall you make some solid points here.

[jcmcgaffey]

There are a handful. Matt, Domebuster, etc. I wasn’t talking about your post though really.

ya I do genuinely enjoy most of what the main posters put on here, even the bickering can be pretty informative even if there is ill will meant:). I was glad to find this group years ago and it’s nice to discuss with others who have the same interests and still enjoy reading up on everyone’s comments usually on a daily basis.

[Jesse]

12z Euro holds the trough back a bit and keeps next weekend cooler and cloudier. Looks like PDX could have their first shot at 90 of the season early the following week, though.

[Kayla]

12z Euro holds the trough back a bit and keeps next weekend cooler and cloudier. Looks like PDX could have their first shot at 90 of the season early the following week, though.

 

Seems a tad wetter (especially east side) but I haven't been following things that closely. Good eye on the temp, first 90 of the year does indeed look possible.

 

http://i65.tinypic.com/dc3dq1.pnghttp://i65.tinypic.com/ozpet.png

[Jesse]

Seems a tad wetter (especially east side) but I haven't been following things that closely. Good eye on the temp, first 90 of the year does indeed look possible.

 

 

Really happy to see a wetter trend on the models this morning with the next trough. Hope it holds.

 

And yeah the 90 possibilities are out at days 9-10 but the second week of June feels about right. I think that is pretty close to climo for our first 90 down here.

[TT-SEA]

Definitely a little bit wetter.

 

[ShawniganLake]

Definitely a little bit wetter.

 

That would be a pretty solid rainfall here if it verified

[TacomaWaWx]

Definitely a little bit wetter.

 

except for me tacoma getting rainshadowed of course. Clouds cleared out pretty quickly this morning up to 66 and another beautiful day.

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS still shows the trough lifting out about a day sooner than the operational run... it shows the ridge in place and 850mb temps above normal by Sunday.

[TT-SEA]

EPS also does not look as hot next week as the operational run.

[Jesse]

EPS also does not look as hot next week as the operational run.

It’s a smoothed ensemble mean, not an operational model. Of course it’s not going to look as amplified.

[TT-SEA]

It’s a smoothed ensemble mean, not an operational model. Of course it’s not going to look as amplified.

Sometimes the anomalies are pretty strong on there. In February... the cold anomalies looked intense even at day 15.

[Jesse]

Sometimes the anomalies are pretty strong on there. In February... the cold anomalies looked intense even at day 15.

Anomalies aside, the average 500mb pattern is almost always a lot smoother at that range than what ends up verifying. February included. That is the nature of long range ensemble means.

[TT-SEA]

Anomalies aside, the average 500mb pattern is almost always a lot smoother at that range than what ends up verifying. February included. That is the nature of long range ensemble means.

I understand that. And I am accounting for that as well. It does not look as hot.

[Phil]

(OT). So this blew through my neighborhood a few hours ago. Gusts were probably near hurricane force in the core w/ wuarter sized hail. I’ll link my own video later.

 

https://mobile.twitter.com/vbagate/status/1135311468025524230

[Requiem]

(OT). So this blew through my neighborhood a few hours ago. Gusts were probably near hurricane force in the core w/ wuarter sized hail. I’ll link my own video later.

 

https://mobile.twitter.com/vbagate/status/1135311468025524230

 

Lucky 

[TT-SEA]

Out on Sammamish again today... sand bar is still below water but getting closer Boats are starting to pull up now. Water is ankle deep there. Lake level is slowly dropping to normal summer level.

 

[TacomaWaWx]

High clouds have rolled in the last hour or 2 here. Just cloudy skies now and 70 degrees a little cooler than yesterday. Also getting some cool SW breezes here.

[TT-SEA]

High clouds have rolled in the last hour or 2 here. Just cloudy skies now and 70 degrees a little cooler than yesterday. Also getting some cool SW breezes here.

Was 79 when we came off lake... high clouds now but looks like the ingredients for a gorgeous sunset are in place.

[GHweatherChris]

(OT). So this blew through my neighborhood a few hours ago. Gusts were probably near hurricane force in the core w/ wuarter sized hail. I’ll link my own video later.

 

https://mobile.twitter.com/vbagate/status/1135311468025524230

Wrong thread.

[TacomaWaWx]

Was 79 when we came off lake... high clouds now but looks like the ingredients for a gorgeous sunset are in place.

Yeah looks like a nice sunset to end off the weekend. Definitely some cooler air coming in here onshore winds have kicked up. Made it up to 73 now it’s down to 69 here.

[Omegaraptor]

NW wind kicking in.

[ShawniganLake]

Breezy

[High Desert Mat?]

Phil, just to rough things up a bit.

[High Desert Mat?]

Wall to wall sunshine here with a high of 88 and some light breezes in the afternoon. Tim approved.

[Guest CulverJosh]

High desert mat weather is dry weather.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still 65F in town while it's 59F at the airport.

[TacomaWaWx]

58 here was a beautiful evening. Upcoming weekend looks not nearly as good as this weekend. Gfs is currently showing 0.5-0.75 over western WA and OR with less than that up in the north sound during this upcoming weekend. Goes without saying that number will change over the next few days.

[TT-SEA]

58 here was a beautiful evening. Upcoming weekend looks not nearly as good as this weekend. Gfs is currently showing 0.5-0.75 over western WA and OR with less than that up in the north sound during this upcoming weekend. Goes without saying that number will change over the next few days.

 

 

I am guessing that Saturday will be pretty decent but cool... and I still think Sunday has a chance to be summery again.  

 

This weekend was just about perfect.   Sunny and 77 yesterday and today in North Bend... and it was 79 on the lake in Issaquah this afternoon.  

 

Still calm here and down to 65 now. 

[Jesse]

58 here was a beautiful evening. Upcoming weekend looks not nearly as good as this weekend. Gfs is currently showing 0.5-0.75 over western WA and OR with less than that up in the north sound during this upcoming weekend. Goes without saying that number will change over the next few days.

Why is rain not good?

[TacomaWaWx]

Why is rain not good?

haha I didn’t mean it like that at all we really need the rain. I’ll take any rain we can get in the summer!

[TacomaWaWx]

I am guessing that Saturday will be pretty decent but cool... and I still think Sunday has a chance to be summery again.  

 

This weekend was just about perfect.   Sunny and 77 yesterday and today in North Bend... and it was 79 on the lake in Issaquah this afternoon.  

 

Still calm here and down to 65 now.

 

well hopefully one of those days is alright but I’m definitely hoping we get some decent rain.

[TT-SEA]

well hopefully one of those days is alright but I’m definitely hoping we get some decent rain.

Yeah... it would be awesome to get an inch of rain on some night during the work week every week and then every weekend was like this all summer. Best of both worlds!