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July 2019 Observations and Discussion


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Nice steady rain with some embedded thunder this morning in SW Omaha. Of course, here in Omaha we once again missed out on the really heavy rain and stronger thunderstorms to the south and southwest overnight and this morning.

 

I am not going to complain about getting some much needed moisture. Up to .60 so far today and still some more rain to come, current temp is a comfortable 69 degrees... it’s nice giving the AC a break for once.

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With the heat last Friday, there is now a 170F spread in the ‘feels like’ temp at MSP this year. Wind chill of -55F on Jan 30 and a heat index of 115F on July 19. Actual temp spread is 123F. Not too

For those without Instagram, here is a photo of the remnant snow piles at MSP international airport. July 19th, 2019.

Happy 4th of July everyone!  Happy 243th B Day America!         This is the greatest nation in the world and I'm proud to be an American.  I'm thankful for our veterans, military and our founding fat

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NE and KC region getting some beneficial rains and it looks like @CentralNeb is under another Flood Advisory along with both the LNK/KC area. It's nice to see those who have been missing out on the recent rains get a chance to catch up on what has been a long dry spell.

You’re correct Tom, some flood advisories in the region with heavy rain overnight and continuing rain this morning. We joked that we hadn’t had a rain in over 10 days since our previous flooding rain and we get more. The rain in my area town hasn’t been flooding type rains, just moderate to at times heavy rain. If you can harvest a crop this year you should make some money. Unfortunately, many farmers have lost a lot of acres with floods or hail.

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These all look "Captain Obvious" stuff, except ofc the sheets in your freezer. Seriously?? Mines full of food and besides, they could at least say "in a bag" as peeps could just take it literally.  :lol:  As is, would stay cooled for about 5 seconds anyways, unless they meant to put them in wet straight from the washing machine, lol

Seriously, did the weather service summer intern write that? Lol. That’s ridiculous.

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Nice steady rain with some embedded thunder this morning in SW Omaha. Of course, here in Omaha we once again missed out on the really heavy rain and stronger thunderstorms to the south and southwest overnight and this morning.

I am not going to complain about getting some much needed moisture. Up to .60 so far today and still some more rain to come, current aatemp is a comfortable 69 degrees... it’s nice giving the AC a break for once.

That’s much better than the 0.06” of rain I got! It’s really dry, but at least it cooled off a lot!
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99*. Feels like 104*

 

Dewpoint 67*

Wind .....2mph.....:lol:

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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These all look "Captain Obvious" stuff, except ofc the sheets in your freezer. Seriously?? Mines full of food and besides, they could at least say "in a bag" as peeps could just take it literally.  :lol:  As is, would stay cooled for about 5 seconds anyways, unless they meant to put them in wet straight from the washing machine, lol

If you have no ac available, you try anything that can possibly cool you off, even if its putting your sheets in the freezer. This will not cool you off all night, but at least it will make you fall asleep more comfortably. You just gotta remember to put your sheets into a plastic sealed bag and pop them in the freezer for a few minutes. Also, make sure the bag is sealed tightly, so you don't let any moisture get into sheets. I did it once in Greece in my vacation home (Andros Island, NE of Athens), where my ac broke outta nowhere. There, the heat is dry, no humidity, but, still it can be quite warm at night sometimes. Usually, the mountain across from my house brings down a cool wind, but that is not always the case.

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Sounds nice Niko!

I vote we hold a Forum Convention there next year !! :)

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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In BC attm and have serious rain falling on a NNE wind. Temps in mid 70's. Whole other season in 24 hrs. This is the 3rd noice Rainer from a SLP tracking just south of us. Preview of winter or just more off-season teasing? Would like to think its the first one.

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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SE michigan got hit pretty hard with those line of storms yesterday. thousands lost power when a trampoline flew into a substation

 

attachicon.gif67635734_2401663963262945_8448337770883055616_o.jpg

 

Now that's a crazy one right there! I'm guessing those were the stronger cells that got warned up around Saginaw Bay? Didn't see too much south of that reach warning level. Nothing here did after the Friday overnight line. 

 

@ Niko

You gettin any of that rain over your way? Scored about 0.5" here in Marshall. A pleasant surprise after getting missed by both Friday and Saturday's heavy storms. 

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Ding dong the witch is dead, the heat wave is gone. Had heavy rain and thunder earlier, but now it's a steady light-moderate rain. 72.9°F.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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My band played Rock Fest outside of Cadott WI yesterday. On our way up we drove right into that line of storms. We were just east of Rochester MN when we drove into it. We had to pull off. Crazy wind and torrential rain. From there on up we saw some trees down and a few road signs down. Definitely got hit hard up there. Cleared off by mid afternoon and the weather was beautiful after that!

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Had a high of just 81° today, or yesterday now. lol Felt great!

 

I saw in my records that 3 years ago today the max dew was 84° and the H.I. 126°!! Highest I have ever seen it on my station. And 2 years ago it was up to 83° dew before an awesome supercell moved over and just north of my place.

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You can really tell who got hit and who missed out on the action this past weekend.  The majority of our IA members did not fair well as well as parts of N IL.  That red dot in NE IL is right over my back yard so I won't complain for a nice, dry week of weather that's in the forecast all week long.

 

 

 

EAEkOK9WwAAPTk6.jpg

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Now that's a crazy one right there! I'm guessing those were the stronger cells that got warned up around Saginaw Bay? Didn't see too much south of that reach warning level. Nothing here did after the Friday overnight line. 

 

@ Niko

You gettin any of that rain over your way? Scored about 0.5" here in Marshall. A pleasant surprise after getting missed by both Friday and Saturday's heavy storms. 

Nothin major buddy, just a brief hvy downpour w a gust of wind (which was about 25 to 30mph) and ended very abruptly. Probably did not even get .25". All the hvy stuff was south of my area.

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Finally received some good rains in KC, I got hit, however, some parts of the area still missed out. Most of the June days were dry here, July has been the same. We did have big amounts on a few June days and a few July days, but, those rains came hard and fast. We have had to water quite often down here. Not a wet pattern so far this summer in my opinion.

 

Where do we go from here? Looks like a beautiful, but dry week ahead. Much cooler temps....GFS suggesting heat comes back for the KC area starting this coming weekend. Will it be a hot August??

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About to do some Weber Grillin’ on this stunning Monday afternoon. It’s only 73F with a nice NNE wind coming off the lake. Sorta reminds me of a mid Sept-like day, esp with the start of football camp around the corner.

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Finally received some good rains in KC, I got hit, however, some parts of the area still missed out. Most of the June days were dry here, July has been the same. We did have big amounts on a few June days and a few July days, but, those rains came hard and fast. We have had to water quite often down here. Not a wet pattern so far this summer in my opinion.

 

Where do we go from here? Looks like a beautiful, but dry week ahead. Much cooler temps....GFS suggesting heat comes back for the KC area starting this coming weekend. Will it be a hot August??

Need to watch that ridge build in next month which was my pre-season risk. You really have to consider it esp with a La Niña base state and the ENSO conditions cooling off this summer. I’m guessing near normal around the GL’s/MW but warmer risks farther west/south. Not sure it gets as cool the CFSv2 is suggesting.

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With the heat last Friday, there is now a 170F spread in the ‘feels like’ temp at MSP this year. Wind chill of -55F on Jan 30 and a heat index of 115F on July 19. Actual temp spread is 123F. Not too many places in the world get that big of an extreme. The beauty of the Midwest USA.

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Woah! It’s 88* out there!!

 

90* high for the next two days. I may break out the parka.

I just love these Texas summer cool fronts.

 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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After a brutal last 3 days, my place didn't even get to 80 today. 76.1*F. 

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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The DFW area may see no 100* days in July this year. Has happened 22 times in last 120 yrs.

 

The last year was 2007, then 1992 and 1989. I recall ‘92 and it was very rainy as well.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Heading to Atlantic City over the weekend, so I'm glad to see the weather will be much nicer out there over the weekend than it currently is.

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2019 Statistics (Starting 3/23/19)

Total rainfall: 34.84"

September rainfall total: 11.92"

Largest 24-hour rainfall: 3.21" (9/15)

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 3

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With the heat last Friday, there is now a 170F spread in the ‘feels like’ temp at MSP this year. Wind chill of -55F on Jan 30 and a heat index of 115F on July 19. Actual temp spread is 123F. Not too many places in the world get that big of an extreme. The beauty of the Midwest USA.

Any idea what the record is for either of these is? Just curious.
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Already down to 68.9*F. I feel like I'm gonna need a light hoodie early in the morning tomorrow.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Any idea what the record is for either of these is? Just curious.

My state once did a span of -31F (all-time state record low) to over 80F in the span of a week back in the end of Jan to Feb 2011.

 

I don't know about in one year but almost sure interior Montana has the record for temperature range overall. Something like -58 to 110+ actual temps. I used to know a website to check these.

 

Edit:187 degree span all time. -70F to 117F

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Nothing better than a morning like this in July. 59.5*F.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Gorgeous morning!

 

71*

DP 64*.

Breeze at 8-10 mph. .....I'll take it all summer.

 

Edit: Here's your shot of the day!

Heavy snowfall in Bariloche, Argentina.

Snow up to 2'.

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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After the cool spring we had July has surprised me on how warm it has been. For what it is worth the string of 80 or better at Grand Rapids and Lansing has ended at 27 days. As far as I can tell this is one of the longest string of 80 or better days for Grand Rapids. The longest I can find was 52 in 1921. 47 in 1988 and 34 in 1947. as of this morning Grand Rapids July’s mean is 76.1° and that is good for a departure of +4.1° If this carried out to the end of the month that would be good for 11th all-time warmest July at GR. In the last 10 years GR has had 2012 (79.2°) in 2nd place 2011 (77.0°) in 6th place and 2010 (75.5°) in 13th place. We will know in 9 days how July 2019 ends up.

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Any idea what the record is for either of these is? Just curious.

Not sure about the all-time record. I’ll inquire with office in Chanhassen. They’re usually good about responding to public inquiries.

 

Edit: largest yearly actual temp spread is 142F in 1936. Jan 22 was -34F, July 14 was 108F. Not sure yet about Wind chill and heat index records.

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We got down to a low of 56 in Cedar Rapids this morning and it is very nice outside this afternoon. We still could use some heavy rains around here though, I only have 1.72" of rain so far this month and the average rainfall for July here is 3.43". Things are not as dry as they were last week before we got that really intense storm, but my lawn is still not as green as it would be if we got repeated rainfall. 

 

I am hoping to get some good rainfall and thunderstorms this weekend and into next week. 

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Not sure about the all-time record. I’ll inquire with office in Chanhassen. They’re usually good about responding to public inquiries.

 

Edit: largest yearly actual temp spread is 142F in 1936. Jan 22 was -34F, July 14 was 108F. Not sure yet about Wind chill and heat index records.

Always fascinated by weather history. I looked up Nebraska’s spread. All time high 118 in July of 1936. All time low is -47 in 1899. That is a 165 degree spread. You’re correct, no place on earth like the central United States.

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Can't ask for better summer weather than the past couple of days. Highs near 80 and dews in the 50s. Unfortunately it's not going to last very long. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"

2018-19: 55.5"

2019-20: 17.6"  

2020-21: 2.9" (so far)

 

Average: 25.9"

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Not sure about the all-time record. I’ll inquire with office in Chanhassen. They’re usually good about responding to public inquiries

 

Edit: largest yearly actual temp spread is 142F in 1936. Jan 22 was -34F, July 14 was 108F. Not sure yet about Wind chill and heat index records.

Thanks for digging that up! I love these kind of useless facts!
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The models have been busting in the extended regarding the state of the NAO.  It seems like all of them have tried to take it (+) in the extended but only to correct it (-).  We have seen both the EPS/GEFS trend towards a solid Greenland Block as we open up the month of August.  Yesterday, marked the 1st day the NAO turned (+) in what has been a historic stretch of days in the (-).  I'll have to dig up the final number of days.

 

nao.sprd2.gif

 

 

 

gfs-ens_z500trend_namer_19.png

 

 

This blocking pattern will try to keep troughs rotating across the northern half of the Sub as the NW Flow pattern locks.  I'm starting to think the SW ridge is going to take up residence and primarily meander in this region for the rest of summer.  Boy, this 500mb pattern sure looks La Nina (ish)....clues keep popping up for our future.

 

 

gfs-ens_z500aMean_namer_9.png

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