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July 2019 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Much of Iowa is socked in with clouds this morning.  Cedar Rapids is in one of the slivers of sun.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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That storm yesterday was by far the best storm of the season. First time we’d been under a t-storm warning in St Paul too. Power was just restored here at my house. It was out for roughly 11 hours.

 

Additional chances for severe storms overnight tonight and a better chance tomorrow. Nice active pattern, finally.

Being without power sucks, but at least it wasn’t for a long period of time. No damage to house = Win

 

Your area is sitting in a very good spot to get hit over and over on the periphery of the Heat Dome. The best severe wx threat of the year and probably one of the last events if things end up the way I think they will. Good luck up there and score a few more storms.

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Some recent guidance is now suggesting the "heat wave" may be shortened by a day or two depending on your location.  A bit more blocking up north has been showing up on the ensembles and today's 12z GFS is suggesting a front to sag south across the I-80 corridor igniting storms throughout the weekend.

 

gfs_apcpn_ncus_25.png

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Some recent guidance is now suggesting the "heat wave" may be shortened by a day or two depending on your location.  A bit more blocking up north has been showing up on the ensembles and today's 12z GFS is suggesting a front to sag south across the I-80 corridor igniting storms throughout the weekend.

 

gfs_apcpn_ncus_25.png

That would be awesome! Hopefully it verifies.
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That would be awesome! Hopefully it verifies.

Agree, I happened to notice the ground has some very large cracks showing up so we could use a healthy drink from nature.  I'm looking forward to experiencing a bit of the Heat, followed by a long cooler spell to close out the month.  Nature playing the balancing act.

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We are now at the half way point of the meteorological summer of  2019 and here are some facts as to where Grand Rapids stands here at the half way point.  For June the mean temperature was 66.8° and that was a departure of -1.6° there was 4.36” of rain fall in June there was just 1 day of reported thunder at GRR. Of the 30 days the mean temperature on 19 were below average and 11 were above average. In July the mean so far is at 75.8 ° and that is good for a departure of +3.3° This month so far there have been just 4 days of below average mean temperatures and one day of a average mean and 10 days of above average.  There has been just 1.96” of rain fall so far. For the  meteorological summer season so far there have been 26 days of 80° or better (today will be 27) and of those 26 days 5 have been 90 or better for the met season there have been 5 days in the 60’s and 6 more days where the high was under 75. The coldest low so far this summer is 40.  There have been 5 nights were the low did not get below 70 so far with the warmest being 72.

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I like green grass, but I don't care if I don't need to mow it for a change & in fact, I'm enjoying the break. The caveat.....Now I need to water the garden, etc. Brown grass means it's going dormant for now, and not dying unless there's no rain for 6 or more weeks.

 

There are some pros and cons of these low clouds and light fog (haven't seen this in awhile) that moved in this morning, associated with 'Barry'. The pro is, it's keeping it cooler. The con is when we finally have our best shot at storms this week is it may prevent instability for late day storms.

 

I am very nip picky about my grass being green. If I don't see it in perfection, then, I do everything I can to make it green

 

Barry paid a visit here in SEMI today as well w temps remaining in the 70s w on and off downpours. Feels very tropical though outside

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Currently cloudy w a few showers, some locally very hvy n temp at 80F, 74D, RH is at 90% and HI is at 83F. UGH!

 

Hello Barry. Welcome to SEMI today

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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20190716_145948.jpg storm producing tornado in iowa

impressive

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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@ Gabel, how was your trip this past weekend in Chicago? Nice series sweep from the Cubbies. Did you make it to the beach on Friday?

It was awesome tom!! Best trip yet for my wife and I. Due to a mistake or canceled flight of some sort, we actually arrived earlier than we were supposed to. I had this trip booked since April and southwest never informed me that my flight was changed to 6 am on Thursday. When we got checked into our hotel, we ended up taking the Chicago mob tour which was fantastic. We then took in a Cubs game on Friday and did the beach on Saturday. That water is so refreshing on a hot summer day!! I love the city of Chicago and can’t wait to make a return trip in the future!

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There's a decent line of storms very slowly moving into my area from the wnw.  A cell also just popped up over Cedar Rapids, but about a mile to my northeast.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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There's a decent line of storms very slowly moving into my area from the wnw.  A cell also just popped up over Cedar Rapids, but about a mile to my northeast.

Yes, it is pouring at my house on the NE side. Very happy to see this rain!

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The cell over ne CR continues to grow.  Meanwhile, I haven't seen a drop on the west side.  This line moving in had better not crap out.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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This is ridiculous.  The line moving in from the nw is crapping out.  The cells over ne CR and just nw of CR are not moving an inch.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Boy, it really doesn't want to rain here.  Radar has the red right on my doorstep, but I've still only seen a few sprinkles.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Woohoo!!!  Bright red on radar right on top of me, now pouring rain.   :wub:  There's some wind, too.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Now over 1" in 18 minutes.   :D

Wow. That's impressive. Seems like your area of CR got the better part of the storm. I got to an inch of rain at 7:35, about an hour and 10 minutes after the storm first developed over the NE side. 

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1.53" of rain in my yard.  I was not expecting anything today, so this is great.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Have to eat crow. Barry remnants striking pretty hard here after all..

 

 

 

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
751 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2019

MIC025-075-170545-
/O.NEW.KGRR.FA.Y.0013.190716T2351Z-190717T0545Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Calhoun MI-Jackson MI-
751 PM EDT Tue Jul 16 2019

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a

* Flood Advisory for...
Calhoun County in south central Michigan...

Jackson County in south central Michigan...

* Until 145 AM EDT.

* At 746 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain showers moving
into the area. Over the next few hours, multiple rounds of
torrential rain will move through and will likely produce minor
flooding of small streams, low-lying areas, and spots with poor
drainage. In addition, very low visibilities will make driving
difficult.

* Some locations that will experience flooding include...
Jackson, Albion, Marshall, Vandercook Lake, Battle Creek, Homer,
Union City, Brooklyn, Grass Lake, Burlington, Brownlee Park, Level
Park-Oak Park, Leoni, Spring Arbor, Napoleon, Sandstone, Norvell,
Marengo, Pulaski and Concord.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you
can do so safely.

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Our dew point just touched 75. Dew in Orlando is 72, Miami 74, Key West 76. Not wanting to be fighting Florida for their type of humidity.

I have a cousin from Miami that was visiting here on the 4th of July when it was quite warm and sultry. I told her this is about like their weather, but she said this is nothing and it's worse there. I would say it's just as bad in Iowa at times though, in the summer!

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