Hawkeye Posted April 13, 2023 Report Share Posted April 13, 2023 The GFS and Euro both have Sunday's highs in the upper 30s around here. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 18 hours ago, Hawkeye said: This weekend is looking more interesting. Models are trending slower and stronger. We can certainly use the precip. We've had an active pattern over the last six weeks, but only 1.77" of precip has fallen. LOL Yes I noticed models were trending wetter which I'm very happy to see! It's actually kind of dry and we need a good rain! Hoping for some decent storms Saturday evening if the front doesn't slow down to much. And next week's system looks decent as well. I love spring when everything starts growing again. I wouldn't want to miss it since it's my favorite season! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 New record highs were set yesterday at Lansing with 83. And 77 at Muskegon. At Grand Rapids the record was tied with 80. The official overnight lows were also in the top 3 and all locations. Records could also be set once again today as the forecast is for highs in the low 80’s the records for today are 80 at Grand Rapids, 83 at Lansing, 76 at Muskegon. Holland looks to be safe with their record high of 85 reported in 1941. The record high was tied at Grand Rapids yesterday with the official H/L of 80/56. There was 99% of possible sunshine. The overnight low so far this morning is a little cooler than in the past couple of days and now set at 44 here in MBT with a dew point of 37. As has been the case it is warmer at GRR with a current reading of 49. For today the record high of 80 was set in 1974 and again in 2006 The record low of 21 was set in 1943 and 1953. Today has been a rather snowy day in the last 10 years with the record snow fall amount of 4” falling in 2019 there was also 1.4” in 2014 and 1” in 2020. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 Yesterday was our warmest day since the 84.3 degree reading back on September 4th. We should be a couple degrees cooler today with clouds increasing later. Some showers toward morning tomorrow ending by late Saturday night. Some spots could see 0.25" to 0.50" of much needed rain for the county farmers and green thumbs! Records for today: High 88 (1941) / Low 22 (1940) / Rain 2.28" (1970) / Snow 2.5" (1923) Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 Looks like it's a nothingburger for today, the inversion is too strong. 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 Can't remember the last time we've gone from 3 straight days in the low 80's to snowflakes possible the following day. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 14, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 ORD set a new record high of 83F yesterday and heading back into the low 80's today and tomorrow, however, the "Taste of Summer" will come to a cruel end this weekend and snow flakes will be flying. Looking farther, the models have a cruel joke for parts of the Sub as we approach the Spring Equinox. 0z EPS...nature always seems to find a way to block up the atmosphere when the Jet slows down in the Spring months. Doesn't it seem like that has been the way things go in recent years? Mid-April SNOW? Spring Equinox Big Dog for the Upper MW??? Maybe. If the powerful trough exits the N Rockies and slows down, cuts NW and taps into the cold air this one could be a phenomenal late April storm. Got my eyes on this one. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 Looks like El Niño watch is on. Conditions are setting up for a return after a long La Niña period. https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/april-2023-enso-update-el-niño-watch 4 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 Today was the 3rd consecutive day of highs in the 80s for Chicago. The last time there was that kind of streak in March or April was back during the torch March 2012. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 5 hours ago, Andie said: Looks like El Niño watch is on. Conditions are setting up for a return after a long La Niña period. https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/april-2023-enso-update-el-niño-watch I think 1976-77 was the only time there was a Nino after a 3rd year Nina. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 Well we knew it was too good to be true this week! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted April 14, 2023 Report Share Posted April 14, 2023 I noticed that our local channel 6 weather team over in Philadelphia has been posting how since 1970 springs are getting warmer....as is always the case they only seem to look at since 1970. Why is that a problem? A quick look (see below) at the 3 major NWS COOP sites here in Chester County PA show that by starting the analysis in 1970 the data is clearly skewed because overall the 1960's was the decade with the coolest readings. The warmest springs here in Chester County averaged over the 3 long term sites actually occurred back in the 1940's. Only focusing on 50 years does not prove a trend. 1 Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.pdf Seems the watch is on, Hoosier. They’re only at a 62% chance. (Interesting choice of percentages). Perhaps as summer rolls along the prognosticators will feel more confident. Something to watch over a dull Texas summer Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 Many record high temperatures. Record highs were set yesterday all across southern Lower Michigan. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 83/48 there was 97% of possible sunshine. That 83 is a new record for the day. Other records set 85 at Lansing, 82 at Muskegon, No record but it was also 82 at Holland the record there is 85 set in 1941. Other records across Michigan. 82 Detroit and Flint, 83 Saginaw, 82 Houghton Lake, 86 Traverse City and in the UP 78 at Ironwood. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 Models are trending north and east with the heavier precip from this system as it really wraps up once it gets to Wisconsin. Most models had been showing 1-3" of precip across my area. Some are down to less than a half inch. The long-range pattern could be pretty dreadful. The latest Euro blocks it up and keeps the area in the 40s and 50s through ten days, with multiple hard freezes possible. Yuck! All my plants will have to come back inside and budding shrubs will have to be covered. 2 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 Mother Nature is drunk 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 Nice early morning thunderstorm with some vivid lightning. I got .35 from the fast moving cell. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 Could be a stormy afternoon from mby and points east. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 15, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 4 hours ago, westMJim said: Many record high temperatures. Record highs were set yesterday all across southern Lower Michigan. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 83/48 there was 97% of possible sunshine. That 83 is a new record for the day. Other records set 85 at Lansing, 82 at Muskegon, No record but it was also 82 at Holland the record there is 85 set in 1941. Other records across Michigan. 82 Detroit and Flint, 83 Saginaw, 82 Houghton Lake, 86 Traverse City and in the UP 78 at Ironwood. The entire East Coast also baked in the early summer heat...NYC hit 91F! http://coolwx.com/record/movies/usa.movieday.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 15, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 0z Euro....Back to Winter in the Upper MW! As we approach the Spring Equinox, a bonafide high-lat blocking pattern evolves coupled with a slow-moving system that slides east off the Rockies into the Upper MW/MW region. Plenty of cold air to tap and plenty of moisture will be available for the ag belt. Just not the kinda moisture those up north would like to see! System #1... Euro... 0z GFS.. Total snow from both storms... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 Assuming we don't fall below 61.7 by midnight we recorded another record daily high min temp this AM. Old record was 59 from 2002. A tough forecast for today regarding the chances for some much needed rain. Some spots could see over an inch of rain while others get less than 0.10". Hoping your backyard sees some rain! Looks to continue mild before a cool down early this week then a warming trend mid-week before we start a stretch of predominantly below normal temperatures to close out the month of April. Records for today: High 86 (1967) / Low 24 (1981) / Rain 1.71" (1925) Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 39 degrees with a wind chill in the upper 20’s with light rain falling as of 10 am. Was 92 just two days ago. Temperature in our house has dropped to 60. Had the A/C on this week. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 This past week was the biggest weather tease ever. Now back to reality. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 The current temperature here in MBY is now 82 with a DP of 59 so it is a little more humid then it has been. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 12z Euro 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 3 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: Two days after hitting 89 we now have moderate wet snow falling with a temp of 36. Pretty crazy. You had snow covered ground not too long ago! Temperature extremes are higher in the plains! It never got above 82° here so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 15 hours ago, Hawkeye said: Models are trending north and east with the heavier precip from this system as it really wraps up once it gets to Wisconsin. Most models had been showing 1-3" of precip across my area. Some are down to less than a half inch. The long-range pattern could be pretty dreadful. The latest Euro blocks it up and keeps the area in the 40s and 50s through ten days, with multiple hard freezes possible. Yuck! All my plants will have to come back inside and budding shrubs will have to be covered. Rainfall still could be decent and next week's system looks great as of now. Yeah the cold is going to suck. So long as it doesn't get colder than 30⁰ or so it should be okay here, but I planted some early hardier (except for beans) garden things a few days ago,so hopefully it doesn't last to long! I started a lot of plant cuttings indoors this year so I'm glad I held off on planting any of those outside. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 Quite the rotating, tornado warned, hail producing supercell headed for St Louis area looks like! I saw on Twitter were they had 3" diameter hail somewhere in Missouri probably from that same storm! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted April 15, 2023 Report Share Posted April 15, 2023 1 hour ago, Sparky said: Quite the rotating, tornado warned, hail producing supercell headed for St Louis area looks like! I saw on Twitter were they had 3" diameter hail somewhere in Missouri probably from that same storm! Yes and I’m here in downtown STL. Went to the cards game this afternoon with the family and watching it roll in. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 Kind of got screwed here this evening rainfall wise. A heavy storm with occasional c/g lightning dropped probably nearly 1" of rain just east of here. Got a respectable quarter inch so far even here in the dryer hole, with rain continuing for now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 00z HRRR 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 On 4/14/2023 at 5:01 PM, Hoosier said: I think 1976-77 was the only time there was a Nino after a 3rd year Nina. So are you thinking Neutral? Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 00z GFS 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 giddy up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 There were more record highs yesterday. While the H/L at Grand Rapids of 81/59 was not a record it was the 3rd warmest high and the 4 warmest low for the date. Lansing tied both the record high 84 and the record warmest low 62. And a new record high of 81 was set at Muskegon. For today the average H/L at Grand Rapids is 58/38 the record high of 86 was set in 2002 and the record low of 21 was set in 1904. There was a big April snowstorm on this date in 1961 when 11.8” fell. Last year it was cold on this date with a H/L of 39/30 and there was a trace of snow fall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 Well looking like a 7-10" deal here...maybe more. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted April 16, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 8 hours ago, Madtown said: giddy up Do you still have snow OTG? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 Some folks in southern Chester County picked up close to an inch of rain with last evening's storms. Unfortunately most of the county received much less than that...here in East Nantmeal we received only 0.03". There is another chance of some showers or thunderstorms overnight tonight but unfortunately dry begets dry it would seem for most! Back to near normal temps tomorrow and then well below normal highs on Tuesday with temp struggling to reach the mid-50's. Warmer again by weeks end. Records for today: High 90 (1896)/ Low 20 (1926) / Rain 2.42" (1929) and Snow 2.0" from 2007. 1 Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 3 hours ago, Tom said: Do you still have snow OTG? Pretty much down to nothing except in the woods and piles. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted April 16, 2023 Report Share Posted April 16, 2023 I received 0.34" of rain late yesterday and overnight. We may get a bit of snow this evening, but it won't add up to much. Precip-wise, this system turned into a big disappointment for my area. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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