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April 2023 Observations and Disussion


Tom

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Yesterday was a mild Easter Sunday with the official H/L of 66/34 at Grand Rapids. There was no rain fall and the day had 89% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY so far is 35 looks like the official low was a much warmer 43 and the current official temperature is also much warmer at 46.

The average H/L for today is 55/35 the record high of 85 was set in 2011 and the record low of 15 was set in 1989. As we settle down on the snow fall the record for today is 2” set way back in 1894 there was 1” reported in 1961 all other snow fall reports for today are under one inch. Last year the high was 58 after a cold low of 24.

This week looks to be a very warm mid April week with highs in the 70’s and in spots there could be a 80 or so. But summer is NOT here yet as next week looks to cool down to near or below average.

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There is a marginal severe risk today as a few storms fire up along a low level boundary. Most of the action should be west and north of me, but I may get some leftovers. 

Next chance of something looks like around Friday or so. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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6 minutes ago, Black Hole said:

There is a marginal severe risk today as a few storms fire up along a low level boundary. Most of the action should be west and north of me, but I may get some leftovers. 

Next chance of something looks like around Friday or so. 

Mostly over me as well... Earliest start between noon and 2 PM.

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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PHX did not hit the 90F mark yesterday as we topped out at 89F.  Today, will be another story as we are starting out in the low 60's and shooting up into the upper 90's.  Gotta love the large temp spread in the dry desert airmass.  Happy Monday!

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My favorite eastern Iowa meteorologist, Kaj O'mara, announced this morning he is leaving the local news field for another job (weather forensics consulting) after sixteen years at KCRG.  I had hoped he was sticking around for so long so he could take over for chief met Joe Winters when he retires.  ☹️

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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On 4/8/2023 at 7:00 PM, Beltrami Island said:

Can anyone explain what the cause of dirty snowfall from the April 4-5 snowstorm could be?  As that snow is now melting it's leaving a residue on vehicles, roofs, and on the snow itself. It's widespread over miles as well.

The only thing I can think of is dirt from the Iowa tornadoes getting pulled way up and depositing on the nw side of the low up here on the MN/Ontario border. Seems far fetched but looking for other ideas.IMG_20230408_124145710.thumb.jpg.a7b91c2ba32303555da364a3c3f91a7f.jpg

IMG_20230408_104428617.jpg

As the upper low kicked up to the northeast dust from Texas was pulled into the storm system. We had dust suspended in the air. That dust worked into the storm system causing the dirty snow. 
 

 

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10 hours ago, Hawkeye said:

My favorite eastern Iowa meteorologist, Kaj O'mara, announced this morning he is leaving the local news field for another job (weather forensics consulting) after sixteen years at KCRG.  I had hoped he was sticking around for so long so he could take over for chief met Joe Winters when he retires.  ☹️

Kaj is also my favorite! Gonna miss his insights!

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On 4/8/2023 at 10:07 PM, OmahaSnowFan said:

Finally finished my YouTube video of the wedge EF-4 tornado I saw on 3/31

 

Amazing!  Thanks for sharing! All your footage  was 2 to 13 miles from my house!  One of those hog farms lost 9000 pigs I heard.  Its crazy that no one died in that monster!

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My daffodils are now if full bloom. Yesterday was another nice spring day with the official H/L of 67/43 there was 83% of possible sun and no rain fall. The overnight low here in MBY this morning is the current temperature of 42 with clear skies. For today the average H/L is now up to 56/36 the record high of 82 was set in 1977 and the record low of 14 was set in 1973. The record snow fall of 4.6” fell in 2007. Last year the H/L was 59/39.

The rest of this week looks to be on the very warm side before a cool down over the weekend that will drop temperatures to near and then below average. The is a chance of some snow to the north as well. So don’t put the winter coats away just yet.

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Today begins a stretch of well above normal temps that will last into the start of the weekend. Looks like we cool down to normal to a little below again by the middle of next week. We should see 80's by Thursday and Friday...but we should stay well below the record highs for those dates. We could use some rain as we are now at only 71% of normal through today.
Records for today: High 84 (2017) / Low 23 (1909) / Precipitation 1.85" (1894) / Snow - today in 1894 marks the end of the greatest 2 day late season April snowstorms in the counties history. With today's 18.5" of snow along with the previous day's 9.7" we recorded a wet snow total of 28.2" in Western Chester County.
image.png.9a298fdcabfd763657661d3b3c762bf9.png
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Climate Alarmists love to say"there is consensus on climate" While Climate Realists ask "is it true?" Science is of course never about consensus. I will always question the science and provide rigorous data analytics using only the actual climate data. All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the unique climate specific to Chester County PA.  All data includes only the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop/AWOS/MADIS climate data for Chester County.  Unlike the data you will find at NOAA/NCEI sites, there have been no post observation computer adjustments made to massage the data .

Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

 

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I really enjoy these Spring mornings when the cool and warm air is layered and we get a bit of “atmospheric frosting” on our day.  
Were at 49. On our way to 74. 

44EE8B5C-1D1C-43A8-B90E-55977B979936.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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50 minutes ago, Andie said:

I really enjoy these Spring mornings when the cool and warm air is layered and we get a bit of “atmospheric frosting” on our day.  
Were at 49. On our way to 74. 

44EE8B5C-1D1C-43A8-B90E-55977B979936.jpeg

That looks wonderful...love everything about this photo...

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I love the way the clouds crawl here in the Spring and Fall.  It’s a special place tucked away in SW Tarrant County near Ft Worth. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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On our way to 82 today, and mid to upper 80's, possibly 90 Wednesday and Thursday.  Very surprised how little to no trees are budding out yet.  Starting to see a little green in some yards, but not much.  A few of the lawn services have mowed up dead grass/leaves, but most yards still look like they are a few weeks away, at least, from the first mowing.  Unfortunately, we've gotten dry again, and it seems like there are daily red flag and fire warnings.  

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Good morning! Yesterday was another nice mild mid April day with a H/L of 72/51 there was no rain fall and with a lot of high clouds there was 59% of sunshine. So far the overnight low here in MBY is several degrees cooler than the official reading at GRR. My low and current reading is 55 while at GRR is 60. For today the average H/L is 56/36 the record high of 82 was set in 1997 and the record low of 19 was set in 1939 and 1950.

The next 4 days look to be much warmer than average with highs in the upper 70’s and there may even be a 80 or so. It will be windy so the western areas near Lake Michigan may be cooler than areas to the east.

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9 hours ago, Clinton said:

Strong and chilly storm showing up for the weekend.  Oklahoma and North Texas could see some strong storms.

May be an image of text that says 'FRIDAY DRYLINE SETUP ALL HAZARDS POSSIBLE IF SUPERCELLS FIRE 7582'

Hope we get plenty of rain from this.   Very much in need.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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We had a record high minimum temperature this AM of just 58.8 degrees breaking the old record of 58.7 set back in 2017. We should approach 80 degrees especially in the lower spots of Chester County today. This will still be well below the record for today but almost 20 degrees above normal for the date. Dry and warm weather through Friday with showers this weekend followed by a return to near normal April temperatures next week and for an extended stretch of days.
Records for today: High 87 (1990) / Low 20 (1975) / Rain 1.95" (1933) / Snow 1" (1894)
image.png.b9c9dd99098bf7585b53eaca28cd9e76.png

Climate Alarmists love to say"there is consensus on climate" While Climate Realists ask "is it true?" Science is of course never about consensus. I will always question the science and provide rigorous data analytics using only the actual climate data. All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the unique climate specific to Chester County PA.  All data includes only the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop/AWOS/MADIS climate data for Chester County.  Unlike the data you will find at NOAA/NCEI sites, there have been no post observation computer adjustments made to massage the data .

Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

 

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23 hours ago, Andie said:

I really enjoy these Spring mornings when the cool and warm air is layered and we get a bit of “atmospheric frosting” on our day.  
Were at 49. On our way to 74. 

44EE8B5C-1D1C-43A8-B90E-55977B979936.jpeg

I've been seeing ground fog the last few mornings near empty fields and creeks around the area. That looks like a golf course, so probably lots of water available to form some patchy fog! 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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Well it is likely we are finished with any snow this season here in Chester County PA. This season ended up being our 3rd least snowy winter since records began back in 1888. Below are the top 20 least and most snowy winters. Note that 6 of our snowiest seasons have occurred since 2000 - while only 4 of our least snowy seasons have taken place since 2000.

image.png.24f33092b160515b7862de548d746d1f.png

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Climate Alarmists love to say"there is consensus on climate" While Climate Realists ask "is it true?" Science is of course never about consensus. I will always question the science and provide rigorous data analytics using only the actual climate data. All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the unique climate specific to Chester County PA.  All data includes only the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop/AWOS/MADIS climate data for Chester County.  Unlike the data you will find at NOAA/NCEI sites, there have been no post observation computer adjustments made to massage the data .

Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

 

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PHX set a new record high of 99F yesterday, surpassing the record by 1 degree (98F).  I felt every bit of the Heat yesterday and we are beginning our "cool" off as they say out here...down into the low 90's!  LOL, however, I see highs for Thu & Fri will be near 80F so it'll feel like Spring again.  The pattern looks to warm up over the weekend as a SW ridge grows and temps rise into the 90's.

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Yesterday was a very warm day with an official H/L at Grand Rapids of 77/59 There was no rain fall and 100% of possible sunshine. So far the overnight low here in MBY is the current temperature of 53. At GRR the low so far has been a warmer 58. For today the average H/L is 57/36 the record high of 80 was set in 1941 the record low of 16 was set in 1957.  The record snow fall of 2.8” fell in 1962. Last year the H/L was 67/48 and there was 0.73” of rain fall. The record high for today could be challenged.

It was a very warm day all across the state yesterday, there were many reports of highs in the 80’s. The one of the warmest in lower Michigan was at Traverse City with a high of 83. With down slopping TC can get very warm. Even in the UP it was very warm with the high for the state set at Menominee with a reported high of 86 the coldest high for the start was also in the UP at Manistique with a high of 51.

It looks to continue very warm through Saturday before turning much colder for Monday and there is snow in the forecast for Monday.

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Spring as Sprung in KC. Trees are fully bloomed and the grass is beautiful green. Had some nice rains on Monday around town, overall, April has been off to a dryer start so far but has been good for getting work done outside. 

Long range data has some possible "cold" days in there with some possible light freezes....

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60*. High of 80* today.  
Friday will bring us a chance at a strong afternoon storm.  
The weekend looks stellar with upper 70’s. 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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We set another record low maximum this morning with a low of only 61.2 - breaking the old record of 59.4 set in 2019. Today will be the warmest day of the week as temps could approach near record levels this PM. A little cooler but still over 80 degrees tomorrow before we start a cool down over the weekend along with the chance of some much needed showers.
Records for today: High 86 (1977) / Low 21 (1975) / Rain 2.40"
image.png.3641d66048708eed7b9e2235b59cc139.png

Climate Alarmists love to say"there is consensus on climate" While Climate Realists ask "is it true?" Science is of course never about consensus. I will always question the science and provide rigorous data analytics using only the actual climate data. All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the unique climate specific to Chester County PA.  All data includes only the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop/AWOS/MADIS climate data for Chester County.  Unlike the data you will find at NOAA/NCEI sites, there have been no post observation computer adjustments made to massage the data .

Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

 

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MSP set a record high yesterday. I love it. Been much welcomed after the long winter. So many ppl out walking and soaking it in. There are a few scattered piles of snow and the lakes still have a bit of ice on em. 80s again today and tomorrow. 

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6 minutes ago, james1976 said:

MSP set a record high yesterday. I love it. Been much welcomed after the long winter. So many ppl out walking and soaking it in. There are a few scattered piles of snow and the lakes still have a bit of ice on em. 80s again today and tomorrow. 

The Upper MW was definitely feeling the summer warmth...

4-12-23 Upper MW_MW Record High Temps.webp

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This weekend is looking more interesting.  Models are trending slower and stronger.  We can certainly use the precip.  We've had an active pattern over the last six weeks, but only 1.77" of precip has fallen.

image.thumb.png.722fddd731d7ee7a110dfbce0bf53033.png

LOL

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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