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PNW April 2023 Weather Discussion


Cascadia_Wx

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1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Kinda Forgot it’s April so posted in the other thread but we finished March with about 50% of normal rainfall at 2.77” and -2.3F. The worm may be turning this month though :( 

Maybe I am being naive in this RAPIDLY warming climate, but I don’t think a strong spike of heat in early to mid April is necessarily a bad thing in the big picture. Of course time will tell. Could easily be eating my words with a side of wildfire smoke in five months.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Maybe I am being naive in this RAPIDLY warming climate, but I don’t think a strong spike of heat in early to mid April is necessarily a bad thing in the big picture. Of course time will tell. Could easily be eating my words with a side of wildfire smoke in five months.

Yeah, it certainly didn’t mean much in the spring and early summer of 2022 but then afterwards…yikes. We will see how it goes. In the wise words of the foothill man Andrew we will just have to keep fighting the good fight and enjoy and seasonably cool weather coming in the warm season we get :) 

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42 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I don't even think its going to get that warm.   Trend seems to be towards flatter and wetter.   

Yeah we will see how it goes. Should warm up atleast briefly sometime here soon which is right on schedule for mid spring. I’m guessing we see a few days in the upper 60s-low 70s mid month. Should be great for the 1st Anderson island camping trip of the year. 

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Looks like @SilverFallsAndrewisn't able to post in this topic.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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I’m here now. Thanks guys. Hitting the trail of 10 falls early. Was snowing and 33 with a dusting when I left the house. Down around 1100’ on the trail now. Just drippy. Was sticking good up by north falls. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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48 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I forgot that it's a new month and we have a new topic to post stuff. 

It's still early in the morning and these showers are very active for this time of the morning. It makes me wonder if it will be a very active day. With the sun breaks, it will allow these showers to get stronger. 

KRTX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 8_12 AM.gif

It's amazing to watch these showers blossom up. 

KRTX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 9_01 AM.gif

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Currently 33F and dumping snow at 300' in Marblemount with grass stickage. Flakes are 2"+ across.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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We could definitely pick up an inch or two the next two nights, but Monday night into Tuesday morning is definitely our best chance. That looks like 2-4” at face value. In the meantime we are going to struggle to hit 40 the first 4 days of the month. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We could definitely pick up an inch or two the next two nights, but Monday night into Tuesday morning is definitely our best chance. That looks like 2-4” at face value. In the meantime we are going to struggle to hit 40 the first 4 days of the month. 

Praying hard for you Andrew.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Praying hard for you Andrew.

Thanks I would consider it a major rebuke for Tim if we can salvage 6-10” from this trough. Any accumulation though would be a real triumph. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Thanks I would consider it a major rebuke for Tim if we can salvage 6-10” from this trough. Any accumulation though would be a real triumph. 

Speaking of triumphs, blessings abound on the 12z GFS after hour 240.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Speaking of triumphs, blessings abound on the 12z GFS after hour 240.

Andrew has really been putting the work into the good fight! In all seriousness though despite the weather being a lot drier than I would prefer this winter/spring it’s been very enjoyable. Atleast we’re not seeing a warm/dry combination for now. 

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Just now, TacomaWx said:

Andrew has really been putting the work into the good fight! In all seriousness though despite the weather being a lot drier than I would prefer this winter/spring it’s been very enjoyable. Atleast we’re not seeing a warm/dry combination for now. 

He’s been pouring his heart and soul into it and I gotta say it’s been paying off.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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17 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

They’ve gotta really stop giving us hope man. Feels like we’ve had the slightest sliver of hope the last month and it’s frustrating 😂

Would be fun to wrap the cold season with some flakes in the air but I’m not really expecting it to happen. 

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2 minutes ago, T-Town said:

February’s snow hole is April’s sunshine. 

Has been a lot of systems coming in off the pacific recently with W or NW flow. Hasn’t been much in the way of SW or S flow it seems like…not even recently just this rainy season as a whole. Generally leaves us in the dry pocket east of the mountains. 

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