TacomaWx Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, T-Town said: Would be fun to wrap the cold season with some flakes in the air but I’m not really expecting it to happen. We’ve had a lot of snow in the air this year despite it only adding up to 7.6” at my house. I’d have to go and look at the exact number…but we’ve had flakes flying on atleast 25-30 different days from late November to early March. I’m ready for spring and looking outside today I’d say it’s here. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Splats! Highway 30! Clatskanie Hill! No foolin’! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DareDuck Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 2 hours ago, High Desert Mat? said: What game is that you were talking about on the previous month Jesse? Age of Empires. Looked like the second one. Great game. 1 Quote Bend, ORElevation: 3550' Snow History:Nov: 1"Dec: .5"Jan: 1.9"Feb: 12.7"Mar: 1.0"Total: 17.1" 2016/2017: 70"2015/2016: 34"Average: ~25" 2017/2018 Winter TempsLowest Min: 1F on 2/23Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22Lows <32: 87Highs <32: 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 42/29 with a Graupel shower in progress Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 March was chilly in the West. And basically continued the theme from winter. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Thanks I would consider it a major rebuke for Tim if we can salvage 6-10” from this trough. Any accumulation though would be a real triumph. I am cheering for you! Didn't even think there was a doubt that you would get significant snow. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 This still looks warm. 3 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 60s in WA 80 in Portland. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 ECMWF is the only model showing decent rain on Thursday and Friday. And is also the most robust with the ridging that follows. Those things might be related... but not sure. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 1, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 One big story is how wet Thursday/Friday have trended on the Euro. Meanwhile the warmest stuff keeps getting pushed back to the very last day of the run. 5 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Just now, Slushy Inch said: 60s in WA 80 in Portland. ECMWF cold bias near the Puget Sound will be in full force with this pattern. If the 500mb pattern verifies then it will be warmer up here. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: One big story is how wet Thursday/Friday have trended on the Euro. Meanwhile the warmest stuff keeps getting pushed back to the very last day of the run. Not surprised. Seems like any major pattern change tends to be pushed back. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: ECMWF cold bias near the Puget Sound will be in full force with this pattern. If the 500mb pattern verifies then it will be warmer up here. Oh it does? Good to know. Didn’t think it made sense to just see 60s. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 1 hour ago, Thunder98 said: Its currently 120F in LA right now! April fools Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 GFS shows basically no rain Thursday and Friday... GEM shows very little. But this is the second consecutive ECMWF run to show significant rain those days. Probably best to assume the ECMWF will be right and personally that would be my preference. But sometimes the GFS ends up being sneaky good with pattern changes. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Oh it does? Good to know. Didn’t think it made sense to just see 60s. Definitely a cold bias... most pronounced on sunny days from April-October. We have already seen it show up on numerous sunny days in March as well. I think it was @bainbridgekid who joked last summer that the ECMWF seems to think the waters of the Puget Sound are in the 30s all summer. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 1, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Moderate ice pelletey shower here and down to 42. Have only had a high of 45 so far today. 4 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted April 1, 2023 Author Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 You can see that some GEFS ensemble members show the wet period Thursday Friday. Also liking the quicker breakdown of the ridge and decent agreement on the long range between the operational, control and mean. I say bring on a warm spike. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Puget sound action around 3pm? Let’s see how it does. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 12Z EPS definitely shows that trough on Thursday and Friday. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 43 at 12:30 pm. Chilly. Just catching the northern tip of a passing shower. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 A couple of lightning strikes 🌩 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 5 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said: A couple of lightning strikes 🌩 Things are getting active 🌩 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said: Things are getting active 🌩 I would probably be able to see some lightning from home but I'm in Hillsboro right now. Hopefully some more storms can form! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said: Things are getting active 🌩 Y’all down south get way more lightning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Awesome clouds today. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ken in Wood Village Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Hail 🌩 I was at the gym...lol 20230401_131521.mp4 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Has been hailing here in Everett for about ten minutes. Big hail. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Has been hailing here in Everett for about ten minutes. Big hail. Not graupel? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 5 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Has been hailing here in Everett for about ten minutes. Big hail. Looks like it may swing south. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Lightning! Fun spring PSCZ. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Also some rotation. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Would not be shocked to hear that a funnel or waterspout was spotted over the puget sound. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 I'm currently running a 47/36 spread here at my house. When glancing at the 12z 3km NAM lapse rates depicted for right now, that translates to roughly 4-700j/kg of unrealized CAPE, which is on the upper end of average for these Springtime cold core convective setups. The only thing preventing any convection over the Seattle area is the northward displacement of the convergence zone. As of right now the metro area down to about Federal Way is under midlevel subsidence related to that, preventing deeper convection. Some lift ahead of a main batch of PSCZ-related showers currently parked over the Olympic peninsula is currently spawning a low level cumulus field over Seattle with some very shallow pseudo-convective drizzle over Snohomish county; a pretty good indicator that the near surface environment is quite ripe and moist ahead of any impulses we see today. One thing to watch for is to see if this drizzle expands in coverage and disarms the environment via evaporative cooling. CAM's are quite trigger happy with a branch of potent showers popping up over the central Sound and swinging through the north side of the city over the coming hours. The fast cell motion and strong westerly flow should allow the environment to overcome that PSCZ-related subsidence. 4 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Those are some boomers! They're perched across the Sound but those towers reach way above the horizon, and even the apartments around my house. Clearing now, which is a good sign. Should prime the environment more 5 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Just now, Meatyorologist said: Those are some boomers! They're perched across the Sound but those towers reach way above the horizon, and even the apartments around my house. Clearing now, which is a good sign. Should prime the environment more Pretty sunny now with some more showers to the west. Hoping to finally see more than some distant lightning, it's been a few years 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Divided sky. 5 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Sunbreaks gonna get this thing cranking! 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Just heard some thunder. This thing is powerful. It looks and feels the part, with how divided the sky is and the structure of the cumulonimbus towers. On radar the whole thing is bowing out, with a nice pool of cold air reinforcing on the back side. Looks like this PSCZ is taking advantage of the speed shear left in the wake of the Olympics. Currently enjoying the sunny subsidence region to the south of the 'zone. Getting windy as we're pushing past 50F and mix some of those strong SSW'lies to the ground. 3 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted April 1, 2023 Report Share Posted April 1, 2023 Has been hailing for about a half an hour. Everything is white. Has not let up. 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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