PNW April 2023 Weather Discussion

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Rainy day. We are gonna miss these. 

Plenty more coming.

[the_convergence_zone]

I'm a little surprised the Euro is only showing low-to-mid 70s next Friday with those double-digit T850 anomalies and flow straight out of the east. Sea-Tac can hit 75 from that setup in mid-March. Could get an 80 out of this one after all. 

 

(Edit: I appear to be remembering the pair of 79s in March 2019)

[TT-SEA]

Full 12Z EPS run... some sort of troughing will return after next weekend.    Maybe a ULL pattern into the SW which might still be decent.   Just hoping we don't return to the crazy anomalous troughing again and get some more variety.  

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, the_convergence_zone said:

I'm a little surprised the Euro is only showing low-to-mid 70s next Friday with those double-digit T850 anomalies and flow straight out of the east. Sea-Tac can hit 75 from that setup in mid-March. Could get an 80 out of this one after all. 

 

(Edit: I appear to be remembering the pair of 79s in March 2019)

ECMWF will be at least 4-5 degrees too cold on sunny days for the Puget Sound area from now until October... its just a given.  

 

[Cloud]

6 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Calling 2011 a year with no summer is pretty silly. August and September were both solidly warm. There have been many years in the past that are much more deserving of that title.

Don’t shoot the messenger Jesse

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Don’t shoot the messenger Jesse

I wasn’t. I know you didn’t say it.

[Omegaraptor]

Looks like next week's lows could be warmer than today's high in Portland metro!

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, Doinko said:

How much snow has that area had this winter/spring?

Campbell River or here?

Campbell river is showing 48.2”

IMBY we are just right around 59”. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

But first, one last rainy weekend. Wouldn’t want to squander a weekend and waste it with dry weather, now would we?

[ShawniganLake]

Snowing in parts of inland Vancouver island this afternoon. This is just west of Port Alberni at just 170ft elevation. 
 

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Happy bud day!

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Happy bud day!

 

Might need to ask NWS Portland (not Eugene  ) to put out a green fog advisory for the south valley.

[Front Ranger]

36 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Snowing in parts of inland Vancouver island this afternoon. This is just west of Port Alberni at just 170ft elevation. 
 

 

New norm.

[ShawniganLake]

Stormy out!  Lots of BC ferry cancellations and 11,000 customers without power on the south coast this afternoon. 

[Cold Snap]

Made it down to 33 this morning. Pretty great for this late in the season. Only at a high of 48 so far so I may get a sub-50 high today which is also pretty good for this late.

[TT-SEA]

35 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Stormy out!  Lots of BC ferry cancellations and 11,000 customers without power on the south coast this afternoon. 

Must be east wind at home... still dry there per my front door cam.

[MossMan]

Happy Thanksgiving!! 
Currently 44 degrees. 

Edited April 20, 2023 by MossMan

[Deweydog]

[RentonHill]

10 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

[Doinko]

Would a pattern like this be conducive for thunderstorms?

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Would a pattern like this be conducive for thunderstorms?

Could, but it would be dependent on a very tentative mid level trigger given that any real red upper level meat is well offshore.

Big picture looks good though.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Happy bud day!

 

Nice! 

[Slushy Inch]

21 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Would a pattern like this be conducive for thunderstorms?

This pattern is actually better.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Some pretty heavy rain falling here at the OREGON GARDEN RESORT. Hope we can stay sub-50 until midnight. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

This pattern is actually better.

A lot of potential in the long range. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

A little behind on the leaf out. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Looks like 47 for the high so far at PDX. Not a daily record MIN/MAX (thanks to the aforementioned 4/20/63 setup), but one of the coldest highs this late in the season since then. Just need to hold on another seven hours…

A pretty mind blowing 45/32 spread here so far. That’s some 1950s/1960s type stuff for late April.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Surprised today’s setup didn’t bring Jim out of hiding, at least temporarily.

[Cascadia_Wx]

13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A lot of potential in the long range. 

First week of May could be fun around here Andrew  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

First week of May could be fun around here Andrew  

Yeah I don’t think anyone would complain about that. 

[Iceresistance]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah I don’t think anyone would complain about that. 

I would since what happened last night...

[SilverFallsAndrew]

26 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

I would since what happened last night...

Oh yeah Shawnee got messed up 

[TacomaWx]

47/33 today…3rd sub 50 high in a row and the 7th one MTD. Mean temp is down to -4.9F. We’re also up to 3.23” MTD. 

[TacomaWx]

We definitely won’t finish in the 4-5 degrees below territory but 2-3 below definitely seems possible. It’s a warmer pattern coming to finish the month…but not something like 2016 with days in the 80s. As projected it wouldn’t wipe out the big negative anomaly a whole lot. 

[Deweydog]

42 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like 47 for the high so far at PDX. Not a daily record MIN/MAX (thanks to the aforementioned 4/20/63 setup), but one of the coldest highs this late in the season since then. Just need to hold on another seven hours…

A pretty mind blowing 45/32 spread here so far. That’s some 1950s/1960s type stuff for late April.

Coldest this late since ‘63 if they can avoid 48 which was the high on 4/20 (haha… pot) in 2008.

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Coldest this late since ‘63 if they can avoid 48 which was the high on 4/20 (haha… pot) in 2008.

Yeah, I was thinking the 48 on this date in ‘08 would be the only other contender.

[TT-SEA]

Ag Weather update mentioned concern for another dry summer in the middle of the country... citing the very dry conditions cumulatively over the last 3 years during the peak of the growing season from Jun-Sept.    Interestingly... the PNW does not appear to be drier than normal over the same time period.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Also turning into a pretty impressive day in the rainfall department. PDX up to .45” for the day with the radar looking LIT.

Over a half inch on the day here now with heavier echoes working in.

[MossMan]

41 and windy/raining. 

Edited April 21, 2023 by MossMan

[Omegaraptor]

Looks like a high of 48 in Corvallis with steady drizzle all day.

Should be ready for another day like this around November 5th or so!