August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Omegaraptor]

Welcome to August. July ended slightly above normal at PDX, a departure that was mostly carried by the lows. The monthly high was right around average. 80.2/60.3 is the stats for July 1-30.

 

Any predictions for August? I’m guessing around average, leaning a bit towards above.

[GHweatherChris]

It's July 31st....

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Warmer and drier than normal seems a safe bet.

[TacomaWaWx]

57 and cloudy at 8am. We will see about this rain coming in tonight into tomorrow morning. Looks like the Olympic peninsula should do better id be surprised if we got more than a tenth of an inch here in Tacoma because of how Far East we are.

[seattleweatherguy]

57 and cloudy at 8am. We will see about this rain coming in tonight into tomorrow morning. Looks like the Olympic peninsula should do better id be surprised if we got more than a tenth of an inch here in Tacoma because of how Far East we are.

 

Hopefully rain and hold off until after 10 pm so we can have a nice day

[TT-SEA]

Beautiful sunny morning here.

[TT-SEA]

Hopefully rain and hold off until after 10 pm so we can have a nice day

 

 

It will.

 

Rain comes through early tomorrow morning... and then its sunny and warm again by afternoon.

[seattleweatherguy]

It will.

 

Rain comes through early tomorrow morning... and then its sunny and warm again by afternoon.

Thanks much respect for you and everyone else here. Learning more everyday

[TacomaWaWx]

12z looks a little wetter for western WA. Still bullseyes Vancouver island obviously but good to see the moderate drought area on the Olympic Peninsula get some good rain.

[ShawniganLake]

Pretty impressive rainfall amounts being forecast for central and northern Vancouver Island. Even up to 2” for the east side of the island, which would be close to double their monthly average

[Jesse]

12z looks a little wetter for western WA. Still bullseyes Vancouver island obviously but good to see the moderate drought area on the Olympic Peninsula get some good rain.

This is good news.

[GHweatherChris]

Ugh, we do not need anymore rain, I should not have to mow my yard this many times in a summer.

[TT-SEA]

Biggest change for tomorrow on the GFS and WRF is slightly slower timing.

 

It might actually still be sunny in the early morning tomorrow from Seattle eastward... but then the clearing tomorrow afternoon is also slower leading to cooler highs.

[seattleweatherguy]

Starting to get cloudy here maybe cooler temps and more sticky feel?

[TacomaWaWx]

Suns starting to break through the clouds here in Tacoma. Should be another beautiful day here today. Currently 67 after a low of 57. The 2nd half of tomorrow doesn’t look bad at all. Gfs showing showers on Wednesday, Thursday and next Sunday on the 12z as well. No real heat either, Monday look like the warmest day out of the next 10, with highs in the mid to upper 80s in western WA and maybe some low 90s in western OR.

[TT-SEA]

Starting to get cloudy here maybe cooler temps and more sticky feel?

 

Clouds are just temporary there... it will be sunny all afternoon.

 

Totally sunny here and the clouds are moving away... towards the NW.  

[TT-SEA]

Suns starting to break through the clouds here in Tacoma. Should be another beautiful day here today. Currently 67 after a low of 57. The 2nd half of tomorrow doesn’t look bad at all. Gfs showing showers on Wednesday, Thursday and next Sunday on the 12z as well. No real heat either, Monday look like the warmest day out of the next 10, with highs in the mid to upper 80s in western WA and maybe some low 90s in western OR.

 

The situation next week will be very difficult for the models to pin down.    It will come down to the exact placement of meandering ULLs.    Could be hot... or it could actually rain at times... or both.

[Omegaraptor]

Thanks much respect for you and everyone else here. Learning more everyday

Hey man, back when I joined in October I pretty much only used forecasts. I’ve come a long way, but I’m no professional meteorologist by any means.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

73F in Springfield. Looks like another beautiful day on tap.

[TacomaWaWx]

The situation next week will be very difficult for the models to pin down. It will come down to the exact placement of meandering ULLs. Could be hot... or it could actually rain at times... or both.

it feels like it’s been harder to track rain this summer than it was to track where it was going to snow in February lol. Models are all over the place with the new euro and gfs updates.

[Jesse]

Any word on GEM or Icon’s take on next week’s ULL behavior?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[ShawniganLake]

it feels like it’s been harder to track rain this summer than it was to track where it was going to snow in February lol. Models are all over the place with the new euro and gfs updates.

Probably more to do with the seasonal thing than the model updates.

[Jesse]

[ShawniganLake]

Any word on GEM or Icon’s take on next week’s ULL behavior?

Fairly similar to GFS. Tracks slowly south offshore to west of Oregon by the middle of the week. Then lifts NE and merges with a second trough dropping in from the north.

[Jesse]

Fairly similar to GFS. Tracks slowly south offshore to west of Oregon by the middle of the week. Then lifts NE and merges with a second trough dropping in from the north.

At least not as extreme with the cutting off as last night’s Euro. Sounds like that is our worst case scenario at the moment.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I guess at least you are up front about your lack of objectivity.

Just trying to have some fun.

[TT-SEA]

Good news... the 12Z ECMWF does not show the slower timing with the front tomorrow.

 

About the same rainfall totals as the 00Z run... and the timing is still in the morning for the Seattle area with sun and highs in the low 80s by afternoon.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Can’t post videos so have to take screenshots of the videos.

 

Gaffing the big Halibut.

 

 

Calm Seas.

 

That sucks you had to throw it back. Halibut make tasty fish and chips. Gotta head to Burgerville for lunch now and get me some.

[TT-SEA]

A perfect summer weekend ahead here per the 12Z ECMWF... no low clouds anywhere.    Just wall-to-wall sunshine and warm.  

 

But its pretty likely that Portland will reach 90 on both days this weekend.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

A perfect summer weekend ahead per the 12Z ECMWF... no low clouds anywhere.    Just wall-to-wall sunshine and warm.  

 

OPINION. In my opinion this weather sucks. Can't wait for rain and cooler temps. Summer cannot end soon enough. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

About the time of year everyone at work starts complaining about the sun and dry weather and longing for the fall rains. 

[TT-SEA]

OPINION. In my opinion this weather sucks. Can't wait for rain and cooler temps. Summer cannot end soon enough. 

 

 

Sucks for you.   Endless sunshine and temps in the low to mid 80s sounds pretty awesome here.    

 

Hopefully summer keeps rolling right through September.   

[TT-SEA]

About the time of year everyone at work starts complaining about the sun and dry weather and longing for the fall rains. 

 

 

Not around here.    People are still cautiously optimistic that summer is actually hitting its stride now.   Took forever.   Lots of people were lamenting the year without summer when it was raining and cloudy almost every day in mid-July.

 

But then we live in VERY different places!   Right Andrew?   

[Jesse]

This time of year is mostly just achingly dull for any true weather enthusiast. I definitely start getting antsy for the more active season by the time August rolls around.

[Jesse]

Looks like the Euro is still clinging to its new hot garbage solution for early next week.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows 95 for Portland on Sunday.

 

But only in the pleasant 80s up here.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not around here.    People are still cautiously optimistic that summer is actually hitting its stride now.   Took forever.   Lots of people were lamenting the year without summer when it was raining and cloudy almost every day in mid-July.

 

But then we live in VERY different places!   Right Andrew?   

 

Well you also work with a bunch of beta cucks and soft yuppies. 

[TacomaWaWx]

This time of year is mostly just achingly dull for any true weather enthusiast. I definitely start getting antsy for the more active season by the time August rolls around.

October can’t come soon enough. Only 2 months, maybe some thunderstorms or some type of interesting weather will happen before then.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This time of year is mostly just achingly dull for any true weather enthusiast. I definitely start getting antsy for the more active season by the time August rolls around.

 

Nothing to do but troll and act like women.