August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TacomaWaWx]

Yeah, the 00z EURO has cold anomalies for this weekend.

 

we can’t even figure out what’s going to happen in 5 days.

[Jesse]

Starting to look like we may have to wait yet another year for that cool August.

 

#whosawthatcoming

[MossMan]

Starting to look like we may have to wait yet another year for that cool August.

 

#whosawthatcoming

We could use a warm up and dry off.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF totally caved... not surprising since all the other 12Z runs went in that direction as well.

[Omegaraptor]

Nice day.

[TT-SEA]

Now we just need the Alaska block to be a little weaker around day 6 and get rid of that next ULL.

[Omegaraptor]

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

75F and gorgeous in downtown Springfield. South valley summer continues to be summer perfection.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

PDX just saw its first sub-60 low for August.

 

52F here at 6AM 

[Deweydog]

Nice day. AGAIN!

[Jesse]

We could use a warm up and dry off.

It’s definitely been wet in spots but also pretty warm. June was 2-3 degrees above average, July was around a degree above average, and so far August has been 2-3 degrees above average in the western lowlands. You just seem to have insanely warped expectations for what constitutes “warmth” around here in the summer.

[Jesse]

At least no big heat waves on the 12z runs. Although something tells me that could change in the next few days.

[Deweydog]

Happy Monday!

[Jesse]

Happy Monday!

Are my posts triggering you again?

[TT-SEA]

It’s definitely been wet in spots but also pretty warm. June was 2-3 degrees above average, July was around a degree above average, and so far August has been 2-3 degrees above average in the western lowlands. You just seem to have insanely warped expectations for what constitutes “warmth” around here in the summer.

 

 

Lots of warm lows and cloudy, coolish days up here recently.    Makes it feel like a warm up is in order... at least for daytime highs.   And good news... that is starting now.

[Jesse]

Lots of warm lows and cloudy, coolish days up here recently. Makes it feel like a warm up is in order... at least for daytime highs. And good news... that is starting now.

PDX has seen an average high of 82 this month so far. Almost perfectly normal.

 

The average low has been 63 though, which is about four degrees above average.

[TT-SEA]

PDX has seen an average high of 82 this month so far. Almost perfectly normal.

 

The average low has been 63 though, which is about four degrees above average.

 

The last 4 days have been cloudy and coolish up here away from the water.

 

We don't live in Portland or Seattle.

 

The highs for the last 4 days in North Bend have been 67, 68, 70, 70 with virtually no sun at all.   Normal high is around 75 or 76.   Randy's area has been similar... hence his comment.  

[Phil]

At least no big heat waves on the 12z runs. Although something tells me that could change in the next few days.

FWIW the trend has been to weaken the amplitude of the WPAC convection with more of a W2 configuration as that medium range period approaches. So my guess is, if anything, it could trend back the other way in closing. Statistically it’d be favored to do so.

[Jesse]

The last 4 days have been cloudy and coolish up here away from the water.

 

We don't live in Portland or Seattle.

 

The highs for the last 4 days in North Bend have been 67, 68, 70, 70 with virtually no sun at all. Normal high is around 75 or 76. Randy's area has been similar... hence his comment.

Well if his area is so unrepresentative of mine he shouldn’t have commented on my PDX-referencing post lumping us all together. We are not due for a warm up down here. Although that doesn’t mean we aren’t gonna get one.

[TT-SEA]

FWIW the trend has been to weaken the amplitude of the WPAC convection with more of a W2 configuration. So my guess is, if anything, it could trend back the other way in closing. Statistically it’d be favored to do so.

 

 

Just a feeling... but I don't sense any heat waves coming.   Not in the cards this summer.

[Jesse]

FWIW the trend has been to weaken the amplitude of the WPAC convection with more of a W2 configuration as that medium range period approaches. So my guess is, if anything, it could trend back the other way in closing. Statistically it’d be favored to do so.

Ouch. Today just got a little less nice!

[TT-SEA]

Well if his area is so unrepresentative of mine he shouldn’t have commented on my PDX-referencing post lumping us all together. We are not due for a warm up down here. Although that doesn’t mean we aren’t gonna get one.

 

He is also trolling you of course.    So you can tell us how warm its been in Portland.

[TacomaWaWx]

Just a feeling... but I don't sense any heat waves coming. Not in the cards this summer.

I was thinking the same thing the other day, probably a few Low to mid 80s days left this summer. Probably no heatwave following the trend that’s been going on all summer.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Just a feeling... but I don't sense any heat waves coming. Not in the cards this summer.

Same here. Crazy to think PDX won't even have an official heatwave this year considering the vast number of ones the past several years.

[Deweydog]

Are my posts triggering you again?

So cynical and self-centered...

 

Hey! Tim is self-centered too!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

EUG still running a +2.1 temp departure for August.

[MossMan]

Same here. Crazy to think PDX won't even have an official heatwave this year considering the vast number of ones the past several years.

Nice avatar pic!

[Front Ranger]

It’s definitely been wet in spots but also pretty warm. June was 2-3 degrees above average, July was around a degree above average, and so far August has been 2-3 degrees above average in the western lowlands. You just seem to have insanely warped expectations for what constitutes “warmth” around here in the summer.

OLM this summer.

 

June: +1

July: +.4

August: +1.6

 

Taking UHI out of the picture, it's probably just been a slightly above normal summer for most of the lowlands so far. With highs running very near normal and lows running moderately above.

 

And near normal precip.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Jesse]

So cynical and self-centered...

 

Hey! Tim is self-centered too!

Yup, definitely a lot of similarities between you two. Makes for a lawyer/client match made in heaven!

[Deweydog]

Yup, definitely a lot of similarities between you two. Makes for a lawyer/client match made in heaven!

I don’t mind being similar to Tim in some ways. We both like snow, we both have way too much disposable income and both were born with a third nipple.

 

I don’t even mind being similar to you in some ways. We both like snow, we both have never been a teacher and we both like sandwiches.

[High Desert Mat?]

Where’s the proof?

[ShawniganLake]

August so far at Shawnigan Lake.

 

Mean +3.6F

Average high +4.3F

 

Seeing a few widely scattered showers in the area today

[Jesse]

I don’t mind being similar to Tim in some ways. We both like snow, we both have way too much disposable income and both were born with a third nipple.

 

I don’t even mind being similar to you in some ways. We both like snow, we both have never been a teacher and we both like sandwiches.

Let the hate/lies flow. It’s not going to do anything to get me in line warm season-preference wise. You’re just gonna spin your wheels.

[James Jones]

OLM this summer.

 

June: +1

July: +.4

August: +1.6

 

Taking UHI out of the picture, it's probably just been a slightly above normal summer for most of the lowlands so far. With highs running very near normal and lows running moderately above.

 

And near normal precip.

 

Been warmer down south. At HIO June was +1.9, July +1.0, and August +2.7.

 

EUG has seen +3.2, +1.1, and +2.1.

[Jesse]

OLM this summer.

June: +1

July: +.4

August: +1.6

Taking UHI out of the picture, it's probably just been a slightly above normal summer for most of the lowlands so far. With highs running very near normal and lows running moderately above.

And near normal precip.

Careful. Apparently these are fightin’ words and Matt seems extra ornery today.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Been warmer down south. At HIO June was +1.9, July +1.0, and August +2.7.

 

EUG has seen +3.2, +1.1, and +2.1.

 

Let's hope we have 3 straight negatives in NDJ

[James Jones]

Let's hope we have 3 straight negatives in NDJ

 

Would be nice. Looks like no Nino this winter which is good news. I know Jim has been pimping that 1985 analog lately.

[Deweydog]

Where’s the proof?

Exactly. Put it in writing!