High Desert Mat? Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Scary first set of recon obs...the pressure has plummeted down to 950mb, which is a drop of 20/6hrs..yikes. Winds up to 111kts in the SE eyewall..with stronger winds likely to be measured in the NE eyewall shortly. You’re so overdramatic sometimes. Latest euro has it staying offshore. Do you work for cnn? Should reach cat4 status tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Scary first set of recon obs...the pressure has plummeted down to 950mb, which is a drop of 20/6hrs..yikes. Winds up to 111kts in the SE eyewall..with stronger winds likely to be measured in the NE eyewall shortly. You’re so overdramatic sometimes. Latest euro has it staying offshore. Do you work for cnn? Should reach cat4 status tonight.Multiple Phil disorder? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Multiple Phil disorder?Whoops!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Scary first set of recon obs...the pressure has plummeted down to 950mb, which is a drop of 20/6hrs..yikes. Winds up to 111kts in the SE eyewall..with stronger winds likely to be measured in the NE eyewall shortly. You’re so overdramatic sometimes. Latest euro has it staying offshore. Do you work for cnn? Should reach cat4 status tonight.Can’t put all your stock in one model though. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 https://wrcc.dri.edu/summary/Climsmwa.html Also here: https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMaps Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 You’re so overdramatic sometimes. Latest euro has it staying offshore. Do you work for cnn? At least I know how to properly quote a post, lol. Fixed it for ya. FWIW my forecast has always been a Florida miss and a subsequent Carolina landfall or scrape. Just in case you think I’m fear-mongering. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Scary first set of recon obs...the pressure has plummeted down to 950mb, which is a drop of 20/6hrs..yikes. Winds up to 111kts in the SE eyewall..with stronger winds likely to be measured in the NE eyewall shortly. Should reach cat4 status tonight.It's a Cat 4 now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 It's a Cat 4 now.Not sounding very good, especially if it stalls off the coast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Had .04” on the day. Currently 61 degrees. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Also here: https://hprcc.unl.edu/maps.php?map=ACISClimateMapsThanks you guys! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Oh my. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Oh my. So it has an eye now? Florida might end up dodging that bullet entirely. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Raining Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Totally clear since sunrise. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 So it has an eye now? Florida might end up dodging that bullet entirely. Much more of a shift at all and all anyone will see will be some waves. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Oh my.Beautiful anomaly!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 GFS also gives Florida a break but SC and northward in trouble. Waiting for rest of model to load.Looks like my cousin on the Outer Banks will be sweating it again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Looks like the eye wall stays just off shore and departs the east coast right near the Outer Banks NC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 I’m thinking it’s going to miss the eastern seaboard entirely. Beautiful morning in the south valley and a ton of ballgames on. Gonna be a good day. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Small rain shaft visible from the Space Needle... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 I’m thinking it’s going to miss the eastern seaboard entirely. Beautiful morning in the south valley and a ton of ballgames on. Gonna be a good day.I’m thinking Florida landfall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 I don’t track hurricanes much at all but I’m trying with this one. There are a couple things about the models that are driving me nuts. The 3km man has it at like 912mb while the cmc is at 980 and the gfs at 950 all in the next couple days. That has has to be a data error, there is no way there is 80mb of uncertainty, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Its gonna hit Baja! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 I don’t track hurricanes much at all but I’m trying with this one. There are a couple things about the models that are driving me nuts. The 3km man has it at like 912mb while the cmc is at 980 and the gfs at 950 all in the next couple days. That has has to be a data error, there is no way there is 80mb of uncertainty, right?The Nam is useless with these at least as far as intensity goes. A few weeks ago it deepened the tropical depression in the Gulf to sub 900mbs. Not even sure if that made hurricane strength Edit. That was hurricane Barry. Which bottomed out at 991mb Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Its gonna hit Baja!The eye will come ashore at Ocean Shores! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 The eye will come ashore at Ocean Shores!Hopefully Long Beach, would help draw that cold air down!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 The rain has stopped and the sun is coming out. I could be in the Eye of the hurricane 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Pretty good shower just came through here at Boeing Field...must be one of the outer bands. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 What a waste of a hurricane. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 What a waste of a hurricane.Trended too far east. Thanks a lot Phil. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Sucks for the Bahamas... Dorian slows to crawl and sits there for almost 2 days before finally getting picked up by the weak trough passing through eastern Canada and the New England and pulled to the north. The biggest impact the US is likely going to be in the outer banks of NC. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Pretty good shower just came through here at Boeing Field...must be one of the outer bands. Here is a view of that shower that was right over Boeing Field... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Another shower just south and east of SEA... raining pretty good in the Renton/Kent area. While its sunny in Seattle now and here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 High 75* low 63* This has to be the muggiest and one of the cloudiest summers of this century so far. Incredible how consistently warm the nights have been. Unquestionably a different feel than recent summers. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Another shower just south and east of SEA... raining pretty good in the Renton/Kent area. While its sunny in Seattle now and here. Dry here too. You wouldn't even guess rain is so close. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 This has to be the muggiest and one of the cloudiest summers of this century so far. Incredible how consistently warm the nights have been. Unquestionably a different feel than recent summers.Many recent summers have had lots of warm nights like this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 This has to be the muggiest and one of the cloudiest summers of this century so far. Incredible how consistently warm the nights have been. Unquestionably a different feel than recent summers. Totally agree. I would have preferred less humidity and drier, cooler air and more sunshine instead of the unusually persistent clouds this summer. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Sucks for the Bahamas... Dorian slows to crawl and sits there for almost 2 days before finally getting picked up by the weak trough passing through eastern Canada and the New England and pulled to the north. The biggest impact the US is likely going to be in the outer banks of NC. This goes to show that ground zero in the model world 5 days out rarely ends up being reality. We have seen that so many times with snowstorms here! I'm just thankful Puerto Rico didn't get hit after the fiasco that ensued after their last one. They totally mishandled the aid we sent them and blamed it on Trump. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 31, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 This has to be the muggiest and one of the cloudiest summers of this century so far. Incredible how consistently warm the nights have been. Unquestionably a different feel than recent summers. And least smoky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 31, 2019 Report Share Posted August 31, 2019 Many recent summer have had lots of warm nights like this. I meant the combination of fairly cool high temps in combination with warm low temps and high humidity. A very different kind of summer. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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