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August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW


Omegaraptor

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Very warm evening. 66 outside currently. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looks like some signs of fall on the 00z. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Its as if Trump has deployed some kind of deflector shield over Palm Beach.   Dorian comes in heading straight west and gets right up to the Florida coast and makes a sharp right turn.

 

The Bahamas are screwed though.

 

ecmwf-florida-gust-sw-ath-mph-7598400.pn

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Hard RIGHT!

 

Does this mean Trump is a lock for a 4th term?!

 

Honk Honk

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Holy guacamole...

 

 

@splillo

4 minHá 4 minutos

Mais

Latest recon pass through #Dorian's eye and the NW eyewall shows another pressure drop, with min extrapolated pressure of 922.5mb.

Additionally, 159kt flight level winds - the highest measured thus far.

 

 

 

@pppapin

2 minHá 2 minutos

Mais

#Dorian keeps intensifying. Most recent set of recon obs in the NW quad have max flight level winds at 159kt & SFMR (which may have a high bias) at whopping 172kt!

 

Minimum extrapolated pressure is down to 922.5-hPa too. Almost at #GreatAbaco island in the #Bahamas.

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"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

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Michael Fischer

@MikeFischerWx

This dropsonde profile from the ongoing Air Force mission into Hurricane #Dorian is incredible. Mean winds in the lowest 150 m of 157 kt (180 mph). Peak winds of 192 kt (221 mph).

 

 

Latest pressure reading 913mb!

"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

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You can see the 'stadium effect' in the eye this morning...

 

dor.png

 

 

The eye will pass right over Marsh Harbour and Elbow Cay in the northern Bahamas... likely wiping these places off the map entirely.    Hope nobody is left there.

 

dor2.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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EUG finished the month +2.9F and -0.06" rain.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Wind already up to 128 mph at Marsh Harbour... suspect this will be the last update from there.

 

mh.png

There is a storm chaser tweeting from there. Sounds like is is held up in a school and there are people including children.

 

“11:40 am. Pounding. CRASHING. Boards prying off windows. We're moving children to a safe space, wrapping them in blankets. 969 mg. #DORIAN”

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OMG..the new advisory has Dorian with 185mph sustained winds, and gusts to 220mph!

 

G2gwCV6.jpg

 

Weird hurricane season.  Deader than a doornail and then one storm that will more than make up for that from an ACE perspective.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Could make a run at the strongest Atlantic basin hurricane on record. Currently 4th by the sounds of it.

Labor Day hurricane of 1935 will be tough to beat, but as of now winds appear similar.

 

Scary thing about the Labor Day hurricane is that it was much smaller and had a lower minimum central pressure, so that core must have been immensely powerful. I actually believe it was stronger than pegged in reanalysis..likely over 200mph sustained.

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Ended August with about 1" of precip. Slightly below average. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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My thermometer ran out of batteries mid month but it was filled with a surprisingly normal amount of rain, no 100 degree days, and overall pleasant high temperatures. This summer was one of the best I have ever experienced here.

I honestly have to say the same this has been the best summer that I can remember in my lifetime. However I’m only 20 so my memory isn’t as extensive as a lot of you guys. Looking back at all the summers since 2005, the closest example I can find was 2007. Pretty similar statistically besides June of this year.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Labor Day hurricane of 1935 will be tough to beat, but as of now winds appear similar.

Scary thing about the Labor Day hurricane is that it was much smaller and had a lower minimum central pressure, so that core must have been immensely powerful. I actually believe it was stronger than pegged in reanalysis..likely over 200mph sustained.

yeah that the one John hope use to talk about alot on hurricanes shows back in the good old days of the weather channel that guy is truely missed one hect of an hurricane forecaster experts he was.
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