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August 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW


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Camping at Nannie peak at 6,000ft tonight.

14275ft in Colorado. Pretty good walk.

Quite the hailstorm in Central and Eastern Oregon!   Dave Steckler @DaveSteckler @NWSPendleton 6" hail on ground tumalo   https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSPendleton/status/1159993878423863296   Garret H

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Oh my.

 

ZsJmYqD.gif

 

 

So it has an eye now?    ;)

 

Florida might end up dodging that bullet entirely.  

 

ecmwf-florida-gust-sw-ath-mph-8073600.pn

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I’m thinking it’s going to miss the eastern seaboard entirely.

 

 

Beautiful morning in the south valley and a ton of ballgames on. Gonna be a good day.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24, 2020)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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I don’t track hurricanes much at all but I’m trying with this one. There are a couple things about the models that are driving me nuts. The 3km man has it at like 912mb while the cmc is at 980 and the gfs at 950 all in the next couple days. That has has to be a data error, there is no way there is 80mb of uncertainty, right?

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I don’t track hurricanes much at all but I’m trying with this one. There are a couple things about the models that are driving me nuts. The 3km man has it at like 912mb while the cmc is at 980 and the gfs at 950 all in the next couple days. That has has to be a data error, there is no way there is 80mb of uncertainty, right?

The Nam is useless with these at least as far as intensity goes. A few weeks ago it deepened the tropical depression in the Gulf to sub 900mbs. Not even sure if that made hurricane strength

 

Edit. That was hurricane Barry. Which bottomed out at 991mb

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Sucks for the Bahamas... Dorian slows to crawl and sits there for almost 2 days before finally getting picked up by the weak trough passing through eastern Canada and the New England and pulled to the north.

 

The biggest impact the US is likely going to be in the outer banks of NC.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Pretty good shower just came through here at Boeing Field...must be one of the outer bands.

 

 

Here is a view of that shower that was right over Boeing Field...

 

sp.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Another shower just south and east of SEA... raining pretty good in the Renton/Kent area.

 

167vc02189.jpg

 

While its sunny in Seattle now and here.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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High 75* low 63*

 

This has to be the muggiest and one of the cloudiest summers of this century so far.  Incredible how consistently warm the nights have been.  Unquestionably a different feel than recent summers.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Another shower just south and east of SEA... raining pretty good in the Renton/Kent area.

 

167vc02189.jpg

 

While its sunny in Seattle now and here.

 

Dry here too.  You wouldn't even guess rain is so close.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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This has to be the muggiest and one of the cloudiest summers of this century so far. Incredible how consistently warm the nights have been. Unquestionably a different feel than recent summers.

Many recent summers have had lots of warm nights like this.

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This has to be the muggiest and one of the cloudiest summers of this century so far.  Incredible how consistently warm the nights have been.  Unquestionably a different feel than recent summers.

 

 

Totally agree.

 

I would have preferred less humidity and drier, cooler air and more sunshine instead of the unusually persistent clouds this summer.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Sucks for the Bahamas... Dorian slows to crawl and sits there for almost 2 days before finally getting picked up by the weak trough passing through eastern Canada and the New England and pulled to the north.

 

The biggest impact the US is likely going to be in the outer banks of NC.

 

This goes to show that ground zero in the model world 5 days out rarely ends up being reality.  We have seen that so many times with snowstorms here!

 

I'm just thankful Puerto Rico didn't get hit after the fiasco that ensued after their last one.  They totally mishandled the aid we sent them and blamed it on Trump.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Many recent summer have had lots of warm nights like this.

 

I meant the combination of fairly cool high temps in combination with warm low temps and high humidity.  A very different kind of summer.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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This goes to show that ground zero in the model world 5 days out rarely ends up being reality. We have seen that so many times with snowstorms here!

 

I'm just thankful Puerto Rico didn't get hit after the fiasco that ensued after their last one. They totally mishandled the aid we sent them and blamed it on Trump.

No politics, please :)

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Not sure about PNW... but it was the least active wildfire season in CA since 1998. Not over yet though.

 

https://www.mercurynews.com/2019/08/23/why-california-is-having-its-mildest-fire-season-in-20-years/

 

 

Yeah... fires and smoke are a natural part of the warm season in western North America since long before humans arrived.    To have almost no smoke is a rare treat but certainly not normal or to be expected every summer.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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No politics, please :)

 

Sorry, but that whole situation just galls me.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2020-21 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5

Total Hail = 0.0"

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 55

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 5

 

 

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Sorry, but that whole situation just galls me.

 

 

There are lots of things on both sides that gall me.    If you were being honest and calling it fairly... you would say the same thing about Trump's behavior.

 

Stupidity abounds.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Sorry, but that whole situation just galls me.

Yeah, there are certainly things out there that I’d love to rant about. Guess it’s just human nature. But I shy away from it these days because it’s almost ruined a few good friendships.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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There are lots of things on both sides that gall me.    If you were being honest and calling it fairly... you would say the same thing about Trump's behavior.

 

Stupidity abounds.

 

Yep!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 58.15"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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What a waste of a hurricane.

Trended too far east. Thanks a lot Phil.

Not a total waste. Hurricanes are quite beneficial for our environment. Even more so when it just tracks over the ocean.

<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

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Just got back from camping below the sourdough gap near chinook pass last night. Real cold last night with clear skies at 6000’. Was really good visibility this morning on the way out and at sunset last night. Could see St. Helens, Adams and even the top of Mt. Hood to the south this AM.

EBCDEBA1-3305-4F77-9050-027836BD68DE.jpeg

AB86ABEC-A971-4807-918A-738533B90234.jpeg

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Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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Not sure about PNW... but it was the least active wildfire season in CA since 1998. Not over yet though.

 

https://www.mercurynews.com/2019/08/23/why-california-is-having-its-mildest-fire-season-in-20-years/

 

Seems like an awfully premature conclusion.  In the southern half of the state, the fire season doesn't really even start until September, and peaks in October and November when the Santa Anas blow.

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Clowney and Ansah for our de’s with our linebacker core? Best front 7 in the game hands down.

Texans are going to be hot garbage for years now. They made an even dumber trade earlier trading 2 first round picks to the Dolphins for players worth a 3rd round pick each lol. Seahawks front should be great as long as Clowney and Ansah actually stay healthy, both have injury history.

Warm Season Stats

+80s-3

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-2.32”

Warm Season Rainfall-5.20”

Warmest high temp-84

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