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September 2019 Observations and Discussion


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Being I drive due east on I-94 for my work commute, these couple weeks at/near the solstice have been murder on the eyes with the string of sunny days the sun is coming up right in my line of sight! But yesterday with the storm setting in, there was a few minutes when the "red skies in the morning, sailors take warning" mantra came to pass. Unfortunately, I had exited for a "cup-o-joe" and missed the most spectacular shots waiting in line at McD's. 

 

Here's what I did get:

 

20190927_072611_resized.jpg

 

20190927_072830_resized.jpg

 

20190927_073217_resized.jpg

 

 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Speaking of high water.... for the past 4 Falls I have done a canoe challenge ( OK it's  more like a race but BWCAW  ((Boundary Waters Wilderness) )regulations don't allow that) from Rainy Lake to Lak

Hanging with the new baby girl and hitting up oktoberfests all Sept long...Heres to 60's for highs and bonfires all night long

We have dropped from 94 degrees at 5:00 to 65 degrees at 7:40 pm. Hello autumn, nice to see you again.

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Being I drive due east on I-94 for my work commute, these couple weeks at/near the solstice have been murder on the eyes with the string of sunny days the sun is coming up right in my line of sight! But yesterday with the storm setting in, there was a few minutes when the "red skies in the morning, sailors take warning" mantra came to pass. Unfortunately, I had exited for a "cup-o-joe" and missed the most spectacular shots waiting in line at McD's. 

 

Here's what I did get:

 

attachicon.gif20190927_072611_resized.jpg

 

attachicon.gif20190927_072830_resized.jpg

 

attachicon.gif20190927_073217_resized.jpg

Its funny that I drove by that road as I was going to Chicago :lol:

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I wonder what it's like if you're dining at the top of the Hancock Tower's The Signature Room at the 95th and that bolt fires right above your head. Is it louder than h*ll?, or do you just hear the shock wave moving out in every direction and it's quieter since your're at the genesis. Inside the bubble so to speak. Very cool stuff either way. We dined there a couple years back so I was imagining the scenario. Gorgeous views from up there btw and 1st class cuisine. Would go again anytime.  :)

I thoroughly enjoy rooftops. That is where I usually go for meetings or just hangout.

 

I recommend also "Tavern on Rush." Great restaurant.

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How’s this for the next 4 days. Today we are in the 50’s with strong north winds. Tomorrow warm front moves north, heat and humidity come back, high of 90. Monday may hit 92 before strong cold front moves in. Storms Monday night into Tuesday. Tuesday has falling temps with rain all day and overnight. Wednesday may struggle to get out of the 40’s if showers persist. Possible 30’s by Thursday morning. Frost? NWS Hastings not ruling it out yet, but may stay just above.

 

Ladies and gentlemen, Great Plains weather. Gotta love it.

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Nebraska is enjoying a little warm front straight from the heart of Texas and Oklahoma.

We've been "enjoying" mid to high 90's with high humidity and dew points for several weeks now.

I'm serious mad as a hatter for cooler weather. Everyone is weary of it.

Usually we are about 10* cooler by now. Enough to cool our attitudes.

 

Next week we will "dip" to 92-94. Practically a cold front.

But the change is-a-comin' brothers! By Thursday we should see high 80's. ( That's not a typo!)

 

So, any of you forecasting geniuses, ....what is on the table for Oklahoma and North Texas in the next 10-14 days??

 

Throw me a bone!

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Nebraska is enjoying a little warm front straight from the heart of Texas and Oklahoma.

We've been "enjoying" mid to high 90's with high humidity and dew points for several weeks now.

I'm serious mad as a hatter for cooler weather. Everyone is weary of it.

Usually we are about 10* cooler by now. Enough to cool our attitudes.

 

Next week we will "dip" to 92-94. Practically a cold front.

But the change is-a-comin' brothers! By Thursday we should see high 80's. ( That's not a typo!)

 

So, any of you forecasting geniuses, ....what is on the table for Oklahoma and North Texas in the next 10-14 days??

 

Throw me a bone!

Looks like more warm than cold, I'm afraid.

 

Ridges occasionally blasted out by 2 cold fronts. Nothing to impress at this time.

 

Ridges are for ruffles. Lol.

 

I'm over this as well.

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Being I drive due east on I-94 for my work commute, these couple weeks at/near the solstice have been murder on the eyes with the string of sunny days the sun is coming up right in my line of sight! But yesterday with the storm setting in, there was a few minutes when the "red skies in the morning, sailors take warning" mantra came to pass. Unfortunately, I had exited for a "cup-o-joe" and missed the most spectacular shots waiting in line at McD's. 

 

Years ago I had the same type of drive on I 96. I used to not like September and March. Another bad stretch is on 28th st in Grand Rapids.

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This is the chilliest we've been so far this season (62º).  Shorts and t-shirt is not enough when the wind gusts.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Been stuck in the upper 50’s all day today under a heavy overcast. Perfect lazy day to chill inside and catch up on some DVR. Another Flood Watch issued...3 in 1 week??? Pretty wild. It’s been active and looks to stay that way through next week.

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The next round of rain is moving into the area, but, again, the heavy stuff should veer east and remain s/se of my area.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Uggh. Looking at radar I'm going to regret not mowing my lawn Thursday. Just so little daylight left now after work. 

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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This is an odd surface map. Extremely rare to see an active SLP hitting SMI at the same time as the Rockies. Signs of the times?

 

20190929 8 am Surf Map.jpg

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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I received 0.66" overnight, a respectable total.

 

The big rain was always going to be Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.  However, the GFS and Euro have been disagreeing on where that band will be.  The GFS has insisted it will be nw of Cedar Rapids/Iowa City.  The Euro has shown the heavy band right through CR/IC.  Unfortunately, last night the Euro caved.  It now only shows a half inch falling here while 2-3" falls in sw to ne Iowa.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Attm Heavy Rain and 57F here in Marshall. October weather come a bit early. Tomorrow, July stops by and spends the night  :lol:

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Attm Heavy Rain and 57F here in Marshall. October weather come a bit early. Tomorrow, July stops by and spends the night :lol:

It’s going to feel so warm tomorrow compared to what we have been going through this weekend. Cloudy, dreary, rainy and cool. Feels like October as you said. Looking forward to a few cool days later this week and clear, crisp morning/nights.

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Jeez.... the GFS now has the Tuesday night heavy rain event way up in far n/nw Iowa, southern Minnesota, and central Wisconsin.  I sure hope this winter has been follow-through than summer has had.  

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Well, it's 84*. Heading for 95*

DP 71*

Humidity 66%

 

Goodbye September....you hot dry old #####!!

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

 

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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I got a decent 0.71" of rain last night. There is more rain moving in for today. 

 

I hope the rain on Tuesday shifts a bit further south. DVN said this morning in their AFD: 

 

 

For now, the 00z guidance is holding the
heaviest rains west, but I am wary of this. If any convective
burst shoves the boundary south, we will be in the action zone
again.

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I picked up another 1.25" of rain over the last 24 hours in my backyard, which gives me well over 6 inches of total rainfall for the month of September - just an amazing turnaround precip-wise in my area. 

 

It looks like this is just a preview of what's to come from tomorrow night through Wednesday, as it looks like more heavy rain on the order of 1 to 4 inches is possible over a large swath of East-Central and Southeast Nebraska according to the NWS. 

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I got a decent 0.71" of rain last night. There is more rain moving in for today. 

 

I hope the rain on Tuesday shifts a bit further south. DVN said this morning in their AFD: 

 

The euro is now showing two waves tracking along the front.  The first moves through Tuesday night and drops the best rain nw of CR/IC.  The second one then moves through Wednesday and drops the best rain se of CR/IC.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I picked up 0.85" overnight. Again the first good storms split just as it was moving in last evening with quite a bit more rain a few miles east and west of here. Some good thunder and lightning just to the south then too.

My sister approximately 7 miles to the southeast got another over 2” overnight. In the last 8 or 9 days they’ve had nearly 3” more than I did not that far away! I’ld rather have a few big quick rains and not so many and or hours of slow small rains.

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Today's rain is hitting a wall around I-80 in Iowa.  Models suggested that would happen and they were right.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The euro is now showing two waves tracking along the front.  The first moves through Tuesday night and drops the best rain nw of CR/IC.  The second one then moves through Wednesday and drops the best rain se of CR/IC.

Thanks for the updates. If my luck continues as it has been the best stuff will split around me again or somehow miss. Currently very dreary and raining slowly. It’s amazing how big blobs of moderate rain quickly diminish as they move in.

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Here at my house I now am at 0.60" of rain for today. We will have to see how the temperature ends up between now and midnight, But so far the high here at Grand Rapids looks to be 56. If it stays below 60 up to midnight this will be the coldest maximum here at GR since May 20th. However don't look now but there are a lot of mid 80's to low 90's south of the warm front.

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Here at my house I now am at 0.60" of rain for today. We will have to see how the temperature ends up between now and midnight, But so far the high here at Grand Rapids looks to be 56. If it stays below 60 up to midnight this will be the coldest maximum here at GR since May 20th. However don't look now but there are a lot of mid 80's to low 90's south of the warm front.You mihg

You might have a shot at 90F tomorrow n Tuesday

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Here comes some Summertime action:

 

Hazardous Weather Outlook
Hazardous Weather OutlookNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI400 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2019MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-301000-Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-400 PM EDT Sun Sep 29 2019This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeastMichigan..DAY ONE...This Afternoon and TonightThunderstorms are possible tonight as warmer and more humid airmoves back into southeast Michigan. The strongest storms will becapable of frequent lightning and heavy downpours while movingsouthwest to northeast at 30 mph..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through SaturdayThere is a chance of thunderstorms Tuesday night and Wednesday as acold front moves through the region.
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Clouds actually kept temps down today, but temperatures are supposed to rise overnight and tomorrow will still be pretty bad, 90 is likely. Dews could shoot to 70 as far north as Central Minnesota. Then Fall-ish weather finally. 

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"

2018-19: 55.5"

2019-20: 17.6"  

2020-21: 2.9" (so far)

 

Average: 25.9"

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I think we hit a high of 90 today. Dews have been up 70 with south winds gusting over 45 mph. Not a pleasant day for much of anything. Even had a heat index of 95 earlier.

 

Raining moderately w temps in the upper 50s. A chilly day indeed. Defintely a nice little soaker. My lawn needed it.

 

Quite a contrast across our sub. I wonder if this will happen much over the winter too? 0.73" of rain here today in Marshall. Nothing like some have had but a good soaker nonetheless, especially with the autumn chill of a 58F afternoon. I see the temps are actually rising into the low 60s now after the rain has moved out. Thinking I pro-actively turn on the a/c when I leave for work in the am. Crazy stuff..thought we were done with that, lol

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Speaking of others getting drowned with inches and inches of rain. It's noticeable how these systems have actually targeted Chicago and SOUTH with the jackpot vs Chicago and north (like most of the past 10 months). I'm keeping a close eye on trends now as we approach the changing of the guard wrt the LRC.

 

20190929 ORD Rainfall graphic.jpg

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 1.5"  Largest Storm: 1" (11/22)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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Quite a contrast across our sub. I wonder if this will happen much over the winter too? 0.73" of rain here today in Marshall. Nothing like some have had but a good soaker nonetheless, especially with the autumn chill of a 58F afternoon. I see the temps are actually rising into the low 60s now after the rain has moved out. Thinking I pro-actively turn on the a/c when I leave for work in the am. Crazy stuff..thought we were done with that, lol

Exactly, i.e., it felt rather coolish inside my home today, but knowing that heat n humidity is coming tomorrow and staying for 2 days, I kept my AC switch still on. I think by weeks end, I will have to change it to Heat, as temps drop into the 30s.

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8:30 pm on this Sunday evening. Temp is 80 feels like 85 with a 70 Dew. Very lovely July I mean late September night. South winds are still howling over 30 mph. I think we’ll be close to record high minimum temps overnight only dropping into the low 70’s when average low is 43. Amazing.

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Models continue to vary widely with the rain event Tuesday/Wednesday.  The 3k NAM is on the GFS's side, showing little to nothing in east-central/southeast Iowa.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I spent the weekend at a cabin in northern Minnesota a bit south of Ely. I don’t know what it got down to officially Friday night, but it was definitely a pretty hard freeze. Saturday was cool, but very pleasant. Made for some great photo ops. Leaves are about a week away from peak I believe.

4A677EA8-CC5F-466E-842E-A912A58AE753.jpeg

E0FE5E64-CD72-4228-80DF-0E5BC6EDA341.jpeg

4633DB91-65DD-4419-A624-09E5598F5D7F.jpeg

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27F was the low in Ely,MN Saturday AM. You probably were not too far away as the Ely airport is also on the South side.

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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