September 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Kayla]

Low solar.

 

(But not low enough)

 

Weather word of 2019.

[TT-SEA]

More sun and less precip on the 12Z ECMWF in the Saturday - Monday period compared to the 00Z run.    More energy digging south.

 

It shows upper 30s to around 40 in Seattle and low to mid 40s in Portland on Monday morning... probably some frost in places like Olympia if this run is correct.

 

Tuesday morning will probably be colder on this run as well.  

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows upper 30s in Seattle and Portland on Tuesday morning with generally clear skies and a patchy marine layer around.

[Geos]

Definitely had a drizzle storm this morning. Now 61 and cloudy. Coldest morning so far here for the month was 49 on the 19th.  

[Deweydog]

Anyone wanna put some $$$ in the kitty to fly Greta out here for next week’s trough? Might help turn that frown upside down.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF shows upper 30s for both Seattle and Portland again on Wednesday morning.

 

The Sunday - Wednesday period is quite sunny on this run.

[TT-SEA]

No rain shown with that trough offshore through the end of the 12Z ECMWF run.... not much moisture with that system at all.     It shows just some high clouds on Thursday and Friday.

[Deweydog]

No rain shown with that trough offshore through the end of the 12Z ECMWF run.... not much moisture with that system at all. It shows just some high clouds on Thursday and Friday.

Yoeuro little meltdown last night was for naught???

[TT-SEA]

Yoeuro little meltdown last night was for naught???

Time will tell.

[Front Ranger]

Miserable?

 

Some people on here think cold rain is about the most awesome thing in the world and have to rationalize that a few sunny, dry days would be OK as long as it gets back to cold rain right away.

Old Skool Tim is BACK.

[Front Ranger]

Wasn't all that impressive down here. 40/26 on the 3rd with 3" of snowfall. This one looks to dig a lot further south and west as you say.

 

The trough on the 13-14th of Oct last year was a lot more impressive here when 8" fell and we had a 33/18 day.

 

Yeah, overall this trough looks much more impressive for the lower 48.

[Jesse]

Old Skool Tim is BACK.

 

All it usually takes is a couple weeks when it's not either record warm or dry. I don't think he ever goes far.

[jakeinthevalley]

Anyone wanna put some $$$ in the kitty to fly Greta out here for next week’s trough? Might help turn that frown upside down.

Only on the Gossamer Albatross. You know, carbon footprint and all

[Deweydog]

Only on the Gossamer Albatross. You know, carbon footprint and all

HOW DARE YOU!!!

[Front Ranger]

All it usually takes is a couple weeks when it's not either record warm or dry. I don't think he ever goes far.

 

Yeah, or at least a couple of weeks of wetter than normal weather, any time of year.

[GHweatherChris]

And a 10 page Timbate will commence soon...

[Jesse]

And a 10 page Timbate will commence soon...

At least it beats talking about a dumb September cold snap.

 

smh

[Jbolin]

At least it beats talking about a dumb September cold snap.

 

smh

Someone's sour about their "summer" being taken away prematurely

 

 

[Omegaraptor]

[TigerWoodsLibido]

 

Oh my fuckk can this anomaly pls happen in Dec-Jan.

[TT-SEA]

Old Skool Tim is BACK.

 

This Tim shows up when the number of days with rain strays too far from normal for my area. That is all. We have far exceeded our normal number of rainy days for September in my very wet area.

 

It has nothing to do with record heat or record dry like cold rain boy says. That is a straw man building right there!

 

The most important aspect for me is always the number of days with rain in terms of normal for my area. This has been quite usual. I will voice my opinion when the weather deviates too far from normal. Just like those who seemingly always want cold rain and cheer for nothing else.

[Deweydog]

Looks like a big blue butthole.

[Dave]

Today is bootyful.

[Omegaraptor]

This Tim shows up when the number of days with rain strays too far from normal for my area. By this, I mean "one extra rain day above the monthly average".  That is all.

 

It has nothing to do with record heat like cold rain boy says.   That is a straw man building right there!

 

The most important aspect for me is always the number of days with rain in terms of normal for my area.    This has been quite usual.    I will voice my opinion when the weather deviates too far from normal.   Just like those who seemingly always want cold rain and cheer for nothing else.    

[Jesse]

Nice day.

[Timmy Supercell]

Ok, I'll give this another week. By October I better be getting overcast and 55 degree rain. 

 

#PineapplesPlease

[TT-SEA]

Today is bootyful.

Partly sunny at times and dry since early this morning. Far better than the last 2 days.

[Jesse]

Really solid EPS support for the 12z Euro solution. That would probably support colder and drier this weekend and early next week (I’m all for that), so maybe we can stop bellyaching for a few days.

[TT-SEA]

 

Normal is 9 or 10 days with rain in September here. We have had 2 dry days in the last 16... with 3 or 4 more to come. We have far exceeded normal for September in this area. Not by 1.

[GHweatherChris]

Someone's sour about their "summer" being taken away prematurely

 

 

Summer has been over for over 3 weeks now.

[GHweatherChris]

[TT-SEA]

The real belly-aching on here will start if November is unusually dry... which might happen given the streaky nature of the patterns this year.

[Jesse]

[GHweatherChris]

[Deweydog]

I think the REAL bellyaching will start if Jesse and Tim continue to shirk their duties of cleaning out the forum break room fridge.

[Jbolin]

Really solid EPS support for the 12z Euro solution. That would probably support colder and drier this weekend and early next week (I’m all for that), so maybe we can stop bellyaching for a few days.

Solid

I can dig it

Right on 

[Omegaraptor]

The real belly-aching on here will start if November is unusually dry... which might happen given the streaky nature of the patterns this year.

 

It's probably more likely than not that November will be unusually dry this year.

 

Really a shame too - it's a fun month with all the storms. Except last year, we were under constant sunshine for half of November while Seattle and Vancouver were being dumped on. That, of course, continued until January, when the jet stream stopped pounding WA and southern BC and instead went on to pound CA.

[TT-SEA]

Space Needle cam is back up and operating finally... on this half-way decent afternoon that started with another drizzle fest.

 

Its sort of operating actually.   This half of the view is clear but the other half is fuzzy and out of focus like its spinning to fast.

 

 

 

[Jbolin]

Summer has been over for over 3 weeks now.

Well **** me backwards

[TT-SEA]

It's probably more likely than not that November will be unusually dry this year.

 

Really a shame too - it's a fun month with all the storms. Except last year, we were under constant sunshine for half of November while Seattle and Vancouver were being dumped on. That, of course, continued until January, when the jet stream stopped pounding WA and southern BC and instead went on to pound CA.

 

 

Last November was pretty close to normal here... 20 days with rain and 10 dry days which were fairly evenly spread out and total precip was also close to normal.

 

Actually... the entire October - December time frame was almost perfectly normal in my area in terms of days with rain and total rain.   And you will be hard pressed to find any complaints from in that period.