September 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[TacomaWaWx]

Rain gets up into SW WA on Wednesday into Thursday on this run... but its dry from Seattle northward right through the end of the week and into the weekend.

It’ll Probably trend north.

[TT-SEA]

It’ll Probably trend north.

 

 

Most likely.

[TacomaWaWx]

Looks like the sun might finally be getting ready to make an appearance. Could have a 3rd nice afternoon in a row.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still clear and beautiful here. 68F.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Let's just say that's a little earlier in the season than I was expecting to experience my first Fraser outflow event as a Bellinghamster. If it is still clear after it calms down, I wouldn't be surprised if I see some frost.

What part of Bellingham are you located? I would be surprised if we see frost down near the water, but certainly is a possibility the further north and east you go from town.

 

Edit: just saw you are up in the Cordata area. I play soccer up at WCC on the weekends and the winds get downright brutal up there!! You are definitely in a prime location for the winds (both Frazier and when we get a big fall storm with strong southerly winds).

[Geos]

Yeah, really nice day today. Sitting at 64 with partly sunny skies. Going to enjoy the day before the rain comes back in.

[Jesse]

What that comeback lacked in logic, it made up for in speed!

 

I think he was trying to connect his Rudy Guliani reference, but it just didn't quite flow.

 

That's because Matt decided to be a dam.

 

#lawyerskillz

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Now the frontal clouds starting to show up. Wow fast.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

That's because Matt decided to be a dam.

 

#lawyerskillz

 

He knew you weren't going to get the sports reference. 

 

I do not like that movie. He busts his a** for 4 years, so he can get in for a few plays. Talk about a waste of time. 

[Jesse]

He knew you weren't going to get the sports reference. 

 

I do not like that movie. He busts his a** for 4 years, so he can get in for a few plays. Talk about a waste of time.

 

I got the reference.

 

If it was ever parodied on the first 12 seasons of The Simpsons, I’ll probably get it.

[Deweydog]

So the takeaway from this is that Sean Astin is an Al Qaeda sympathizer?

[Deweydog]

He knew you weren't going to get the sports reference.

 

I do not like that movie. He busts his a** for 4 years, so he can get in for a few plays. Talk about a waste of time.

I met him at the Seaside Convention Center during my senior year in high school. It snowed the next day.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Does he still live here?

[MossMan]

Snowing in Hope BC yet? How’s the Arctic front progressing?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Really incredible for this time of year. Classic Arctic blast pattern if it were even late October. Past history says a major cold wave before the end of the year is almost a given with this pattern this early.

I love the sound of that!

[BLI snowman]

Rain gets up into SW WA on Wednesday into Thursday on this run... but its dry from Seattle northward right through the end of the week and into the weekend.

Preview of things to come this winter with our overrunning event.

 

Make up time!

[FroYoBro]

Nice day. Yesterday too.

[Deweydog]

Ukraine’s winter climate looks pretty tasty.

[ShawniganLake]

Snowing in Hope BC yet? How’s the Arctic front progressing?

Temp is up to 60 at Hope. So the front is north of there. Clinton BC is down to 48 with a north wind. This is looking pretty tame compared to

What they saw up there last year around this time.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Pretty impressive to see a Winter storm Watch for  north east Wa. Earliest I've ever saw.

[Front Ranger]

So the takeaway from this is that Sean Astin is an Al Qaeda sympathizer?

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGP_nXJaLA0

[Deweydog]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGP_nXJaLA0

I liked Encino Man. Not embarrassed to say it.

[Front Ranger]

Temp is up to 60 at Hope. So the front is north of there. Clinton BC is down to 48 with a north wind. This is looking pretty tame compared to

What they saw up there last year around this time.

 

Still 48 hours until the real cold air reaches even that area.

 

Coldest high the first week of October at Kamloops last year was 42. Coldest low was 31. So we'll see how this ends up comparing.

[jakeinthevalley]

He knew you weren't going to get the sports reference. 

 

I do not like that movie. He busts his a** for 4 years, so he can get in for a few plays. Talk about a waste of time. 

Truth is, most scholarship players aren't "inspired" by walk on, feel good stories. As the grind of the season goes on, they get tired of the walk on who goes hard all the time. It is not making the team better. Everyday players want to recover physically as the season progresses.

[ShawniganLake]

Still 48 hours until the real cold air reaches even that area.

 

Coldest high the first week of October at Kamloops last year was 42. Coldest low was 31. So we'll see how this ends up comparing.

I was being a bit sarcastic with the current obs.

 

Clinton had snow as early as mid September last year. Sub freezing high on October 2nd. And a low of 9 on October 4. Kamloops numbers seem more attainable

[Jesse]

Really ounimpressive pattern coming up.

[Jesse]

Clouds and light rain/drizzle have really held on down here today. Keeping temps below forecast highs. Most guidance had PDX getting close to 70. Just 64 so far.

 

High of 62 here after a low of 54.

[ShawniganLake]

[Deweydog]

I was being a bit sarcastic with the current obs.

 

Clinton had snow as early as mid September last year. Sub freezing high on October 2nd. And a low of 9 on October 4. Kamloops numbers seem more attainable

Yikes.

 

The forum snark algorithm predicts this post will generate 11.783 responses containing unnecessary u’s.

[Jesse]

Never said that at all. Looks comparatively colder down here.

The airmass last year must have really stayed bottled up north for the most part. I don’t remember anything too crazy down here. Other than PDX seeing a very early sub-55 high on 10/4. That must have been the “overrunning” event.

[TT-SEA]

[Jesse]

Yikes.

The forum snark algorithm predicts this post will generate 11.783 responses containing unnecessary u’s.

10.783, already burned through one of my quota.

[Deweydog]

10.783, already burned through one of my quota.

Use them wisely. He needs to pay for that accurate but clearly upsetting analysis.

[Jesse]

Use them wisely. He needs to pay for that accurate but clearly upsetting analysis.

He’s trolling a little. Would probably be the first to admit it.

 

Although I can definitely see the draw to trolling Flatiron’s tendency to overplay recent or incoming airmasses.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Lol what? I called for a ridgy period in May superimposed on the background state.

 

That much I remember. You’re a liar.

And here we go...

[Front Ranger]

He’s trolling a little. Would probably be the first to admit it.

 

Although I can definitely see the draw to trolling Flatiron’s tendency to overplay recent or incoming airmasses.

 

In this case, we're comparing a very recent air mass to an incoming one - my overplay bias does not apply. 

[Front Ranger]

Lol what? I called for a ridgy period in May superimposed on the background state.

 

The background state from April - June was more ridgy than not. Which helps explain why it was so dry.

 

[Jesse]

Nice socio good It’s September 26th lord path day....

[Jesse]

Drizzle has stopped and the sun is breaking out up in Salmon Creek now. Clouds to the north have that puffy, incoming cold airmass look to them.

 

64 degrees.

[TT-SEA]

18Z GFS is nice... glad I broke my rule and checked it out.

 

Very little rain for the next 12+ days after tomorrow.