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November 2019 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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When your in "sync" with the Universe, the synchronicities shine...I just happened to read this article and it mimics what I just posted about Canada...amazingess

 

https://electroverse.net/practically-all-of-canada-is-covered-in-snow/

 

 

In the last 30 days, the United States set a Total of 7,112 new All-Time Low Temperature Records vs just the 1,605 Max

 

 

I don't watch a ton of MSM outlets. Have they mentioned this at all?

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Not "my storm", but always nice to see this. Seems to be a theme so far for the new LRC 

 

GRR:

 

.DISCUSSION...(Today through next Tuesday)
Issued at 216 AM EST Wed Nov 6 2019

Satellite imagery shows a baroclinic leaf across the Upper Plains
that is moving in our direction. This system will track through
the CWA today. A southwesterly 925 jet will energize the wave with
some Gulf moisture as it moves through. Decent FGEN around the DGZ was
noted with this system and models track that into northern parts
of the today. So all indications are that this system will be
stronger than advertised earlier...which will result in higher
snowfall amounts. As a result we expanded the headline to include
a few more counties. We will also increase the amounts in the
forecast.
Stay tuned as further headline changes are possible for
this strengthening wave.

 

 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Cold front has moved through quicker than advertised with a low cloud deck.  Sitting at 30 degrees with winds gusting 25-35 MPH with higher gusts expected.  It has that winter feel in the air for sure.

Now we are just missing some snow showers or snow already on the ground. I'm fine with a transition to a NW flow during the winter months and these cold fronts swinging through. Right now, if I had to guess, it looks like the first half of the LRC will consist of a southwest flow or west/east flow. This should be where we see the power house storms. We tracked three major systems through the heart of the country. It's really crazy to think how cold we have been since the beginning of October, exciting times ahead! 

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Now we are just missing some snow showers or snow already on the ground. I'm fine with a transition to a NW flow during the winter months and these cold fronts swinging through. Right now, if I had to guess, it looks like the first half of the LRC will consist of a southwest flow or west/east flow. This should be where we see the power house storms. We tracked three major systems through the heart of the country. It's really crazy to think how cold we have been since the beginning of October, exciting times ahead! 

Correct.  Can only imagine as we get farther along, when these cold fronts coming through get colder, that a snowpack will really tank the temperatures.  I have to keep remembering it is still only Nov. 6th and we've already had snow on the ground with lengthy periods of cold along with some record cold temps.    

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Now, what is that by Cleveland, OH!!??  :o

 

 

gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ncus_28.thumb.png.018

 

(Hoosier commented on this too Niko)

 

Check this out on the 00z GEM.  Look near Cleveland.  It seems like a mesolow but I have never seen one so well defined on a model.  Like this is ridiculous.  There appears to be one around Lake Michigan at the same time, but weaker. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Now we are just missing some snow showers or snow already on the ground. I'm fine with a transition to a NW flow during the winter months and these cold fronts swinging through. Right now, if I had to guess, it looks like the first half of the LRC will consist of a southwest flow or west/east flow. This should be where we see the power house storms. We tracked three major systems through the heart of the country. It's really crazy to think how cold we have been since the beginning of October, exciting times ahead! 

 

I don't think that's a "guess", more like a very good break-down and I agree with it 100%.  

 

I think this will be coming our way too eventually:

 

20191106 Finland article.PNG

 

 

One question. Did your 3 include "Olga"? 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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APX snippit. (just a month ago I was in that same region getting my fall color tour pic's)

 

"Given little change
throughout this time frame to predominantly northwest low-mid level
flow, a Lake Superior and even Lake Nipigon connection should
certainly be present, aiding to produce potentially significant
localized snow amounts. If I were a betting man, parts of Antrim and
Kalkaska counties, along with western Chip/Mack may be the sweet
spot for this event where localized amounts of 6"+ will be possible
between Thursday and Thursday night."

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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I don't think that's a "guess", more like a very good break-down and I agree with it 100%.  

 

I think this will be coming our way too eventually:

 

attachicon.gif20191106 Finland article.PNG

 

 

One question. Did your 3 include "Olga"? 

The three storms I have down on my calendar are: Oct. 9th thru the 11th which was the dakota blast. I received 2" of rain out of that storm. 2nd was on the 21st: that was a strong LP that came out into the plains and tracked northeast towards the Twin Cities and got down to 986 mb. The last week of October, which was when I received my first bout of snow, must have been tied in with Olga. Not sure how that will affect my area when it cycles back through but I would say expect an Arc-la-tex low?? 

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Attm, light snow w temps at 35F.

 

Was just about to ask..

 

20191106 Noon Mitt Radar.PNG

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Was just about to ask..

 

attachicon.gif20191106 Noon Mitt Radar.PNG

Indeed, and its coming down light to moderate at times. Nothing is sticking though.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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The three storms I have down on my calendar are: Oct. 9th thru the 11th which was the dakota blast. I received 2" of rain out of that storm. 2nd was on the 21st: that was a strong LP that came out into the plains and tracked northeast towards the Twin Cities and got down to 986 mb. The last week of October, which was when I received my first bout of snow, must have been tied in with Olga. Not sure how that will affect my area when it cycles back through but I would say expect an Arc-la-tex low?? 

 

K, so "Olga" missed Nebraska. The ArkLaTex low was the Halloween storm. She snuck in-between your 2nd and 3rd storms. Technically, there were (4) major systems from the High Plains to the E. Lakes during your period (

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Hopefully, a snowstorm pops up by mid month or thereafter b4 thanksgiving. :D

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Looks like November will be the roller coaster month of cold fronts and warm ups.  

Yes, not looking too active at all. Hopefully, it changes down the road. In the meantime, like you said, CF's and dryness w well BN to BN temps.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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as mentioned, the Euro bringing in some snow with the arctic front, which it now delays from moving in Saturday night into Sunday to Sunday night into Monday.  Interesting trend here.  We'll see if future runs continue to strengthen this feature or not.  

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12z Euro with some action early next week

1573560000-NxPdYhfPcqs.png

 

1573560000-63AFhUUAw7E.png

That is more like it! WooHoooo......... :D

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Currently, some moderate snow (big flakes) and temp at 35F. Nothing is sticky, but its nice to look while its falling.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Hitting 72* today with gusty winds. 10-15 mph. Humidity 76%. Feels like Houston in January ugh.

 

The big weather story will be the strong cold front that will move across North Texas Thursday morning. Areas of rain and a few thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of the front Wednesday evening and overspread the region Thursday morning. It will be into DFW shortly after sunrise with falling temperatures and a gusty north wind.

 

We'll drop roughly 25 to 28 * tomorrow afternoon but temps will remain in the 60's overnight.

 

And you thought you had it weird!

 

6BB7F8AA-8245-42D1-AF93-338264022B75-10442-0000090B02E30266.png

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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Hitting 72* today with gusty winds. 10-15 mph. Humidity 76%. Feels like Houston in January ugh.

 

The big weather story will be the strong cold front that will move across North Texas Thursday morning. Areas of rain and a few thunderstorms will develop along and ahead of the front Wednesday evening and overspread the region Thursday morning. It will be into DFW shortly after sunrise with falling temperatures and a gusty north wind.

 

We'll drop roughly 25 to 28 * tomorrow afternoon but temps will remain in the 60's overnight.

 

And you thought you had it weird!

 

attachicon.gif6BB7F8AA-8245-42D1-AF93-338264022B75-10442-0000090B02E30266.png

That is some wacky weather. Tbh, that 72F sure would feel good right now. :lol:

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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An hour ago in Mount Pleasant, about half-way north in the Mitt

 

20191106 Mt. Pleasant.jpg

 

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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EuroHR only model really showing much attm. Gives me 3+ inches, most of which seems to be with the potential wave on Vet's Day

 

20191106 12zEuroHR h150 Snow totals.png

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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