Deweydog Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 For the first time in November of 2019, ladies and gentlemen: Low solar. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Feels like October out there! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Would be nice to get a little rain to knock the dust down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 GFS HR 384! I assume you are referring to the cold in my home state right? Interestingly... the 18Z GFS does not show colder than normal 850mb temps at all for us the entire run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Yup, winter was over before it even began.Warm Novembers are usually a great sign. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 00z GFS in 3 hours 43 minutes Get ready for a real fest! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Warm Novembers are usually a great sign.What if it’s warm above but cool at the surface? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 What if it’s warm above but cool at the surface?Probably still good. Upper levels matter more in that case. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Warm Novembers are usually a great sign.2002? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 The weather doldrums have their boring grip firmly on us. We will be lulled into a meteorological coma, and then BAM! The westerlies will arrive with a stormy pattern, AR events, or wind storms, OR we go back into blocking with MAJOR big league arctic air. 00z ECMWF in 5 hours 5 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Hopefully not such an 02-03 style bore fest. The board being active is awesome and I worry a dud will keep the post rate at summer-like stats Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Wake me up when November starts! LOL! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 A week from now.. a warm West and cold East pattern is well established. Our you kidding me! That won’t verify, it’s 384 hours out!It will probably end up snowy and miserable cold 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Our you kidding me! That won’t verify, it’s 384 hours out!It will probably end up snowy and miserable coldShawnigan made me look at 384 hours. He seemed excited about it. But that map is actually for one week from today. Much closer range. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Shawnigan made me look. He seemed excited about it. And silly me didn’t read the small print of 180 hours out...lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 2002-03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Even though we’re in this slow stretch of weather you can’t ignore the beautiful fall sunsets.East winds blowing in se Portland and 52* degrees 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 I'm more interested in mountain snow starting. Probably will be a boring November and December will be very stormy and cold for both the mountains and lowlands. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Shawnigan made me look at 384 hours. He seemed excited about it. But that map is actually for one week from today. Much closer range.590+ dam. Temps should be warming thru the 90s. After this dry stretch...Red flag warnings! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 590+ dam. Temps should be warming thru the 90s. After this dry stretch...Red flag warnings! Could not manage any real ridging all summer... and now its easy in November! Onto to 2020. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 52\35 here in tacoma today. Weather looks incredibly boring next week. We have already gone 10 days without rain here we may go another 10 here in November. That would be longer than any dry streak we had this entire summer. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Could not manage any real ridging all summer... and now its easy in November! Onto to 2020. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Here we go! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 It’s over... Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Looks like October finished drier than normal for the majority of the Northwest. Bad luck for Tim again, though. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Looks like October finished drier than normal for the majority of the Northwest. Bad luck for Tim again, though. Not bad though... most of it came in about 5 days. Lots of sun this month. More sunny days in October than in July here this year... which is not climo. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 El Niño! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Not bad though... most of it came in about 5 days. Lots of sun this month. More sunny days in October than in July here this year... which is not climo.Would be crazy if you pulled off more sunny days in November than July, lol. That might not be out of the question if this MJO wave is of the higher frequency variety. Maybe? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Impressive.. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 So I think Phil is on board with a 2002-03 repeat as the key ingredients of a warm west and weenie east are set. To save everyone some grief, I am going to lock the forum until March or so. I am sure Phil will share some great blizzard pictures. It's been fun guys, but put a fork in it and lets start thinking about 2020-21. I am thinking its probably going to be a 99-00 kind of year.20-21 should be strongly positive ENSO. Think 86-87. 97-98, 2009-2010 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 So I think Phil is on board with a 2002-03 repeat as the key ingredients of a warm west and weenie east are set. To save everyone some grief, I am going to lock the forum until March or so. I am sure Phil will share some great blizzard pictures. It's been fun guys, but put a fork in it and lets start thinking about 2020-21. I am thinking its probably going to be a 99-00 kind of year.The more you guys talk about 2002/03, the more you’re gonna pull it in from the ethers. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 On the other hand, my first childhood memory of big snow came from the blizzard in Jan 2000, so I’d love a repeat of that year. It’s foggy but I remember it. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 2002-03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 1980-81 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 This GFS run is looking less hot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 So I think Phil is on board with a 2002-03 repeat as the key ingredients of a warm west and weenie east are set. To save everyone some grief, I am going to lock the forum until March or so. I am sure Phil will share some great blizzard pictures. It's been fun guys, but put a fork in it and lets start thinking about 2020-21. I am thinking its probably going to be a 99-00 kind of year.At least keep the Banter thread open so we can complain about the epic collapse of the Hawks season and how we are going to end up 6-10. Oh and I think my bulbs are popping out of the ground and trees are budding! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 This GFS run is looking less hot.Actually quite decent Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 BIG differences on the 00z GFS Day 4-6 which leads to another cold pattern... hmmm...... 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 12 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.