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November 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW


TigerWoodsLibido

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GFS HR 384!

 

 

I assume you are referring to the cold in my home state right?

 

gfs_T850a_us_65.png

 

 

Interestingly... the 18Z GFS does not show colder than normal 850mb temps at all for us the entire run.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Hopefully not such an 02-03 style bore fest. The board being active is awesome and I worry a dud will keep the post rate at summer-like stats

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Our you kidding me! That won’t verify, it’s 384 hours out!

It will probably end up snowy and miserable cold

Shawnigan made me look at 384 hours. He seemed excited about it. :)

 

But that map is actually for one week from today. Much closer range.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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590+ dam. Temps should be warming thru the 90s. After this dry stretch...Red flag warnings!

 

 

Could not manage any real ridging all summer... and now its easy in November!

 

Onto to 2020.    :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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52\35 here in tacoma today. Weather looks incredibly boring next week. We have already gone 10 days without rain here we may go another 10 here in November. That would be longer than any dry streak we had this entire summer.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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It’s over...

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Looks like October finished drier than normal for the majority of the Northwest. Bad luck for Tim again, though.

 

bBEagvZ.png

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Looks like October finished drier than normal for the majority of the Northwest. Bad luck for Tim again, though.

 

bBEagvZ.png

Not bad though... most of it came in about 5 days.

 

Lots of sun this month. More sunny days in October than in July here this year... which is not climo.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Not bad though... most of it came in about 5 days.

 

Lots of sun this month. More sunny days in October than in July here this year... which is not climo.

Would be crazy if you pulled off more sunny days in November than July, lol. That might not be out of the question if this MJO wave is of the higher frequency variety. Maybe?

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So I think Phil is on board with a 2002-03 repeat as the key ingredients of a warm west and weenie east are set. To save everyone some grief, I am going to lock the forum until March or so. I am sure Phil will share some great blizzard pictures. It's been fun guys, but put a fork in it and lets start thinking about 2020-21. I am thinking its probably going to be a 99-00 kind of year.

20-21 should be strongly positive ENSO. Think 86-87. 97-98, 2009-2010
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So I think Phil is on board with a 2002-03 repeat as the key ingredients of a warm west and weenie east are set. To save everyone some grief, I am going to lock the forum until March or so. I am sure Phil will share some great blizzard pictures. It's been fun guys, but put a fork in it and lets start thinking about 2020-21. I am thinking its probably going to be a 99-00 kind of year.

The more you guys talk about 2002/03, the more you’re gonna pull it in from the ethers.

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On the other hand, my first childhood memory of big snow came from the blizzard in Jan 2000, so I’d love a repeat of that year. It’s foggy but I remember it.

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So I think Phil is on board with a 2002-03 repeat as the key ingredients of a warm west and weenie east are set. To save everyone some grief, I am going to lock the forum until March or so. I am sure Phil will share some great blizzard pictures. It's been fun guys, but put a fork in it and lets start thinking about 2020-21. I am thinking its probably going to be a 99-00 kind of year.

At least keep the Banter thread open so we can complain about the epic collapse of the Hawks season and how we are going to end up 6-10.

 

Oh and I think my bulbs are popping out of the ground and trees are budding!

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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