Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Well that was fun. I'm sure there won't be any ensemble support, but this is why we model ride! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 52/31 on the day. Currently 38. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Looks like October finished drier than normal for the majority of the Northwest. Bad luck for Tim again, though. Something looks off with that map as SEA was above normal but is in the drier than normal area. There are a bunch of other stations in the yellow that were above normal rainfall for October so not sure what is going on with that map. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Something looks off with that map as SEA was above normal but is in the drier than normal area. There are a bunch of other stations in the yellow that were above normal rainfall for October so not sure what is going on with that map.I think it's a baseline thing. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luminen Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 2002-03 1976-77 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 2014-15 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Different world here in Vegas. Normally I would be asleep right now. Instead, I am getting ready to go out.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Different world here in Vegas. Normally I would be asleep right now. Instead, I am getting ready to go out..The night is young! Enjoy it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 On the other hand, my first childhood memory of big snow came from the blizzard in Jan 2000, so I’d love a repeat of that year. It’s foggy but I remember it.Stampede Pass? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 1976-772002-03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Stampede Pass?How’d you guess? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 2, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 No need for a night shift tonight. 58/27 so not a bad day temp wise again. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 No need for a night shift tonight. 58/27 so not a bad day temp wise again.Or is there? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Euro looking GFSish. Let’s face it models are all over the place right now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Euro looking GFSish. Let’s face it models are all over the place right now.Yeah, they really are. I also notice the jet east of 170-160 W is quite weak and disorganized.... Some beefier segments of the WPAC jet from the dateline to Japan, but nothing consolidated persisting for very long. I think there's still a slight ~15% chance the next 2-3 days reveals the block holding stronger than is currently modeled. 6z GFS in 2 hours 11 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 The 00z GFS Analog Composite Day 6-10, 8-14 shows the ridge holding strong and no pattern change. Hmmm! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Portland stuff. For the Portland people. I think there are only a couple of you.Probably at least 10-12 frequent posters down here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Hmmm, Past 10 runs of the GFS/NAM centered at Day 2-3 show the blocking trending stronger each run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Anchorage NWS mentioned there is only good agreement through Tuesday, then models diverge on how to handle both the energy in the Gulf of Alaska and ridging over the Eastern Bering Sea. That tells me the offshore block/Western Alaskan ridge may merge more favorably and it's not out of the realm of possibility to see the block/cold pattern reset potentially much further west. Just the same I suppose the energy could be handled differently breaking it down sooner. We won't know that until Monday 00z or Tuesday 12z. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Im up 600.00.....so far. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Im up 600.00.....so far.Stay away from the hookers! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest CulverJosh Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Stay away from the hookers!Rob. I am with my wife. Maybe 20 years ago . 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Feels like October out there!Won't feel so much like October tomorrow afternoon with Fall Back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Another frosty morning. 31 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Morning lows have moderated since a few days ago here. 38 here this morning. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 I absolutely despise of this pattern in the winter. Looks like a long one too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Just kind of catching up on some of the forecast models this morning,been a busy few days. No real telling of where we may go weather wise starting next weekend. Kind of feels like 13-14 to me. Wet september, dry October and november that year. Just my opinion but i feel like a 13-14 type of winter is on the way. Dry with a couple artic blasts in there. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Just kind of catching up on some of the forecast models this morning,been a busy few days. No real telling of where we may go weather wise starting next weekend. Kind of feels like 13-14 to me. Wet september, dry October and november that year. Just my opinion but i feel like a 13-14 type of winter is on the way. Dry with a couple artic blasts in there.*arctic I will say I’d welcome that era repeat of that year for sure. Redmond ties the all time record low of -28 twice. Once in December and once in February. Snow was on the ground more days than not that winter. Bring it on!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 FIWIW.... here is the 00Z EPS. 5-10 day mean: 10-15 day mean: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 I assume you are referring to the cold in my home state right? Interestingly... the 18Z GFS does not show colder than normal 850mb temps at all for us the entire run.Where was this during summer!? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 I’ll take this over foggy and drizzle searching desperately for a positive here 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 *arcticLol sorry i usually use my phone to post here now im using a computer which is really old and . Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 35 for a low, currently 36 and partly cloudy. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Impressive.. Need that negative snow anomaly to continue up in Alaska. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 My son at WSU is home for the weekend and going to the Huskies game with his brother at UW today. Should be a beautiful day for the game. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 FIWIW.... here is the 00Z EPS. 5-10 day mean: 10-15 day mean: Let's get all the warm anomalies out of the way now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 I’ll take this over foggy and drizzle searching desperately for a positive hereIt's funny, I was just thinking I would take a foggy, drizzly few days just to shake things up. Day after day of sunshine gets boring. Gradients go flatter later in the weekend into early next week, so maybe we will luck out and see some foggy days, or at least foggy, drizzly mornings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 Let's get all the warm anomalies out of the way now.Blocking is still very much present in those eps images it’s just in the wrong place to be favourable to us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 2, 2019 Report Share Posted November 2, 2019 It's funny, I was just thinking I would take a foggy, drizzly few days just to shake things up. Day after day of sunshine gets boring. Gradients go flatter later in the weekend into early next week, so maybe we will luck out and see some foggy days, or at least foggy, drizzly mornings.Back in my younger days loved the foggy/drizzle thing. Not so much at this age.Given a prolonged stretch of weather I’ll opt for the sunny weather over the foggy/drizzle thing but I don’t mind some foggy days thrown in here and there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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