TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Here comes a pattern reset? 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Back to a drought pattern in the PNW after an unusually wet July-September. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Think Cold and SNOW!!!! 6z GFS in 2 hours 17 minutes 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 1, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Night shift 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Now we can officially start talking about snow chances! Welcome to the winter season 2019/20! 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Night shiftPossibly in between working on music. I can't guarantee it though. I wish we had something on the models that was really worth pulling an all-nighter. 12z GEM in 8 hours 44 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Now we can officially start talking about snow chances! Welcome to the winter season 2019/20!Happy Winter Season! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Not really november related, but one thing I find interesting about this year is the fact February and October have been outstandingly cold months (both top 10%) while the rest of the months this year have largely been above normal. Kind of an odd arrangement. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Not really november related, but one thing I find interesting about this year is the fact February and October have been outstandingly cold months (both top 10%) while the rest of the months this year have largely been above normal. Kind of an odd arrangement.Yeah, and the first two weeks of March were INSANE too. Cold, snow! Who saw that coming? No one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 00z WRF 1.33km hi-res Wind Gust model paints 40-50mph gusts East of I-205 over my location today. Not sure this will verify probably more in the 25-40mph range. I do like my east wind though! It's already quite breezy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 00z CMCE for Yakima much to my surprise still shows some cold members hinting at a slight chance for more backdoor cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 00z EPS was a festival of turds. That bad. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Now we can officially start talking about snow chances! Welcome to the winter season 2019/20! One more month until the meteorological winter starts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 00z EPS was a festival of turds. That bad. 00Z EPS: 5-10 day mean: 10-15 day mean: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 One more month until the meteorological winter starts.Winter in Mossman’s book is 11/1 thru 3/31. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Frosty and 30˚F this morning here. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Yesterdays Halloween weather was outstanding (Tigard Or)59* degree afternoon a sliver of the moon during sunset40s for trick or treating 85 treaters showed up between the hours of 6-9......par for the course out here unless on the weekend 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 39* in se Portland with a East wind breezeLovely morning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Started November out with a frosty 29 degrees. Definitely ready for the rain and storms at some point. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Yesterdays Halloween weather was outstanding (Tigard Or)59* degree afternoon a sliver of the moon during sunset40s for trick or treating 85 treaters showed up between the hours of 6-9......par for the course out here unless on the weekend Are you sure Tigard was close to 60? I can't find any official station in the metro area or the Willamette Valley that even cracked 55 yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Lows this morning were colder than forecast, but not surprising with a cool dry low level airmass still in place. Some impressive 5 minute obs this morning, we'll see at 11 what the official lows were. PDX 30SLE 28EUG 27 Bit of an inversion developing, I only made it down to 32 briefly. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Salem ended with a monthly mean of 49.3, easily blowing by 1969 for 4th coldest October on record. 7 freezes and a -3.9 departure. Eugene 49.4, 9 freezes, -3.3 departure Portland 51.5, 2 freezes, -3.4 departure 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Lows this morning were colder than forecast, but not surprising with a cool dry low level airmass still in place. Some impressive 5 minute obs this morning, we'll see at 11 what the official lows were. PDX 30SLE 28EUG 27 Bit of an inversion developing, I only made it down to 32 briefly.I could actually imagine the first 5-7 day’s of November ending up a little below average, with cool, dry air in place at the surface and chilly mornings. Afternoons don’t look outlandishly warm at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 A week from now.. a warm West and cold East pattern is well established. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 I could actually imagine the first 5-7 day’s of November ending up a little below average, with cool, dry air in place at the surface and chilly mornings. Afternoons don’t look outlandishly warm at this point. That is true. Today should manage some decent departures. November is a month, weather wise I usually just want to get through. It has probably snowed in the valley more in March than November during my lifetime. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 That is true. Today should manage some decent departures. November is a month, weather wise I usually just want to get through. It has probably snowed in the valley more in March than November during my lifetime.I like November. Summer too. No need to rush through lyfe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Are you sure Tigard was close to 60? I can't find any official station in the metro area or the Willamette Valley that even cracked 55 yesterday.i was getting pretty warm out there during the Halloween setup so just did a quick wunderground check and went by the first station that it latched onto in my area. Didn’t question it as it felt that warm! Do I need to lawyer up? Dewey!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Snapshot of the month from my humble abode Precipitation 3.17 for October 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Clear and calm last night. Which allowed for a very light frost and a low of 34F. GEM gets pretty close with a clipper like system middle of next week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 A week from now.. a warm West and cold East pattern is well established. Better to be warm now. I’ll take my snow and cold in December! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Given the nature of this case/the respective biases being presented, I have no doubt in my mind he’ll represent you. Given temp profiles everywhere else, I highly doubt it was close to 60 yesterday at that location, though. Sounds like an overexposed reading. I agree, I usually do some poking around to verify a reading but my focus was showtime ready for the kids and parents. Chemistry class flashback! My number is out of whack with the +/- of the rest of the class......ugh....after school again to rework the experiment and numbers lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Tim will like the 12z GFS. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 The other scenario that could play out over the next 6-8 weeks is the cold east/warm west situation is replaced with strong zonal flow and a coast to coast blow torch. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Thanksgiving.It’s practically December this year!! Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Given that pretty much half the people in my office have been out for most of the past two months due to various illnesses and injury, I have decided to take the week between Christmas and New Year's off. Really hope we get blasted. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 A week from now.. a warm West and cold East pattern is well established. Don’t get a b@ner Tim. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 The other scenario that could play out over the next 6-8 weeks is the cold east/warm west situation is replaced with strong zonal flow and a coast to coast blow torch.That’s probably the least likely outcome, in my view. There are no years with impotent, under-developed jets at this point in the seasonal cycle on the low pass that went on to become zonal years. Of course, there are always intraseasonal cycles, and there’s a (relatively) zonal period coming up for mid-Nov, but that’s an aberration from the background state. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 Don’t get a b@ner Tim.2002/03. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 1, 2019 Report Share Posted November 1, 2019 CFS is showing colder than average temperatures and above average precip for December. RIP December 2019. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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