Veteran's Day System

[bud2380]

Official NWS spotter for North Liberty was 4" with only .22" qpf; that's 18:1.  That puts me at 11.5" for the year already. 

[Minny_Weather]

I finally have moisture, it's been lightly sleeting for the past hour or so. Just need to get the returns here. 32.2*F.

[Stacsh]

This band over GR the last few hours still ongoing but is finally dwindling as the front slides south.   Solid 4".  26 degrees.  BRRRRR

[jaster220]

Because DTX felt coordination pressure from GRR to not go watch-warning, they're now stuck with a SWS overlaying their WWA. Should stand up for themselves and go with their gut imho. 

 

Niko, you were right bud. Shoulda been storm warning, or at least an upgrade to such. 

 

Here in Jackson I'd say we are beating even the 12z Hi-res guidance which had KJXN at 3 or 3.5" by 18z. Have at least that already, prolly more. 

[OKwx2k4]

58 degrees at midnight, now thunder, 32 degrees and should be some sleet in soon.

[jaster220]

Nice to be in the better snow production zone after the last 3 winters skirting me. 

 

Hopefully nobody in "South Bent" gets bent outta shape by this graphical typo 

 

[jaster220]

58 degrees at midnight, now thunder, 32 degrees and should be some sleet in soon.

 

'grats on joining the headline party amigo. Cheers to many more like it! 

[jaster220]

GRR..

 

.UPDATE...

Issued at 1120 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2019

Will not be making any changes to the current winter wx advisories
at this time. The synoptic snow has been over-performing this
morning in spots (namely the GRR area) with totals now
approaching 5" underneath the more intense and persistent FGEN
bands. Inch per hour snow was observed earlier here at the NWS
office by the airport. Total snow amounts will need tweaked a bit
to account for this.

The area of synoptic snow is now beginning to snow signs of
pivoting and trend over the next few hours should be for a
diminishing trend on the west/northwest edge of the snow shield.
This includes the GRR area. Meanwhile, the trend in the JXN area
should be for more intense snowfall to occur this afternoon,
probably leading to a rough evening commute in the I-69 area.

The intense lake effect snow band that is supposed to impact the
Ludington area is out there per radar mosaics, but has been
holding just offshore all morning. It`s still expected to come
onshore at Ludington, but probably not until after 4 PM when winds
go more northerly - per the latest hi-res guidance. The heavier
lake effect bands around South Haven meanwhile should commence
around 7 PM this evening.

 

[Andie]

Front Hit about 11am. We're down 20* to 42*.

Wind has picked up to 10-15 mph.

 

This baby is just getting wound up.

[Niko]

Because DTX felt coordination pressure from GRR to not go watch-warning, they're now stuck with a SWS overlaying their WWA. Should stand up for themselves and go with their gut imho. 

 

Niko, you were right bud. Shoulda been storm warning, or at least an upgrade to such. 

 

Here in Jackson I'd say we are beating even the 12z Hi-res guidance which had KJXN at 3 or 3.5" by 18z. Have at least that already, prolly more. 

They will neva learn..I swear.

[Niko]

I finally have moisture, it's been lightly sleeting for the past hour or so. Just need to get the returns here. 32.2*F.

There ya go. You should go to snow soon.

[Niko]

I am getting moderate to heavy snow at times now, w visibility less than 1mile. Its really piling up and have a lot more coming. Temps are in the upper 20s. From taking a peak, rough estimate approaching 4"+.

[Niko]

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather StatementNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI1154 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2019MIZ068>070-075-111830-Livingston-Macomb-Oakland-Washtenaw-1154 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2019...AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT OAKLAND...MACOMB...LIVINGSTONAND NORTHERN WASHTENAW COUNTIES...At 1153 AM EST, an area of heavy snow was located along a lineextending from 6 miles southwest of Almont to near Brighton toJackson. Movement was east-northeast at 15 mph.Locations impacted include...Troy, Southfield, Pontiac, Novi, Hartland, New Baltimore, Howell,Brighton, Milford, Holly, Richmond, Romeo, Oxford, Pinckney, SterlingHeights, Hamburg, Birmingham, Rochester, South Lyon and Northville.Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile inthis area of heavy snow.A winter weather advisory is in effect for the area. Please monitorlocal media outlets and the national weather service for furtherstatements.Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Beprepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extratime when traveling.

NOTE: This is what I am getting now.

[jaster220]

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather StatementNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI1154 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2019MIZ068>070-075-111830-Livingston-Macomb-Oakland-Washtenaw-1154 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2019...AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT OAKLAND...MACOMB...LIVINGSTONAND NORTHERN WASHTENAW COUNTIES...At 1153 AM EST, an area of heavy snow was located along a lineextending from 6 miles southwest of Almont to near Brighton toJackson. Movement was east-northeast at 15 mph.Locations impacted include...Troy, Southfield, Pontiac, Novi, Hartland, New Baltimore, Howell,Brighton, Milford, Holly, Richmond, Romeo, Oxford, Pinckney, SterlingHeights, Hamburg, Birmingham, Rochester, South Lyon and Northville.Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile inthis area of heavy snow.A winter weather advisory is in effect for the area. Please monitorlocal media outlets and the national weather service for furtherstatements.Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Beprepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extratime when traveling.

NOTE: This is what I am getting now.

 

Awesome!  You know we live in strange times when Macomb is getting slammed in early November      

[jaster220]

GRR now has a snowfall amt's graphic up for the LES (part 2 of storm), yet to my knowledge they never posted one for today's storm part 1.  If anyone knows differently, pls share or comment. Meanwhile, IWX's almost gets to mby so..

 

[Tom]

I just came back from doing some grocery shopping and can't help but think about the holidays.  The holiday season is almost here and I'm sure we will be tracking many more systems during the Holiday season stretch.

 

 

Both ORD & MDW are reporting record daily snowfall tallies through 10:00am.  Light snow is still falling so some minor accumulations are still likely.  ORD has 3.0" and MDW 2.5"....widespread 3-6" totals across N IL which is basically what the models were showing.  Not bad at all.

[Niko]

Awesome!  You know we live in strange times when Macomb is getting slammed in early November      

[Minny_Weather]

Changeover from sleet to snow happened about 30 minutes ago and there's already a dusting. 31.6*F.

[Minny_Weather]

Fat flakes falling right now and it's not showing up on radar. Nice. 31.5*F.

[Tom]

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather StatementNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI1154 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2019MIZ068>070-075-111830-Livingston-Macomb-Oakland-Washtenaw-1154 AM EST Mon Nov 11 2019...AN AREA OF HEAVY SNOW WILL AFFECT OAKLAND...MACOMB...LIVINGSTONAND NORTHERN WASHTENAW COUNTIES...At 1153 AM EST, an area of heavy snow was located along a lineextending from 6 miles southwest of Almont to near Brighton toJackson. Movement was east-northeast at 15 mph.Locations impacted include...Troy, Southfield, Pontiac, Novi, Hartland, New Baltimore, Howell,Brighton, Milford, Holly, Richmond, Romeo, Oxford, Pinckney, SterlingHeights, Hamburg, Birmingham, Rochester, South Lyon and Northville.Visibilities will drop quickly to less than a quarter of a mile inthis area of heavy snow.A winter weather advisory is in effect for the area. Please monitorlocal media outlets and the national weather service for furtherstatements.Conditions can deteriorate rapidly in winter weather situations. Beprepared for snow or ice covered roads. Slow down and allow extratime when traveling.

NOTE: This is what I am getting now.

D**n Niko, your sitting pretty based on the latest radar trends those heavier bands are not moving across SE MI.  Congrats!

[Iowawx]

I measured 5.3 inches of snow in Cedar Rapids. It's hard to believe it has snow 4 times in the past 2 weeks and our total snowfall so far this winter is already 12 inches. 

[Niko]

d**n Niko, your sitting pretty based on the latest radar trends those heavier bands are not moving across SE MI.  Congrats!

Thanks amigo! Indeed, heavy snow attm. Temps in the upper 20s.I am currently sitting near half a foot and counting. Too sweet for this time of the year.

[Niko]

http://images.intellicast.com/WxImages/RadarLoop/usa_None_anim.gif

[OKwx2k4]

'grats on joining the headline party amigo. Cheers to many more like it!

Sleeting pretty hard now. Not sure how long it will go for here.

[jaster220]

d**n Niko, your sitting pretty based on the latest radar trends those heavier bands are not moving across SE MI.  Congrats!

 

This could've been a Big Dog for most of us if the arctic HP wasn't pushing the shortwave east the way it is. As is, those from SEMI on east look to get into that range. Still pound-town here per visual from my desk and airport obs. A little bit more wind kicking up as well. 

 

[jaster220]

Ruh Roh!  If things don't improve by 5 pm commute hr, I may choose to snail-crawl my way home via the state hwy and just stay the heck off 94

 

Amwx post..

 

 

 

Under an intense snowband for the last several hours.  Now 9" near Grass Lake, MI.  I-94 West bound between Grass Lake and Jackson closed.

 

[Niko]

Ruh Roh!  If things don't improve by 5 pm commute hr, I may choose to snail-crawl my way home via the state hwy and just stay the heck off 94

 

Amwx post..

Its a nightmare out there. Visibility here lower than 0.5 a mile under a real hvy band of snow. Forecasters have it snowing til near midnight or little bit after that. If I get any lake effect from Huron, then, its all crazy there after.

[jaster220]

Happy B Day bud!  I just came inside from shoveling the snow and thought the same.  It really does feel like January out there!  Minus the leaves that are still on the trees and ground, the powder flying off the roofs is wild to see this early in the season.  I remember someone on here a few years ago commented on one of the legendary seasons back in the late 70's that started off in a similar fashion like we are seeing this year with multiple cold & wintry systems that began targeting our region in Nov and never let go through the rest of the season.  Are we heading that way this year???  I strongly believe so.

 

Haha, that would've been me posting about '77-78 which hit S. Bend with a 24" LES storm that November, and ofc the CAT-5 bliz in January which gave at least 30" if not more to that region. If we indeed get bigger storms going deeper into the cold season, there's no stoppin this train from possibly (dare I say) overtaking that vaunted season. 

[jaster220]

A little bit west of here. 

 

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
221 PM EST MON NOV 11 2019

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0220 PM SNOW 1 ENE RIVES JUNCTION 42.39N 84.44W
11/11/2019 M5.8 INCH JACKSON MI PUBLIC

[jaster220]

Just a bit SW of here, and verifies my eyeball guest-imate nicely 

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
131 PM EST MON NOV 11 2019

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

110 PM SNOW SPRING ARBOR 42.21N 84.56W
11/11/2019 M6.5 INCH JACKSON MI PUBLIC

[Niko]

Some latest info....

 

Special Weather Statement

Special Weather StatementNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI223 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019MIZ069-070-075-076-082-083-112130-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-Including the cities of Pontiac, Warren, Ann Arbor, Detroit,Adrian, and Monroe223 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019Widespread snowfall with embedded bursts of heavier snow willcontinue this afternoon. Additional accumulations of 2-3 inchescan be expected before sunset. Snowfall rates could approach 1inch per hour in the heavier snow bursts - reducing visibilitiesto near one quarter mile.

[Andie]

Dropped to 38. Wind picking up to 25mph.

Scattered light rain about and ice further west.

[Tom]

Haha, that would've been me posting about '77-78 which hit S. Bend with a 24" LES storm that November, and ofc the CAT-5 bliz in January which gave at least 30" if not more to that region. If we indeed get bigger storms going deeper into the cold season, there's no stoppin this train from possibly (dare I say) overtaking that vaunted season. 

TBH, it wasn't you that I was thinking of even though you certainly do dig up old stats from big hits in years past.  The person I'm talking about on here is primarily a lurker and really hasn't posted on here for a long time.  He may have left the forum or not, but nevertheless, I remember like it was yesterday how he mentioned that the storms started in November and the hits came coming over the entire region of the MW/GL's.

[westMJim]

It has stopped snowing here at my house. I now have just under 5″ on the ground. Not sure what the official amount at GRR will end up at. The current temperature here is now at 29 the last reading at GRR was still 26.

[bud2380]

No more snow falling in the state of Iowa, so here is what should be the final tallies.

 

[jaster220]

It has stopped snowing here at my house. I now have just under 5″ on the ground. Not sure what the official amount at GRR will end up at. The current temperature here is now at 29 the last reading at GRR was still 26.

 

Thought this wasn't your storm 

[jaster220]

TBH, it wasn't you that I was thinking of even though you certainly do dig up old stats from big hits in years past.  The person I'm talking about on here is primarily a lurker and really hasn't posted on here for a long time.  He may have left the forum or not, but nevertheless, I remember like it was yesterday how he mentioned that the storms started in November and the hits came coming over the entire region of the MW/GL's.

 

Ahh, ok no worries bud. What I wrote still stands tho fwiw 

[jaster220]

Looks like those SR hi-res models that kept amping this up and increasing totals around SCMI are going to end up correct. Guessing GRR was still feeling snake-bit from the Halloween miss, thus were reluctant to buy into them this go-round. One could tell tho, that this would be a completely different thermal scenario. Oh well, got a bunch of the white gold, so I'm personally a very happy camper. 

[Stacsh]

Thought this wasn't your storm 

 

Go about 20 miles north and west and it wasn't.  The models did a good job showing the band set up right across the metro area.  I'm downtown at work, but judging by watching radar all day I'm guessing my neighborhood did about 5" as well.  

[Niko]

Great timing to enjoy this major snowstorm here in SEMI during daytime hrs and not nighttime. Still ripping out there and it will continue to do so for several more hours. Accumulations just by looking outside my window looks definitely 7"+. Later on I will go and take a measurement. I am waiting to hit at least 10".