Grizzcoat Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 ukie not as robust as others at least in C.IA-- looks good E 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 03Z RAP- (use at own risk past 8-10 hrs- but can watch trends). https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc&rh=2019111003&fh=39&r=conus&dpdt=&mc= Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 looks like we might be adding to totals here now! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Recent UK runs have had little if anything in Iowa, but tonight's run is trending like the other models. 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Yep, out to Wed morning, so includes the LES follow-on, but prolly just before the refresher clipper due in Wed evening. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Wowza, just noticed Traverse region. That's some serious qpf showing up there /\ Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Yep, per Kuchera it's now in lock-step with Euro https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=snku_acc&rh=2019111000&fh=60&r=us_mw&dpdt=&mc= Edit-in lockstep for SMI I meantLooks awesome. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Kuchera only giving me 1" more than 10:1 maps, so this shouldn't be mid-January fluff stuff. Will make me a happy camper as dense snow doesn't settle or melt nearly as quickly. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Recent UK runs have had little if anything in Iowa, but tonight's run is trending like the other models. us_model-en-087-0_modgbr_2019111000_72_5660_220.png Hoping you get in on this! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 No comments on the latest Euro? Odd. Tonight's Euro has juiced the system up a little more. Cedar Rapids is now up to almost 0.40". 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Loving the trends. Des Moines thought about advisory but waiting for 12z runs. But 6z gets even more juicy right along 80 from Omaha to quad Cities. And all the way to Chi town too. Keep those trends coming. So far, EVERY system, even the puny ones have outperformed 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 In line with the latest models, DVN is going with 2-4". This stuff won't be easy to measure because there will be wind this time. And, of course, the snow here is going to be yet another overnight event. Monday morning cleanup will be quite cold. Here's the 00z Euro kuchera map. 4 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 RGEM has a band of 5-7 from eastern Iowa into Chicago https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rdps&p=snku_acc&rh=2019111006&fh=45&r=us_mw&dpdt=&mc= 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 10, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 I was at my cousins 40th B-Day party yesterday in Romeoville, IL which is about a good drive (40 miles) SW from where I live. Thanks for everyone who was posting. While I was there, I enjoyed reading all the commentary and the excitement is building for a legit snowstorm that has cold temps and wind with it. Not to mention, the Lake will be "our" friend here in NE IL...finally! Unlike last year's Blitz fail, this storm will make up for it as it will have arctic air to tap into. I'm only on a few hours of sleep and this storm coming together has really been fascinating to watch the models predict. Kuddo's to the King Euro and Canadian for seeing this system well in advance of the other models. Knowing the way past systems have been forming/energizing right in our region gave me confidence we would have a storm to deal with. It's a validation now from the models that the LRC's Long Term Long Wave trough is certainly aiding in the development of this system. 00z RGEM... The Lehs/LES signal is showing up on ALL the models and I'm really fired up about this potential to dump snow for a period tomorrow morning around the rush hour. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 I was at my cousins 40th B-Day party yesterday in Romeoville, IL which is about a good drive (40 miles) SW from where I live. Thanks for everyone who was posting. While I was there, I enjoyed reading all the commentary and the excitement is building for a legit snowstorm that has cold temps and wind with it. Not to mention, the Lake will be "our" friend here in NE IL...finally! Unlike last year's Blitz fail, this storm will make up for it as it will have arctic air to tap into. I'm only on a few hours of sleep and this storm coming together has really been fascinating to watch the models predict. Kuddo's to the King Euro and Canadian for seeing this system well in advance of the other models. Knowing the way past systems have been forming/energizing right in our region gave me confidence we would have a storm to deal with. It's a validation now from the models that the LRC's Long Term Long Wave trough is certainly aiding in the development of this system. 06z Canadian... The Lehs/LES signal is showing up on ALL the models and I'm really fired up about this potential to dump snow for a period tomorrow morning around the rush hour. FYI the map you used for RGEM was 0z. 6z is even much better 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 10, 2019 Author Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 FYI the map you used for RGEM was 0z. 6z is even much betterOh crap! Thanks for the heads up Money... I'll post the 06z RGEM maps here.... Pretty good 6 hour period of Lehs into NE IL...that lake plume could be fun if it transpires... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Every map has a dry hole over Grand Rapids. Looking like SE of here will do well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Every map has a dry hole over Grand Rapids. Looking like SE of here will do well.This does not look to be our event. We are in the wrong location and then the wind will be out of the wrong direction. But the snow that falls anywhere will be all gone in less than a week, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Every map has a dry hole over Grand Rapids. Looking like SE of here will do well.What part of GR do you live. I am in the 4 mile and Alpine area. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Models are trending wetter and further west with heavier qpf each run. I like what I’m seeing. And once again the Euro has the best idea with this storm for most of the time we’ve been tracking it. I think that’s a trend we’ll see all winter. Something just seems flat out wrong with the GFS past about 3 days out. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 PREV DISCUSSION...Issued at 316 AM EST Sun Nov 10 2019DISCUSSION...A surface cold front will settle south through the region late todayinto tonight as low pressure races east through Quebec and the eastedge of a large arctic high pressure system begins to build throughthe northern/central Great Lakes. In advance of this front, expecttemperatures to climb into the 40s by this afternoon before muchcolder air begins to collapse over the area by late afternoon/earlyevening. Forcing in advance of this front, assisted by the initialinfluence of jet tracking east into the region, will lead to achance of precipitation, particularly by this afternoon. Giveninitial temperature profile across the area, this should be in theform of drizzle/rain showers during the day.However, a rather rapid transition to rain/snow and then all snow isexpected to occur later in the evening on through the overnight ascold air deepens across the region. Coverage/intensity of thisactivity should also ramp up overnight as the aforementioned jetphases into mean polar low centered over/east of Hudson Bay. Thisphasing still appears to result in a jet on the order of 150 knotswith a broad area of fgen forcing expanding across the area as thisfeature evolves/expands into the Great Lakes/southern Ontario.In general, models have trended to a stronger fgen solution inroughly the H85-H7 layer with this jet with forcing continuingthrough much of the day Monday. With plenty of cold air in place bythat time (high temperatures will stall in the upper 20s to lower30s from north to south across the area), widespread snowaccumulations appear likely. This airmass appears cold enough tocompensate for the relatively early season time frame to allow foraccumulations on paved surfaces as well as grassy surfaces. Recentcold nights have also allowed soil temperatures to cool notably andthis will likely play into this scenario as well. Given 00z cyclemodel trends in regards to the strengthen of fgen and also a trendto colder temperatures have increase snow accumulations across thearea with a solid 2 to 4 inches quite plausible. For most of thearea, this will occur from late Sunday night into Monday evening.However, in addition to this widespread synoptic snowfall, hiResmodels depict a rather active lake effect event for the Thumb regionas this very cold airmass leads to extremely unstable low levelconditions over the relatively mild early winter lake waters. Thisactivity should begin to organize by late Sunday evening/earlyMonday morning ,and with forecast soundings depicting a deepeningequilibrium level (nearing 15kft by Monday evening), expect ratherintense snowfall rates within the lake effect snow squalls/bands. AWinter Storm Watch has been issued to highlight this potential fromSunday night on through Monday night. Snowfall totals of a footappear likely in some locations as periodic snowfall rates of morethan an inch an hour impact the region during this time frame. Anylocation where these heavy snow squalls become quasi-stationary fora number of hours could very well end up with significantly morethan that as a substantial DGZ will exist within the saturated layerup to the inversion. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 This does not look to be our event. We are in the wrong location and then the wind will be out of the wrong direction. But the snow that falls anywhere will be all gone in less than a week,W a low sun angle this time of the year, it will be hard to accomplish that. Also, temps do not warm up significantly here in mby. My (warm-up) is forecasted to be in the upper 30s to low 40s. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Every map has a dry hole over Grand Rapids. Looking like SE of here will do well. This does not look to be our event. We are in the wrong location and then the wind will be out of the wrong direction. But the snow that falls anywhere will be all gone in less than a week, Have to just do a face palm with that office. Just quickly checked and surrounding offices all have snow amount maps within their "wx story" graphics. Nada in GRR's. Surrounding offices clear down to S Ohio have one. What a joke. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 6z Euro 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Hi-Res RGEM is really portraying a nice outcome for SCMI. Gets mby to 7+ via Kuchera. This was 0z btw 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Watches and Warnings for Southern Lower MI should be posted by today's pm package. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FV-Mike Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Such a fascinating set up this early in the season. 2-5 inches of snow with cold artic winds blowing in 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Hi-Res RGEM is really portraying a nice outcome for SCMI. Gets mby to 7+ via Kuchera. This was 0z btw 20191110 0z HRDPS_Snowfall to h48.png6"+ for our area amigo. I'll take it and run considering its still early Nov. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Look at this beauty....... 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 What part of GR do you live. I am in the 4 mile and Alpine area.5 mile Plainfield area Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Will say I'm not the biggest fan of the Monroe bullseye idea on the models. Good news is that is close enough to here to where it's within the margin of error for 24 hours out. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Basically need it to come a few miles north to get under a band. Maybe some influence off Huron back all this way lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 6"+ for our area amigo. I'll take it and run considering its still early Nov. Ikr, 6z HRDPS ups the amts further. Gets me to 7"/8" Kuchera. This is the way storms should always trend! IF ONLY 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Ikr, 6z HRDPS ups the amts further. Gets me to 7"/8" Kuchera. This is the way storms should always trend! IF ONLY 20191110 6z HRDPS_Snowfall to h48.png Bullseye!!! BAMMMMM! Gotta like the Arctic air that will feed into this snowstorm. Think about it, its not even mid November . Too sweet for my taste. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Basically need it to come a few miles north to get under a band. Maybe some influence off Huron back all this way lol Yeah, look at that enhancement off of Saginaw Bay for the Tri-cities - dang! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Basically need it to come a few miles north to get under a band. Maybe some influence off Huron back all this way lol Thumb region already under a WSW. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 12z NAM upping totals even more 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Watches and Warnings for Southern Lower MI should be posted by today's pm package. LOL, you know GRR ain't going there no matter how many model runs trend wetter/deeper..DTX perhaps, but I'm sure these coordination calls with GRR will tamper enthusiasm for getting proper treatment with this system. It's super early, first real snow for most, and will be a rather dramatic flip to wintry conditions from this weekend's pleasant wx. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 10, 2019 Report Share Posted November 10, 2019 Will say I'm not the biggest fan of the Monroe bullseye idea on the models. Good news is that is close enough to here to where it's within the margin of error for 24 hours out. Not sure what you mean. Latest HRDPS seems to give you about the same as there Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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