Clinton Posted May 6, 2023 Report Share Posted May 6, 2023 3 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: More storms rolled in last night and missed my area to the north. I was missed in all 4 directions over 7 hours. That is quite an accomplishment. Not one drop. Areas within a few miles had 0.50-1.5”. Some places north of here had upwards of 4” in the last 2 nights. Same here missed in all directions with barely a sprinkle. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 6, 2023 Author Report Share Posted May 6, 2023 3 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: I watched the radar all night. I was 100% sure we would get hit. My family looked at the radar also and were just in shock how the storms refused to hit our area. We kid about the dome, but last night you’d swear something odd was happening. Have to hope for something next week, or our bad situation will get worse. It's interesting to see that this year, your on the sidelines watching every storm miss you, when last year, it was the opposite and you were actually getting hit and everyone else in E NE got missed. Is that a fair statement? I swear I saw many videos that you posted last summer showing monsoonal rain, in fact, I think the year prior in '21 the same happened, right? I think it might have been 2020 bc as the summer went on it got wetter. 2021 was a good summer for E NE. June-Aug 2022... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 6, 2023 Report Share Posted May 6, 2023 I received a solid 0.68" of rain last night. There was no lightning/thunder, just several hours of light rain with an occasional better shower. The NWS isn't sure how the next two days will play out. Some of the short-term models (hrrr, fv3, rrfs) are predicting good storms will blow up near Cedar Rapids tonight and then a huge MCS blows up Sunday night. On one hand, we need the rain. On the other, it's no fun planting the garden when it's muddy. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 6, 2023 Report Share Posted May 6, 2023 SPC has an enhanced risk of severe weather for some tomorrow. Please rain! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 6, 2023 Report Share Posted May 6, 2023 I’m in another severe thunderstorm warning. Looking at the radar, it appears the storm may miss me again by a mile or two. Is there a miracle tonight? We’ll see. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 6, 2023 Report Share Posted May 6, 2023 4 hours ago, Tom said: It's interesting to see that this year, your on the sidelines watching every storm miss you, when last year, it was the opposite and you were actually getting hit and everyone else in E NE got missed. Is that a fair statement? I swear I saw many videos that you posted last summer showing monsoonal rain, in fact, I think the year prior in '21 the same happened, right? I think it might have been 2020 bc as the summer went on it got wetter. 2021 was a good summer for E NE. June-Aug 2022... Had one good month last summer. We were in such a deficit, that we could never catch up. Finished close to 10” below normal for 2022. Had some decent snow this winter, but have gone extremely dry again since March. Having the Ogallala Aquifer is our saving grace. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 55 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: I’m in another severe thunderstorm warning. Looking at the radar, it appears the storm may miss me again by a mile or two. Is there a miracle tonight? We’ll see. We ended up with about 0.20” with a brief period of pea sized hail. Much more hail and rain reported north of town. Thankful for at least getting something. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Here is the brief storm this evening that dropped 0.20”. If you notice across the street, the neighbor’s trees are just starting to get a few leaves. Most trees in town are a couple of weeks behind schedule IMG_1163.MOV 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 7 hours ago, Hawkeye said: I received a solid 0.68" of rain last night. There was no lightning/thunder, just several hours of light rain with an occasional better shower. The NWS isn't sure how the next two days will play out. Some of the short-term models (hrrr, fv3, rrfs) are predicting good storms will blow up near Cedar Rapids tonight and then a huge MCS blows up Sunday night. On one hand, we need the rain. On the other, it's no fun planting the garden when it's muddy. I planted most of the garden now, but I don't want the newly emerged and other plants battered by a bad storm either. Need about 2" of rain though, and many of the CAMS show up to around that amount somewhere in eastern Iowa. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 30 minutes ago, Stormy said: I planted most of the garden now, but I don't want the newly emerged and other plants battered by a bad storm either. Need about 2" of rain though and many of the CAMS show up to around that amount somewhere in eastern Iowa. I planted onions, potatoes and lettuce on april 10th. Most isnt even up! Despite me watering daily past 5 days! I know noone wants to hear this. But this blessed iowa dirt has cursed iowa weather! I know, i gardened in Maryland, Pennsylvania, and the mountains of Bolivia and in my youthful ignorance had way better gardens!! Give me the rocks this place can have this stupid weather! Too many 10 to 25 day rain free periods! Genetically modified Corn n beans are what grows here. And some very hardy native plants like red cedars and rubarb! I used to be convinced that may was the only month that one can rely on precip here 2017 it stopped raining may 16th .End of rant Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 7 minutes ago, OttumwaSnomow said: I planted onions, potatoes and lettuce on april 10th. Most isnt even up! Despite me watering daily past 5 days! I know noone wants to hear this. But this blessed iowa dirt has cursed iowa weather! I know, i gardened in Maryland, Pennsylvania, and the mountains of Bolivia!!! Give me the rocks this place can have this stupid weather! Too many 10 to 25 rain free periods! Corn n beans are what grows here. And some very hardy native plants like red cedars and rubarb! End of rant I understand. Texas can hand out the craziest dxxx weather. Flood, Fire, and Famine! I just give in and accept the water bill. We’re getting flood tonight. Heavy thunderstorms across No Tx. We need the rain so it’s good news. Thunderstorm warning just came across my iPhone. 4 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 55 minutes ago, OttumwaSnomow said: I planted onions, potatoes and lettuce on april 10th. Most isnt even up! Despite me watering daily past 5 days! I know noone wants to hear this. But this blessed iowa dirt has cursed iowa weather! I know, i gardened in Maryland, Pennsylvania, and the mountains of Bolivia and in my youthful ignorance had way better gardens!! Give me the rocks this place can have this stupid weather! Too many 10 to 25 day rain free periods! Corn n beans are what grows here. And some very hardy native plants like red cedars and rubarb! End of rant I planted on April 12 which was to early even for hardier things. Normally don't plant garden till late April or May so I blame myself. It was just way to chilly for things to rapidly germinate. Once soiI temps are warmer things pop up much sooner. Even with rain later things probably wouldn't have done much better, as cold as it was with frosts. Another thing that was bad was soon after I planted we had a cold rain which is bad for seeds, or at least farmers don't want that happening! A warm rain would've been great. Your seeds may not come through if they haven't yet. I was even dumb enough to plant some beans, and much (not all) of it came up, surprisingly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 11 hours ago, CentralNebWeather said: Here is the brief storm this evening that dropped 0.20”. If you notice across the street, the neighbor’s trees are just starting to get a few leaves. Most trees in town are a couple of weeks behind schedule IMG_1163.MOV 79.92 MB · 0 downloads County yourself fortunate considering how isolated that cell was, and it appeared to have large hail somewhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Just now I storm blew up right nearby and there's constant lightning. It will pour pretty soon I think 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Several sizable storms last night. Heavy rain. Currently 69 Humifity 90% High of 87. 1 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Yesterday the official H/L was 69/50. There was 0.03” of rain fall and just 6% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY was 56 and I recorded 0.17” of rain fall up to 7AM The current temperature is 57 here in my yard. For today the average H/L is now up to 67/45 the record high of 89 was set in 1965 and the record low of 25 was set in 1974. The record rain fall of 1.70” fell in 1932. Currently the next two weeks look to be warmer than average. Then according to the CFSv2 turning to below to near average in weeks 3 and 4. Even with the rain in this weeks forecast the CFSv2 has the Great Lakes area on the dry side. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Eastern Nebraska and Iowa peeps are under the gun today. HRRR has been showing some very beneficial rains for southern and central Iowa. Yesterdays record breaking heat produced a damaging tornado in northern MO last night. Yesterday high temperature was 94 for mby breaking the old record of 89 set in 2004 and 1970. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 7, 2023 Author Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Love reading all your comments on the storm action all across the board. Glad to see that many areas are seeing rain out of this pattern and one that is likely to continue to produce numerous more chances as we roll on through this month. The Heartland of the Nation is where the main action is going to be over the next few days and remainder of the week...IA bullseye?? Let's see if a legit MCS can fire up later tonight...DSM magnet? Storm reports from yesterday... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Reed Timmer intercepted the wedge tornado near Linneus, Missouri. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 7, 2023 Author Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Mother's Day weekend is looking interesting around these parts as a trough gets cutoff off over the Baja region and pulls Tropical moisture north into the 4 corners. This is more or less a Monsoon set up. Mother Nature giving us a clue??? Storms are to fire up over the mountain ranges and rush Southwest into the valley. This is very odd to see in the month of May which is typically our driest, or 2nd driest month out of the year. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 9 hours ago, Stormy said: Just now I storm blew up right nearby and there's constant lightning. It will pour pretty soon I think This storm was kind of lame as far as rainfall. It kinda of narrowly split over me with hail cores just north and south. Only 0.20" here with a few hail stones to at least 1/2" diameter. My brother 6 miles southeast got quite a bit of 1" hail. Heavy rain is possible tonight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted May 7, 2023 Author Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, Stormy said: This storm was kind of lame as far as rainfall. It kinda of narrowly split over me with hail cores just north and south. Only 0.20" here with a few hail stones to at least 1/2" diameter. My brother 6 miles southeast got quite a bit of 1" hail. Heavy rain is possible tonight. HRRR is yet again showing a bowing MCS rolling through IA...I think you guys will be getting some nighttime boomers! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 56 minutes ago, Clinton said: Reed Timmer intercepted the wedge tornado near Linneus, Missouri. When I saw the big hook on radar I figured that would have be producing a tornado, but I didn't check Twitter etc for more info! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Today starts out sunny but with clouds on the increase we could see some showers by late this evening. Warmer today with our first day over 70 degrees since back on April 22nd. We slip back below normal temps for mid-week but then warm well into the 70's by next weekend. Records for today: High 93 (1930) / Low 28 (1974) / Rain 2.74" (1908) Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 South of Minden Nebraska. This is crazy. 8 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 They’re saying I got .50” rain last night. Certainly felt like more. Round2 more rain today Some severe storm expected Currently 78 High of 86 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Cruising through northern Indiana on our way back to Iowa. Actually feels like summer for once. 70s, humid and breezy. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Was out doing some more yard work. The sun is now out and for the first time this year I can say it is warm and somewhat humid out. The current temperature here in MBY is 78 and I have a DP of 66 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 1 hour ago, westMJim said: Was out doing some more yard work. The sun is now out and for the first time this year I can say it is warm and somewhat humid out. The current temperature here in MBY is 78 and I have a DP of 66 It’s pretty sticky. I’m turning the AC on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Models today have been trending south with tonight's big MCS. It would be nice to get an inch out of it. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 MDs for southern Iowa. Mesoscale Discussion 0710 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0210 PM CDT Sun May 07 2023 Areas affected...far east-central Nebraska into central/southern Iowa Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 071910Z - 072115Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Isolated large hail may accompany an intense cell tracking east across central Iowa over the next couple of hours. Additional, more widespread storms are expected later this afternoon/evening. A watch will likely be needed at some point later this afternoon, but timing remains uncertain. DISCUSSION...An isolated, severe thunderstorm has been tracking eastward along a surface boundary with the stronger instability gradient over central IA. Marginally severe hail has been reported with this storm recently over Carroll County. This cell may continue to periodically produce large hail and gusty winds as it shifts eastward along the surface boundary. Additional thunderstorm development is expected later this afternoon or early evening as a surface low over southeast NE lifts northeast toward the MO River over the next few hours. Various surface fronts and outflow boundaries exist across the area, providing potential points of focus for thunderstorm development. Strong heating and dewpoints in the low/mid 60s beneath steep midlevel lapse rates is resulting in moderate destabilization from east-central NE into southern IA. While some capping is still evident near the MO River into southwest IA as depicted by billow clouds on visible satellite, erosion of the cap is more evident further east toward southeast IA where deepening cumulus is noted. Additional heating and increasing ascent later today will support rapid thunderstorm development. However, timing remains a bit uncertain. Hi-res CAMs suggest later development closer to 00z, however observational trends suggest early convective initiation may be possible. Backed low-level flow and increasing 850 mb southwesterly flow with time will support enlarged, favorably curved low-level hodographs. A few tornadoes, in addition to large hail and damaging gusts will be possible. A watch will lik 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Golfball hail is falling from the strong cells in Iowa. 1 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfweather Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: Golfball hail is falling from the strong cells in Iowa. Trained spotter reports of tennis ball and baseball sized also. will be lots of damage 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 That storm was bizarre. I got an hour of strong wind gusts, but only 0.02" of rain. The part of the driveway protected by the house did not even get wet. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 Well for the 3rd time in 48 hrs missed by 10 miles. Oh we got the dust!!!! Blew in from Marshalltown probably. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 7, 2023 Report Share Posted May 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, OttumwaSnomow said: Well for the 3rd time in 48 hrs missed by 10 miles. Oh we got the dust!!!! Blew in from Marshalltown probably. You should do well tonight. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 26 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Another Severe Thunderstorm Watch, and another miss. This time the complex will miss me to the south. What looked promising an hour ago, wastes a great, unstable atmosphere around here. Hopefully Tuesday-Thursday pans out. NWS hinting at ridging and getting hot and dry a week from now. Getting missed to the south and east here too… there is nothing like watching dark storm clouds develop 20 miles to our south and knowing that we probably won’t get squat… again! Glad I watered my lawn earlier this evening… as I just knew we would get missed again (it’s too hard to break lousy weather patterns I guess). 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 2 hours ago, OttumwaSnomow said: Well for the 3rd time in 48 hrs missed by 10 miles. Oh we got the dust!!!! Blew in from Marshalltown probably. There’s A LOT of that going around !! Edit: I thought I’d add that North Texas is looking at a week in the 80’s. Monday/Tuesday will see a 50% chance of rain, while Wednesday rough next Sunday will 60% or great %. 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 Looks like there is some hope the storms make it down into my area. There is a little sag to the south with the line of storms in SE Nebraska. I may be doing a little wishcasting but both the 3km NAM and the HRRR bring a solid line of storms into my area. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted May 8, 2023 Report Share Posted May 8, 2023 I was afraid the earlier storms would push everything south tonight, but models are all showing the area lighting up and developing into a widespread soaker. 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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